Toulouse vs Troyes

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse

v.s

24 Oct 2026 11:15

Troyes

Toulouse are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.57 overall shots and 1.49 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.71 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

58%
Toulouse to win
23%
Draw
19%
Troyes to win

The result market leans toward Toulouse at 62%. The points profile supports that read: Toulouse average 1 PPG and Troyes average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Toulouse
5
wins
3
draws
Troyes
0
wins
25%
BTTS
2/8
75%
OVER 0.5
6/8
50%
OVER 1.5
4/8
38%
OVER 2.5
3/8

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.50

    League 3.05

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    33%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    33%

    League 63%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    2.34

    League 3.59

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    13.00

    League 9.41

Based on 63 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Toulouse average 10.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    92%
    UNDER
    8%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    57%
    UNDER
    43%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    42%
    UNDER
    58%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 92% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Toulouse

Home

WDWDL
VS

Troyes

Away

LLLLL

Points & Results

  • 1.29
    PPG
    0.57
  • 29%
    Wins
    14%
  • 43%
    First to Score
    29%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.71
    Scored/game
    0.71
  • 1.57
    Conceded/game
    2.29
  • 1.49
    xG
    1.51
  • 1.55
    xGA
    1.36

Trends

  • 57%
    Both Score
    43%
  • 14%
    Clean Sheet
    14%

Toulouse vs Troyes: Statistics and Analysis - Ligue 1 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Toulouse vs Troyes - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:15.

The venue is Stadium de Toulouse.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Ligue 1 season. Toulouse currently sits in position 11th of the Ligue 1 table. Troyes occupies position 17th.

Stat Probabilities for Toulouse vs Troyes

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Toulouse vs Troyes at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Toulouse and Troyes point to a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Toulouse vs Troyes prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Toulouse vs Troyes?

According to the latest match odds, Toulouse is the favorite at 1.79 an implied probability of about 55.87%. The full 1X2 market has Toulouse at 1.79, the draw at 4.48, and Troyes at 5.36.

Overall performance in the Ligue 1

Toulouse's record so far reads 2W-3D-2L from 7 played a win rate of 29% at 1.29 points per game.

Troyes stands at 1W-1D-5L from 7 played, winning 14% of their matches at 0.57 points per game.

In their last five, Toulouse has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Troyes's last five read 0W-0D-5L, at 0 points per game.

At home, Toulouse has a 33% win rate (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

On the road, Troyes has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Toulouse vs Troyes

In attack, Toulouse averages 1.71 goals scored per game in the Ligue 1 (12 in total), while conceding 1.57 per game (11 in total).

Troyes averages 0.71 goals scored per game (5 in total) and 2.29 conceded per game (16 in total).

Toulouse's top scorer this season is Yann Gboho, with 8 goals.

For Troyes, Tawfik Bentayeb leads the scoring charts with 18 goals this season.

Toulouse's main creator is Santiago Hidalgo Massa, with 6 assists.

Martin Adeline tops the Troyes assist chart with 10.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Toulouse vs Troyes

Toulouse and Troyes have met 8 times in recent years. The record:

  • Toulouse wins: 5

  • Draws: 3

  • Troyes wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Toulouse vs Troyes

When is Toulouse vs Troyes?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:15.

What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Troyes?

Across their last 8 meetings the record is 5-3-0 (Toulouse wins – draws – Troyes wins).

What was the last match between Toulouse and Troyes?

The two sides last met on 01/02/2023, and the result was Toulouse 4 vs 1 Troyes. Full details: Toulouse vs Troyes, 01/02/2023.

Who is the favorite in Toulouse vs Troyes?

Toulouse is the favorite at odds of 1.79, an implied probability of about 55.87%. Toulouse is priced at 1.79, the draw at 4.48 and Troyes at 5.36.

Where can I find a Toulouse vs Troyes prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Toulouse vs Troyes prediction page.

Where can I find Toulouse vs Troyes stats?

All key statistics for Toulouse vs Troyes are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Toulouse vs Troyes?

Live streaming information is available on our Toulouse vs Troyes stream page.