Manchester City vs Brighton

England - EFL Cup

v.s

28 Oct 2026 15:30

Manchester City are creating the better shooting profile with average 9.5 overall shots and 2.6 xG. Their season scoring average is 2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

58%

Manchester City to win

22%

Draw

20%

Brighton to win

Head-to-Head

07/01/2026, 19:30Premier League
Manchester City
1 - 1
Brighton
07/01/2026, 19:30
Premier League
Manchester City
1 - 1
Brighton
31/08/2025, 13:00Premier League
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
31/08/2025, 13:00
Premier League
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
15/03/2025, 15:00Premier League
Manchester City
2 - 2
Brighton
15/03/2025, 15:00
Premier League
Manchester City
2 - 2
Brighton
09/11/2024, 17:30Premier League
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
09/11/2024, 17:30
Premier League
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
25/04/2024, 19:00Premier League
Brighton
0 - 4
Manchester City
25/04/2024, 19:00
Premier League
Brighton
0 - 4
Manchester City

Manchester City

wins

draws

Brighton

wins

75%

BTTS

9/12

100%

OVER 0.5

12/12

92%

OVER 1.5

11/12

75%

OVER 2.5

9/12

Avg. Goals
Well above avg
5.00
League 3.09
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
100%
League 56%
Both Teams Score
Below average
50%
League 55%
Cards
Well above avg
4.00
League 3.14
Corners
Well below avg
5.00
League 10.14

Over / Under

0.5
1+ gol
OVER
100%
UNDER
0%
1.5
2+ gol
OVER
100%
UNDER
0%
2.5
3+ gol
OVER
100%
UNDER
0%
3.5
4+ gol
OVER
100%
UNDER
0%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Manchester City

Home

Brighton

Away

Points & Results

1.50
PPG
2.29
50%
Wins
71%
50%
First to Score
71%

Goals Scored & Conceded

2.00
Scored/game
3.29
2.00
Conceded/game
0.71
2.60
xG
1.93
1.18
xGA
1.17

Trends

50%
Both Score
29%
50%
Clean Sheet
71%

#
1	Fleetwood Town	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	Peterborough United	3	2	1	0	9	4	+5	7
3	Bradford City	3	2	1	0	5	1	+4	7
4	Brentford	2	2	0	0	8	2	+6	6
5	Everton	2	2	0	0	5	0	+5	6
6	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	8	3	+5	6
7	Wolverhampton	3	2	0	1	5	1	+4	6
8	Fulham	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
9	West Ham	3	2	0	1	9	5	+4	6
10	Sheffield United	3	2	0	1	5	2	+3	6
11	Newcastle United	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
12	Middlesbrough	3	2	0	1	4	4	0	6
13	Lincoln City	3	2	0	1	6	6	0	6
14	Norwich City	3	2	0	1	6	7	-1	6
15	Barnsley	3	1	2	0	7	6	+1	5
16	Stoke City	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
17	Reading	3	1	1	1	5	3	+2	4
18	Walsall	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
19	Millwall	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
20	Leyton Orient	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
21	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
22	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
23	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
24	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
25	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
26	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	4	2	+2	3
27	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	6	4	+2	3
28	West Bromwich	2	1	0	1	6	4	+2	3
29	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
30	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	2	1	+1	3
31	Brighton	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
32	Luton Town	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3
33	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
34	Blackburn Rovers	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
35	Cardiff City	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
36	Crewe Alexandra	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
37	Plymouth Argyle	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
38	Coventry City	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3
39	Ipswich Town	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3
40	Sheffield Wednesday	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3
41	Leicester	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
42	Southampton	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3
43	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
44	Leeds	2	1	0	1	5	6	-1	3
45	Stevenage	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3
46	Charlton Athletic	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3
47	Watford	2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3
48	Birmingham City	2	1	0	1	2	6	-4	3
49	Burnley	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
50	Bromley	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
51	Huddersfield Town	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
52	Newport County	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
53	Notts County	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
54	Queens Park Rangers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
55	Salford City	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
56	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
57	Wigan Athletic	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
58	Tranmere Rovers	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1
59	Hull City	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
60	Doncaster Rovers	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
61	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
62	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1
63	Preston North End	2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1
64	Shrewsbury Town	2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1
65	Bolton Wanderers	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
66	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
67	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
68	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
69	Northampton Town	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
70	Swansea City	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
71	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
72	Accrington Stanley	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
73	Barnet	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
74	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
75	Derby County	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
76	Wycombe Wanderers	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
77	Manchester United	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
78	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
79	Colchester United	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
80	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
81	Nottingham Forest	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
82	Oldham Athletic	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
83	Oxford United	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
84	York City	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
85	Cheltenham Town	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
86	Grimsby Town	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
87	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
88	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
89	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
90	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
91	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
92	Rotherham United	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0

Manchester City vs Brighton: Statistics and Analysis - EFL Cup 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Manchester City vs Brighton - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This EFL Cup match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 19:30.

The venue is Etihad Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week N/A of the EFL Cup season. Manchester City currently sits in position 45th of the EFL Cup table. Brighton occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Manchester City vs Brighton

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Manchester City vs Brighton at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Manchester City and Brighton point to a 100% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Manchester City over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Manchester City a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Over 1.5 goals at half-time: combining both sides' numbers, the likelihood of 2 or more first-half goals is 100%.

Scored in both halves: Manchester City has scored in both halves in 100% of their matches in the competition.

Brighton over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Brighton a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Brighton over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Brighton conceding 2 or more goals.

Scored in both halves: Brighton has scored in both halves in 100% of their matches in the competition.

Brighton over 2.5 cards: Brighton has been shown 3 or more cards in 100% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Manchester City vs Brighton prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Manchester City vs Brighton?

According to the latest match odds, Manchester City is the favorite at 1.77 an implied probability of about 56.50%. The full 1X2 market has Manchester City at 1.77, the draw at 4.72, and Brighton at 4.96.

Overall performance in the EFL Cup

Manchester City's record so far reads 1W-0D-1L from 2 played a win rate of 50% at 1.5 points per game.

Brighton stands at 5W-1D-1L from 7 played, winning 71% of their matches at 2.29 points per game.

Brighton's last five read 4W-1D-0L, at 2.6 points per game.

At home, Manchester City has a 200% win rate (2W-0D-0L from 1 played).

On the road, Brighton has won 67% of their matches (2W-0D-1L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Manchester City vs Brighton

In attack, Manchester City averages 2 goals scored per game in the EFL Cup (5 in total), while conceding 2 per game (0 in total).

Brighton averages 3.29 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 0.71 conceded per game (4 in total).

Manchester City's top scorer this season is Erling Haaland, with 27 goals.

For Brighton, Danny Welbeck leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Manchester City's main creator is Ryan Cherki, with 12 assists.

Yankuba Minteh tops the Brighton assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Manchester City vs Brighton

Manchester City and Brighton have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

Manchester City wins: 6
Draws: 3
Brighton wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Manchester City vs Brighton

When is Manchester City vs Brighton?

The match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 19:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Brighton?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-3-3 (Manchester City wins – draws – Brighton wins).

What was the last match between Manchester City and Brighton?

The two sides last met on 07/01/2026, and the result was Manchester City 1 vs 1 Brighton. Full details: Manchester City vs Brighton, 07/01/2026.

Who is the favorite in Manchester City vs Brighton?

Manchester City is the favorite at odds of 1.77, an implied probability of about 56.50%. Manchester City is priced at 1.77, the draw at 4.72 and Brighton at 4.96.

Where can I find a Manchester City vs Brighton prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Manchester City vs Brighton prediction page.

Where can I find Manchester City vs Brighton stats?

All key statistics for Manchester City vs Brighton are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Manchester City vs Brighton?

Live streaming information is available on our Manchester City vs Brighton stream page.

Manchester City vs Brighton

Result Probability

Key Statistics

Over / Under

Team Performance

Predicted Lineup

Manchester City vs Brighton: Statistics and Analysis - EFL Cup 2026/2027

Stat Probabilities for Manchester City vs Brighton

Who is the favorite in Manchester City vs Brighton?

Overall performance in the EFL Cup

Goal statistics for Manchester City vs Brighton

Head-to-head: Manchester City vs Brighton

Frequently asked questions about Manchester City vs Brighton

When is Manchester City vs Brighton?

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Brighton?

What was the last match between Manchester City and Brighton?

Who is the favorite in Manchester City vs Brighton?

Where can I find a Manchester City vs Brighton prediction?

Where can I find Manchester City vs Brighton stats?

Where can I watch Manchester City vs Brighton?