Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón

Argentina - Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown

v.s

25 Oct 2026 14:30

Deportivo Morón
Deportivo Morón

Deportivo Morón are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.76 overall shots and 1.41 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

38%
Almirante Brown to win
33%
Draw
29%
Deportivo Morón to win

The result market leans toward Almirante Brown at 41%. The points profile supports that read: Almirante Brown average 1.88 PPG and Deportivo Morón average 1.12 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Almirante Brown
1
wins
7
draws
Deportivo Morón
3
wins
55%
BTTS
6/11
91%
OVER 0.5
10/11
64%
OVER 1.5
7/11
18%
OVER 2.5
2/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    1.97

    League 1.96

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    36%

    League 33%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    42%

    League 40%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.82

    League 4.97

  • Corners

    Below average

    6.94

    League 8.59

Based on 618 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Almirante Brown average 8.47 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.59, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Almirante Brown

Home

DDLLL
VS

Deportivo Morón

Away

LLWLL

Points & Results

  • 1.41
    PPG
    1.71
  • 35%
    Wins
    50%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    56%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.82
    Scored/game
    1.50
  • 0.71
    Conceded/game
    1.06
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.41
  • 1.29
    xGA
    1.18

Trends

  • 29%
    Both Score
    53%
  • 53%
    Clean Sheet
    29%

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón: Statistics and Analysis - Primera Nacional 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Primera Nacional match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:30.

The venue is Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

The fixture is part of game week 35th of the Primera Nacional season. Almirante Brown currently sits in position 15th of the Primera Nacional table. Deportivo Morón occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón at 42%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón point to a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

According to the latest match odds, Almirante Brown is the favorite at 3.03 an implied probability of about 33.00%. The full 1X2 market has Almirante Brown at 3.03, the draw at 2.817, and Deportivo Morón at 3.636.

Overall performance in the Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown's record so far reads 12W-12D-10L from 34 played a win rate of 35% at 1.41 points per game.

Deportivo Morón stands at 17W-7D-10L from 34 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.71 points per game.

In their last five, Almirante Brown has gone 0W-2D-3L, averaging 0.4 points per game.

Deportivo Morón's last five read 1W-0D-4L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Almirante Brown has a 53% win rate (9W-5D-3L from 17 played).

On the road, Deportivo Morón has won 29% of their matches (5W-4D-8L from 17 played).

Goal statistics for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón

In attack, Almirante Brown averages 0.82 goals scored per game in the Primera Nacional (28 in total), while conceding 0.71 per game (24 in total).

Deportivo Morón averages 1.5 goals scored per game (51 in total) and 1.06 conceded per game (36 in total).

Almirante Brown's top scorer this season is Javier Ezequiel Martínez, with 4 goals.

For Deportivo Morón, Franco Fagundez Acosta leads the scoring charts with 15 goals this season.

Almirante Brown's main creator is Marcos Ulises Abreliano, with 4 assists.

Franco Fagundez Acosta tops the Deportivo Morón assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón

Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Almirante Brown wins: 1

  • Draws: 7

  • Deportivo Morón wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón

When is Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 1-7-3 (Almirante Brown wins – draws – Deportivo Morón wins).

What was the last match between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Morón?

The two sides last met on 07/06/2026, and the result was Deportivo Morón 1 vs 0 Almirante Brown. Full details: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón, 07/06/2026.

Who is the favorite in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

Almirante Brown is the favorite at odds of 3.03, an implied probability of about 33.00%. Almirante Brown is priced at 3.03, the draw at 2.817 and Deportivo Morón at 3.636.

Where can I find a Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón prediction page.

Where can I find Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón stats?

All key statistics for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón?

Live streaming information is available on our Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón stream page.