Liverpool vs Chelsea
England - EFL Cup
Liverpool are creating the better shooting profile with average 7 overall shots and 2.18 xG. Their season scoring average is 4 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Liverpool at 41%. The points profile supports that read: Liverpool average 3 PPG and Chelsea average 1 PPG in the comparable split.
- 09/05/2026, 11:30Premier LeagueLiverpool1 - 1Chelsea09/05/2026, 11:30Premier LeagueLiverpool
1 - 1
Chelsea - 04/10/2025, 16:30Premier LeagueChelsea2 - 1Liverpool04/10/2025, 16:30Premier LeagueChelsea
2 - 1
Liverpool - 04/05/2025, 15:30Premier LeagueChelsea3 - 1Liverpool04/05/2025, 15:30Premier LeagueChelsea
3 - 1
Liverpool - 20/10/2024, 15:30Premier LeagueLiverpool2 - 1Chelsea20/10/2024, 15:30Premier LeagueLiverpool
2 - 1
Chelsea - 25/02/2024, 15:00EFL CupChelsea0 - 1Liverpool25/02/2024, 15:00EFL CupChelsea
0 - 1
Liverpool
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well above avg
4.75League 2.95
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
75%League 53%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
75%League 53%
Cards
Above average
3.50League 3.15
Corners
Average
11.00League 10.36
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%2.5
3+ gol
OVER66%UNDER34%3.5
4+ gol
OVER66%UNDER34%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Liverpool
Home
Chelsea
Away
Points & Results
- 3.00PPG1.67
- 100%Wins50%
- 50%First to Score83%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game4.002.50
- Conceded/game2.002.17
- xG2.181.55
- xGA1.251.66
Trends
- 100%Both Score83%
- 0%Clean Sheet0%
Liverpool scored in 1/1 recent form matches and averaged 3 goals.
Chelsea scored in 2/2 recent form matches and averaged 4 goals.
Liverpool is +60% better in terms of Scored/game
Liverpool is +8% better in terms of Conceded/game
Liverpool is +41% better in terms of xG
Liverpool is +33% better in terms of xGA
Liverpool is +9% better in terms of First-Half Form
Liverpool is +292% better in terms of Offsides
Liverpool is +16% better in terms of Corners
Chelsea is +200% better in terms of Cards
Liverpool is +31% better in terms of Shots on Target
Predicted Lineup
Liverpool vs Chelsea: Statistics and Analysis - EFL Cup 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Liverpool vs Chelsea - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This EFL Cup match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 20:00.
The fixture is part of game week N/A of the EFL Cup season. Liverpool currently sits in position 23th of the EFL Cup table. Chelsea occupies position 6th.
Stat Probabilities for Liverpool vs Chelsea
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Liverpool vs Chelsea at 75%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Liverpool and Chelsea point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
According to the latest match odds, Liverpool is the favorite at 2.45 an implied probability of about 40.82%. The full 1X2 market has Liverpool at 2.45, the draw at 3.88, and Chelsea at 3.05.
Overall performance in the EFL Cup
Liverpool's record so far reads 2W-0D-0L from 2 played a win rate of 100% at 3 points per game.
Chelsea stands at 3W-1D-2L from 6 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.67 points per game.
Chelsea's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.
At home, Liverpool has a 100% win rate (1W-0D-0L from 1 played).
On the road, Chelsea has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Liverpool vs Chelsea
In attack, Liverpool averages 4 goals scored per game in the EFL Cup (3 in total), while conceding 2 per game (1 in total).
Chelsea averages 2.5 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 2.17 conceded per game (7 in total).
Liverpool's top scorer this season is Hugo Ekitike, with 11 goals.
For Chelsea, João Pedro leads the scoring charts with 15 goals this season.
Liverpool's main creator is Mohamed Salah, with 7 assists.
Pedro Neto tops the Chelsea assist chart with 6.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Liverpool vs Chelsea
Liverpool and Chelsea have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Liverpool wins: 3
Draws: 7
Chelsea wins: 2
Frequently asked questions about Liverpool vs Chelsea
When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?
The match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 20:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Chelsea?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-7-2 (Liverpool wins – draws – Chelsea wins).
What was the last match between Liverpool and Chelsea?
The two sides last met on 09/05/2026, and the result was Liverpool 1 vs 1 Chelsea. Full details: Liverpool vs Chelsea, 09/05/2026.
Who is the favorite in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool is the favorite at odds of 2.45, an implied probability of about 40.82%. Liverpool is priced at 2.45, the draw at 3.88 and Chelsea at 3.05.
Where can I find a Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction page.
Where can I find Liverpool vs Chelsea stats?
All key statistics for Liverpool vs Chelsea are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Live streaming information is available on our Liverpool vs Chelsea stream page.