Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

Japan - J1 League

v.s

21 Oct 2026 06:00

Machida Zelvia are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.1 overall shots and 1.47 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

26%
Shimizu S-Pulse to win
29%
Draw
45%
Machida Zelvia to win

The result market leans toward Machida Zelvia at 48%. The points profile supports that read: Shimizu S-Pulse average 1.33 PPG and Machida Zelvia average 2.6 PPG in the comparable split.

Shimizu S-Pulse
3
wins
2
draws
Machida Zelvia
3
wins
63%
BTTS
5/8
100%
OVER 0.5
8/8
100%
OVER 1.5
8/8
88%
OVER 2.5
7/8

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.70

    League 2.92

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    47%

    League 55%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    55%

    League 56%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    1.63

    League 3.07

  • Corners

    Above average

    10.40

    League 9.27

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Shimizu S-Pulse average 9.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.27, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Shimizu S-Pulse

Home

DWWWL
VS

Machida Zelvia

Away

WWLDW

Points & Results

  • 1.40
    PPG
    2.30
  • 40%
    Wins
    70%
  • 30%
    First to Score
    60%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    2.50
  • 1.10
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.27
    xG
    1.47
  • 1.53
    xGA
    1.40

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    70%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    30%

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia: Statistics and Analysis - J1 League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This J1 League match will be played on 21/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 11:00.

The venue is Iwagin Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the J1 League season. Shimizu S-Pulse currently sits in position 10th of the J1 League table. Machida Zelvia occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Shimizu S-Pulse and Machida Zelvia point to a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

According to the latest match odds, Machida Zelvia is the favorite at 2.31 an implied probability of about 43.29%. The full 1X2 market has Shimizu S-Pulse at 4, the draw at 7.5, and Machida Zelvia at 2.31.

Overall performance in the J1 League

Shimizu S-Pulse's record so far reads 4W-2D-4L from 10 played a win rate of 40% at 1.4 points per game.

Machida Zelvia stands at 7W-2D-1L from 10 played, winning 70% of their matches at 2.3 points per game.

In their last five, Shimizu S-Pulse has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Machida Zelvia's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Shimizu S-Pulse has a 33% win rate (2W-2D-2L from 6 played).

On the road, Machida Zelvia has won 80% of their matches (4W-1D-0L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

In attack, Shimizu S-Pulse averages 1 goals scored per game in the J1 League (10 in total), while conceding 1.1 per game (11 in total).

Machida Zelvia averages 2.5 goals scored per game (25 in total) and 1 conceded per game (10 in total).

Shimizu S-Pulse's top scorer this season is Se-Hun Oh, with 2 goals.

For Machida Zelvia, Yuki Soma leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season.

Shimizu S-Pulse's main creator is Tomoya Fujii, with 3 assists.

Yuki Soma tops the Machida Zelvia assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

Shimizu S-Pulse and Machida Zelvia have met 8 times in recent years. The record:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse wins: 3

  • Draws: 2

  • Machida Zelvia wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

When is Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

The match will be played on 21/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 11:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Shimizu S-Pulse and Machida Zelvia?

Across their last 8 meetings the record is 3-2-3 (Shimizu S-Pulse wins – draws – Machida Zelvia wins).

What was the last match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Machida Zelvia?

The two sides last met on 05/07/2025, and the result was Machida Zelvia 3 vs 0 Shimizu S-Pulse. Full details: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia, 05/07/2025.

Who is the favorite in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is the favorite at odds of 2.31, an implied probability of about 43.29%. Shimizu S-Pulse is priced at 4, the draw at 7.5 and Machida Zelvia at 2.31.

Where can I find a Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction page.

Where can I find Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia stats?

All key statistics for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Live streaming information is available on our Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia stream page.