Monaco vs Lille

France - Ligue 1

v.s

25 Oct 2026 10:00

Lille are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.43 overall shots and 1.47 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.43 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

45%
Monaco to win
26%
Draw
29%
Lille to win

The result market leans toward Monaco at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Monaco average 2.33 PPG and Lille average 2 PPG in the comparable split.

Monaco
2
wins
4
draws
Lille
6
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
75%
OVER 0.5
9/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.50

    League 3.05

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 63%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.33

    League 3.59

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.67

    League 9.41

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Monaco average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    71%
    UNDER
    29%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    14%
    UNDER
    86%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Monaco

Home

LDWDW
VS

Lille

Away

DWLWW

Points & Results

  • 2.00
    PPG
    2.00
  • 57%
    Wins
    57%
  • 57%
    First to Score
    71%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.43
    Scored/game
    1.43
  • 0.86
    Conceded/game
    0.71
  • 1.37
    xG
    1.47
  • 1.49
    xGA
    1.59

Trends

  • 57%
    Both Score
    43%
  • 29%
    Clean Sheet
    57%

Monaco vs Lille: Statistics and Analysis - Ligue 1 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Monaco vs Lille - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Ligue 1 season. Monaco currently sits in position 5th of the Ligue 1 table. Lille occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Monaco vs Lille

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Monaco vs Lille at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Monaco and Lille point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Monaco vs Lille prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Monaco vs Lille?

According to the latest match odds, Monaco is the favorite at 2.27 an implied probability of about 44.05%. The full 1X2 market has Monaco at 2.27, the draw at 4.05, and Lille at 3.55.

Overall performance in the Ligue 1

Monaco's record so far reads 4W-2D-1L from 7 played a win rate of 57% at 2 points per game.

Lille stands at 4W-2D-1L from 7 played, winning 57% of their matches at 2 points per game.

In their last five, Monaco has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Lille's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Monaco has a 67% win rate (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).

On the road, Lille has won 67% of their matches (2W-0D-1L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Monaco vs Lille

In attack, Monaco averages 1.43 goals scored per game in the Ligue 1 (10 in total), while conceding 0.86 per game (6 in total).

Lille averages 1.43 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 0.71 conceded per game (5 in total).

Monaco's top scorer this season is Folarin Balogun, with 13 goals.

For Lille, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Monaco's main creator is Maghnes Akliouche, with 6 assists.

Félix Correia tops the Lille assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Monaco vs Lille

Monaco and Lille have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Monaco wins: 2

  • Draws: 4

  • Lille wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Monaco vs Lille

When is Monaco vs Lille?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 14:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lille?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-4-6 (Monaco wins – draws – Lille wins).

What was the last match between Monaco and Lille?

The two sides last met on 10/05/2026, and the result was Monaco 0 vs 1 Lille. Full details: Monaco vs Lille, 10/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Monaco vs Lille?

Monaco is the favorite at odds of 2.27, an implied probability of about 44.05%. Monaco is priced at 2.27, the draw at 4.05 and Lille at 3.55.

Where can I find a Monaco vs Lille prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Monaco vs Lille prediction page.

Where can I find Monaco vs Lille stats?

All key statistics for Monaco vs Lille are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Monaco vs Lille?

Live streaming information is available on our Monaco vs Lille stream page.