Lens vs Paris

France - Ligue 1

v.s

24 Oct 2026 14:45

Lens are creating the better shooting profile with average 6 overall shots and 1.65 xG. Their season scoring average is 2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

40%
Lens to win
27%
Draw
33%
Paris to win

The result market leans toward Lens at 42%. The points profile supports that read: Lens average 2 PPG and Paris average 1.33 PPG in the comparable split.

Lens
6
wins
3
draws
Paris
2
wins
36%
BTTS
4/11
91%
OVER 0.5
10/11
64%
OVER 1.5
7/11
36%
OVER 2.5
4/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.84

    League 3.05

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 63%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    5.34

    League 3.59

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.33

    League 9.41

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Lens average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    71%
    UNDER
    29%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    71%
    UNDER
    29%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Lens

Home

WWLDL
VS

Paris

Away

WLWDW

Points & Results

  • 1.43
    PPG
    2.00
  • 43%
    Wins
    57%
  • 57%
    First to Score
    57%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.00
    Scored/game
    1.71
  • 1.57
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.65
    xG
    1.59
  • 1.38
    xGA
    1.25

Trends

  • 86%
    Both Score
    43%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    43%

Lens vs Paris: Statistics and Analysis - Ligue 1 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Lens vs Paris - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 19:45.

The venue is Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Ligue 1 season. Lens currently sits in position 8th of the Ligue 1 table. Paris occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Lens vs Paris

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Lens vs Paris at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Lens and Paris point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Lens vs Paris prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Lens vs Paris?

According to the latest match odds, Lens is the favorite at 2.52 an implied probability of about 39.68%. The full 1X2 market has Lens at 2.52, the draw at 3.97, and Paris at 3.12.

Overall performance in the Ligue 1

Lens's record so far reads 3W-1D-3L from 7 played a win rate of 43% at 1.43 points per game.

Paris stands at 4W-2D-1L from 7 played, winning 57% of their matches at 2 points per game.

In their last five, Lens has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Paris's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Lens has a 67% win rate (2W-0D-1L from 3 played).

On the road, Paris has won 33% of their matches (1W-1D-1L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Lens vs Paris

In attack, Lens averages 2 goals scored per game in the Ligue 1 (14 in total), while conceding 1.57 per game (11 in total).

Paris averages 1.71 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 1 conceded per game (7 in total).

Lens's top scorer this season is Wesley Saïd, with 12 goals.

For Paris, Ilan Kebbal leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Lens's main creator is Adrien Thomasson, with 10 assists.

Ilan Kebbal tops the Paris assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Lens vs Paris

Lens and Paris have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Lens wins: 6

  • Draws: 3

  • Paris wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Lens vs Paris

When is Lens vs Paris?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 19:45.

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Paris?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 6-3-2 (Lens wins – draws – Paris wins).

What was the last match between Lens and Paris?

The two sides last met on 14/02/2026, and the result was Paris 0 vs 5 Lens. Full details: Lens vs Paris, 14/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Lens vs Paris?

Lens is the favorite at odds of 2.52, an implied probability of about 39.68%. Lens is priced at 2.52, the draw at 3.97 and Paris at 3.12.

Where can I find a Lens vs Paris prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Lens vs Paris prediction page.

Where can I find Lens vs Paris stats?

All key statistics for Lens vs Paris are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Lens vs Paris?

Live streaming information is available on our Lens vs Paris stream page.