Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Japan - J1 League

v.s

11 Oct 2026 02:00

Mito Hollyhock are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.75 overall shots and 1.23 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.38 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

36%
Mito Hollyhock to win
29%
Draw
35%
Shimizu S-Pulse to win

The result market leans toward Mito Hollyhock at 38%. The points profile supports that read: Mito Hollyhock average 1.25 PPG and Shimizu S-Pulse average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Mito Hollyhock
0
wins
4
draws
Shimizu S-Pulse
2
wins
67%
BTTS
4/6
67%
OVER 0.5
4/6
67%
OVER 1.5
4/6
50%
OVER 2.5
3/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.38

    League 2.96

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    29%

    League 54%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    54%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    4.08

    League 2.99

  • Corners

    Above average

    10.00

    League 9.23

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Shimizu S-Pulse average 15.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.23, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    62%
    UNDER
    38%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    31%
    UNDER
    69%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    18%
    UNDER
    82%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Mito Hollyhock

Home

LLDWD
VS

Shimizu S-Pulse

Away

WWLDL

Points & Results

  • 1.13
    PPG
    1.25
  • 25%
    Wins
    38%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    25%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.38
    Scored/game
    0.75
  • 1.38
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.23
    xG
    1.27
  • 1.73
    xGA
    1.63

Trends

  • 75%
    Both Score
    38%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    25%

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Statistics and Analysis - J1 League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This J1 League match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at07:00.

The venue is K's denki Stadium Mito.

The fixture is part of game week 9th of the J1 League season.

Mito Hollyhock currently sits in position 13th of the J1 League table.

Shimizu S-Pulse occupies position 12th.

Stat Probabilities for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

  • Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse at 54%.

  • Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse point to a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse predictionpage.

Who is the favorite in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

According to the latest match odds, Shimizu S-Pulse is the favorite at 2.78 — an implied probability of about 35.97%. The full 1X2 market has Mito Hollyhock at 2.87, the draw at 3.56, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 2.78.

Overall performance in the J1 League

Mito Hollyhock's record so far reads 2W-3D-3L from 8 played — a win rate of 25% at 1.13 points per game.

Shimizu S-Pulse stands at 3W-1D-4L from 8 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.25 points per game.

In their last five, Mito Hollyhock has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Shimizu S-Pulse's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Mito Hollyhock has a 25% win rate (1W-2D-1L from 4 played).

On the road, Shimizu S-Pulse has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

In attack, Mito Hollyhock averages 1.38 goals scored per game in the J1 League (11 in total), while conceding 1.38 per game (11 in total).

Shimizu S-Pulse averages 0.75 goals scored per game (6 in total) and 1 conceded per game (8 in total).

Mito Hollyhock's top scorer this season is Arata Watanabe, with 5 goals.

For Shimizu S-Pulse, Se-Hun Oh leads the scoring charts with 2 goals this season.

Mito Hollyhock's main creator is Yoshiki Torikai, with 2 assists.

Tomoya Fujii tops the Shimizu S-Pulse assist chart with 2.

More detail — goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates — is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Mito Hollyhock wins: 0

  • Draws: 4

  • Shimizu S-Pulse wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

The match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 07:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 0-4-2 (Mito Hollyhock wins – draws – Shimizu S-Pulse wins).

What was the last match between Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse?

The two sides last met on 06/10/2024, and the result was Mito Hollyhock 2 vs 2 Shimizu S-Pulse. Full details: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse, 06/10/2024.

Who is the favorite in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Shimizu S-Pulse is the favorite at odds of 2.78, an implied probability of about 35.97%. Mito Hollyhock is priced at 2.87, the draw at 3.56 and Shimizu S-Pulse at 2.78.

Where can I find a Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction?

Our full match prediction — main tip, alternative markets and probabilities — is on the Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction page.

Where can I find Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse stats?

All key statistics for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — goals, corners, cards, form and head-to-head — are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Live streaming information is available on our Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse stream page.