Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera

Italy - Serie D Group D

v.s

14 Oct 2026 09:00

Tropical Coriano are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.8 overall shots and 1.27 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.6 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

47%
Tropical Coriano to win
28%
Draw
25%
Pontedera to win

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.37

    League 2.43

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    52%

    League 46%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    37%

    League 46%

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.00

    League 9.35

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Pontedera average 11.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.35, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    72%
    UNDER
    28%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    54%
    UNDER
    46%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    18%
    UNDER
    82%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Tropical Coriano

Home

DWLLD
VS

Pontedera

Away

LLLLL

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    0.00
  • 20%
    Wins
    0%
  • 40%
    First to Score
    17%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.60
    Scored/game
    0.50
  • 0.80
    Conceded/game
    2.83
  • 1.27
    xG
    0.99
  • 1.49
    xGA
    1.86

Trends

  • 40%
    Both Score
    33%
  • 40%
    Clean Sheet
    0%

Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera: Statistics and Analysis - Serie D Group D 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

The fixture is part of game week 5th of the Serie D Group D season. Tropical Coriano currently sits in position 14th of the Serie D Group D table. Pontedera occupies position 18th.

Stat Probabilities for Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Tropical Coriano and Pontedera point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Over 9.5 corners: this match has a 83% chance of producing 10 or more corners.

Corners against Tropical Coriano: opponents have taken 5 or more corners in 80% of Tropical Coriano's matches.

Pontedera over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Pontedera conceding 2 or more goals.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera?

According to the latest match odds, Tropical Coriano is the favorite at 2.25 an implied probability of about 44.44%. The full 1X2 market has Tropical Coriano at 2.25, the draw at 3.38, and Pontedera at 3.77.

Overall performance in the Serie D Group D

Tropical Coriano's record so far reads 1W-2D-2L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 1 points per game.

Pontedera stands at 0W-0D-6L from 6 played, winning 0% of their matches at 0 points per game.

In their last five, Tropical Coriano has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Pontedera's last five read 0W-0D-5L, at 0 points per game.

At home, Tropical Coriano has a 0% win rate (0W-2D-1L from 3 played).

On the road, Pontedera has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-3L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera

In attack, Tropical Coriano averages 0.6 goals scored per game in the Serie D Group D (3 in total), while conceding 0.8 per game (4 in total).

Pontedera averages 0.5 goals scored per game (3 in total) and 2.83 conceded per game (17 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera

Who is the favorite in Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera?

Tropical Coriano is the favorite at odds of 2.25, an implied probability of about 44.44%. Tropical Coriano is priced at 2.25, the draw at 3.38 and Pontedera at 3.77.

Where can I find Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera stats?

All key statistics for Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera are on this page, updated in real time.