Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

Italy - Serie D Group D

v.s

11 Oct 2026 09:00

Città di Varese are creating the better shooting profile with average 3 overall shots and 1.07 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.17 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

49%
Città di Varese to win
28%
Draw
23%
Oltrepò to win

The result market leans toward Città di Varese at 53%. The points profile supports that read: Città di Varese average 0.5 PPG and Oltrepò average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Città di Varese
1
wins
1
draws
Oltrepò
0
wins
50%
BTTS
1/2
100%
OVER 0.5
2/2
100%
OVER 1.5
2/2
100%
OVER 2.5
2/2

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.58

    League 2.58

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    42%

    League 52%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    59%

    League 50%

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    6.40

    League 9.33

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Città di Varese average 11 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.33, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    91%
    UNDER
    9%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    41%
    UNDER
    59%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    16%
    UNDER
    84%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 91% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Città di Varese

Home

LDWDL
VS

Oltrepò

Away

LLLWD

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    0.67
  • 17%
    Wins
    17%
  • 67%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.17
    Scored/game
    0.83
  • 1.17
    Conceded/game
    2.00
  • 1.07
    xG
    1.07
  • 1.26
    xGA
    1.34

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 33%
    Clean Sheet
    17%

Città di Varese vs Oltrepò: Statistics and Analysis - Serie D Group D 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Città di Varese vs Oltrepò - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Serie D Group D match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Serie D Group D season. Città di Varese currently sits in position 9th of the Serie D Group D table. Oltrepò occupies position 15th.

Stat Probabilities for Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Città di Varese vs Oltrepò at 59%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Città di Varese and Oltrepò point to a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Corners against Città di Varese: opponents have taken 5 or more corners in 83% of Città di Varese's matches.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Città di Varese vs Oltrepò prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Città di Varese vs Oltrepò?

According to the latest match odds, Città di Varese is the favorite at 1.98 an implied probability of about 50.51%. The full 1X2 market has Città di Varese at 1.98, the draw at 3.46, and Oltrepò at 4.03.

Overall performance in the Serie D Group D

Città di Varese's record so far reads 1W-3D-2L from 6 played a win rate of 17% at 1 points per game.

Oltrepò stands at 1W-1D-4L from 6 played, winning 17% of their matches at 0.67 points per game.

In their last five, Città di Varese has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Oltrepò's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Città di Varese has a 0% win rate (0W-1D-1L from 2 played).

On the road, Oltrepò has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

In attack, Città di Varese averages 1.17 goals scored per game in the Serie D Group D (7 in total), while conceding 1.17 per game (7 in total).

Oltrepò averages 0.83 goals scored per game (5 in total) and 2 conceded per game (12 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

Città di Varese and Oltrepò have met 2 times in recent years. The record:

  • Città di Varese wins: 1

  • Draws: 1

  • Oltrepò wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

When is Città di Varese vs Oltrepò?

The match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Città di Varese and Oltrepò?

Across their last 2 meetings the record is 1-1-0 (Città di Varese wins – draws – Oltrepò wins).

What was the last match between Città di Varese and Oltrepò?

The two sides last met on 29/01/2025, and the result was Città di Varese 3 vs 0 Oltrepò. Full details: Città di Varese vs Oltrepò, 29/01/2025.

Who is the favorite in Città di Varese vs Oltrepò?

Città di Varese is the favorite at odds of 1.98, an implied probability of about 50.51%. Città di Varese is priced at 1.98, the draw at 3.46 and Oltrepò at 4.03.

Where can I find a Città di Varese vs Oltrepò prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Città di Varese vs Oltrepò prediction page.

Where can I find Città di Varese vs Oltrepò stats?

All key statistics for Città di Varese vs Oltrepò are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Città di Varese vs Oltrepò?

Live streaming information is available on our Città di Varese vs Oltrepò stream page.