Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina

Italy - Serie D Group E

v.s

25 Oct 2026 09:30

Montevarchi Calcio are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.17 overall shots and 1.39 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Montevarchi Calcio to win
33%
Draw
33%
Grassina to win

The result market leans toward Montevarchi Calcio at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Montevarchi Calcio average 2 PPG and Grassina average 0.75 PPG in the comparable split.

Montevarchi Calcio
2
wins
1
draws
Grassina
0
wins
67%
BTTS
2/3
100%
OVER 0.5
3/3
100%
OVER 1.5
3/3
67%
OVER 2.5
2/3

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.88

    League 2.68

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    44%

    League 50%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 56%

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.46

    League 9.93

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Grassina average 12.25 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.93, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    93%
    UNDER
    7%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    43%
    UNDER
    57%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 93% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Montevarchi Calcio

Home

WLLWL
VS

Grassina

Away

WDLDL

Points & Results

  • 1.25
    PPG
    0.75
  • 38%
    Wins
    13%
  • 63%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    1.00
  • 1.50
    Conceded/game
    1.75
  • 1.39
    xG
    1.23
  • 1.91
    xGA
    1.71

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    25%

Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina: Statistics and Analysis - Serie D Group E 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Serie D Group E match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.

The fixture is part of game week 9th of the Serie D Group E season. Montevarchi Calcio currently sits in position 12th of the Serie D Group E table. Grassina occupies position 16th.

Stat Probabilities for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Montevarchi Calcio and Grassina point to a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Montevarchi Calcio at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Grassina at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Serie D Group E

Montevarchi Calcio's record so far reads 3W-1D-4L from 8 played a win rate of 38% at 1.25 points per game.

Grassina stands at 1W-3D-4L from 8 played, winning 13% of their matches at 0.75 points per game.

In their last five, Montevarchi Calcio has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Grassina's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, Montevarchi Calcio has a 67% win rate (2W-0D-1L from 3 played).

On the road, Grassina has won 0% of their matches (0W-3D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina

In attack, Montevarchi Calcio averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Serie D Group E (12 in total), while conceding 1.5 per game (12 in total).

Grassina averages 1 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 1.75 conceded per game (14 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina

Montevarchi Calcio and Grassina have met 3 times in recent years. The record:

  • Montevarchi Calcio wins: 2

  • Draws: 1

  • Grassina wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina

When is Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Montevarchi Calcio and Grassina?

Across their last 3 meetings the record is 2-1-0 (Montevarchi Calcio wins – draws – Grassina wins).

What was the last match between Montevarchi Calcio and Grassina?

The two sides last met on 24/02/2021, and the result was Montevarchi Calcio 2 vs 0 Grassina. Full details: Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina, 24/02/2021.

Who is the favorite in Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Montevarchi Calcio is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Grassina at 1.01.

Where can I find a Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina prediction page.

Where can I find Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina stats?

All key statistics for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?

Live streaming information is available on our Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina stream page.