Almagro vs Tristán Suárez

Argentina - Primera Nacional

v.s

24 Oct 2026 14:30

Tristán Suárez are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.12 overall shots and 1.17 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.97 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

13%
Almagro to win
28%
Draw
59%
Tristán Suárez to win

The result market leans toward Tristán Suárez at 65%. The points profile supports that read: Almagro average 1.47 PPG and Tristán Suárez average 1.65 PPG in the comparable split.

Almagro
1
wins
2
draws
Tristán Suárez
3
wins
50%
BTTS
3/6
83%
OVER 0.5
5/6
50%
OVER 1.5
3/6
33%
OVER 2.5
2/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    1.62

    League 1.95

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    24%

    League 33%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    33%

    League 40%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.30

    League 4.96

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.89

    League 8.59

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Almagro average 9.36 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.59, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    10%
    UNDER
    90%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Almagro

Home

LWWLL
VS

Tristán Suárez

Away

WDDWD

Points & Results

  • 1.21
    PPG
    1.82
  • 32%
    Wins
    47%
  • 26%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.91
    Scored/game
    0.97
  • 1.21
    Conceded/game
    0.44
  • 1.13
    xG
    1.17
  • 1.58
    xGA
    1.24

Trends

  • 44%
    Both Score
    26%
  • 26%
    Clean Sheet
    71%

Almagro vs Tristán Suárez: Statistics and Analysis - Primera Nacional 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Primera Nacional match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 19:30.

The venue is Estadio Tres de Febrero.

The fixture is part of game week 35th of the Primera Nacional season. Almagro currently sits in position 21th of the Primera Nacional table. Tristán Suárez occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Almagro vs Tristán Suárez at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Almagro and Tristán Suárez point to a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Almagro vs Tristán Suárez prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

According to the latest match odds, Tristán Suárez is the favorite at 1.91 an implied probability of about 52.36%. The full 1X2 market has Almagro at 12.6, the draw at 3.333, and Tristán Suárez at 1.91.

Overall performance in the Primera Nacional

Almagro's record so far reads 11W-8D-15L from 34 played a win rate of 32% at 1.21 points per game.

Tristán Suárez stands at 16W-14D-4L from 34 played, winning 47% of their matches at 1.82 points per game.

In their last five, Almagro has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Tristán Suárez's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Almagro has a 41% win rate (7W-4D-6L from 17 played).

On the road, Tristán Suárez has won 41% of their matches (7W-7D-3L from 17 played).

Goal statistics for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez

In attack, Almagro averages 0.91 goals scored per game in the Primera Nacional (31 in total), while conceding 1.21 per game (41 in total).

Tristán Suárez averages 0.97 goals scored per game (33 in total) and 0.44 conceded per game (15 in total).

Almagro's top scorer this season is Joel Orlando, with 5 goals.

For Tristán Suárez, Diego Eugenio Becker leads the scoring charts with 6 goals this season.

Almagro's main creator is Julián Augusto Marchioni, with 6 assists.

Diego Eugenio Becker tops the Tristán Suárez assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Almagro vs Tristán Suárez

Almagro and Tristán Suárez have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Almagro wins: 1

  • Draws: 2

  • Tristán Suárez wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Almagro vs Tristán Suárez

When is Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 19:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Almagro and Tristán Suárez?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 1-2-3 (Almagro wins – draws – Tristán Suárez wins).

What was the last match between Almagro and Tristán Suárez?

The two sides last met on 06/06/2026, and the result was Tristán Suárez 0 vs 0 Almagro. Full details: Almagro vs Tristán Suárez, 06/06/2026.

Who is the favorite in Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

Tristán Suárez is the favorite at odds of 1.91, an implied probability of about 52.36%. Almagro is priced at 12.6, the draw at 3.333 and Tristán Suárez at 1.91.

Where can I find a Almagro vs Tristán Suárez prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Almagro vs Tristán Suárez prediction page.

Where can I find Almagro vs Tristán Suárez stats?

All key statistics for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

Live streaming information is available on our Almagro vs Tristán Suárez stream page.