Simba vs Mbeya City
Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara
Simba are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.71 overall shots and 1.74 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.38 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Simba at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Simba average 3 PPG and Mbeya City average 1 PPG in the comparable split.
- 17/06/2026, 11:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City0 - 1Simba17/06/2026, 11:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City
0 - 1
Simba - 04/12/2025, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba3 - 0Mbeya City04/12/2025, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
3 - 0
Mbeya City - 18/01/2023, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba3 - 2Mbeya City18/01/2023, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
3 - 2
Mbeya City - 23/11/2022, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City1 - 1Simba23/11/2022, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City
1 - 1
Simba - 16/06/2022, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba3 - 0Mbeya City16/06/2022, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
3 - 0
Mbeya City
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.50League 2.56
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
38%League 44%
Both Teams Score
Well below avg
38%League 51%
Corners
Above average
10.50League 8.53
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Simba average 9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.53, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER93%UNDER7%1.5
2+ gol
OVER81%UNDER19%2.5
3+ gol
OVER43%UNDER57%3.5
4+ gol
OVER12%UNDER88%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 93% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Simba
Home
Mbeya City
Away
Points & Results
- 3.00PPG1.25
- 100%Wins38%
- 88%First to Score25%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.381.00
- Conceded/game0.501.13
- xG1.741.32
- xGA0.791.43
Trends
- 50%Both Score38%
- 50%Clean Sheet38%
- 13/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba6 - 1WMashujaa13/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
6 - 1
MashujaaW - 10/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba2 - 1WYoung Africans10/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
2 - 1
Young AfricansW - 16/09/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraAzam0 - 2WSimba16/09/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraAzam
0 - 2
SimbaW - 31/08/2026, 15:30Ligi kuu BaraSimba2 - 0WGeita Gold31/08/2026, 15:30Ligi kuu BaraSimba
2 - 0
Geita GoldW - 27/08/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba1 - 0WCoastal Union27/08/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraSimba
1 - 0
Coastal UnionW - 22/08/2026, 15:00Ligi kuu BaraSingida Black Stars1 - 2WSimba22/08/2026, 15:00Ligi kuu BaraSingida Black Stars
1 - 2
SimbaW - 19/08/2026, 13:15Ligi kuu BaraPamba Jiji1 - 2WSimba19/08/2026, 13:15Ligi kuu BaraPamba Jiji
1 - 2
SimbaW
Simba scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.43 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraJKT Tanzania2 - 1LMbeya City18/10/2026, 16:00Ligi kuu BaraJKT Tanzania
2 - 1
Mbeya CityL - 09/10/2026, 13:15Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City1 - 3LKagera Sugar09/10/2026, 13:15Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City
1 - 3
Kagera SugarL - 12/09/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraPolisi Morogoro2 - 0LMbeya City12/09/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraPolisi Morogoro
2 - 0
Mbeya CityL - 04/09/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraTabora United0 - 0DMbeya City04/09/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraTabora United
0 - 0
Mbeya CityD - 28/08/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraFountain Gate0 - 2WMbeya City28/08/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraFountain Gate
0 - 2
Mbeya CityW - 23/08/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City2 - 1WMashujaa23/08/2026, 13:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City
2 - 1
MashujaaW - 19/08/2026, 11:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City2 - 0WDodoma Jiji19/08/2026, 11:00Ligi kuu BaraMbeya City
2 - 0
Dodoma JijiW
Mbeya City scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.14 goals.
Simba is +138% better in terms of Scored/game
Simba is +126% better in terms of Conceded/game
Simba is +32% better in terms of xG
Simba is +81% better in terms of xGA
Simba is +114% better in terms of First-Half Form
Mbeya City is +71% better in terms of Offsides
Simba is +5% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Simba is +128% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 24 | |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 18 | |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 17 | |
| 4 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 | JKT Tanzania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 6 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 | |
| 7 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | Polisi Morogoro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 | |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 | |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
Simba vs Mbeya City: Statistics and Analysis - Ligi kuu Bara 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Simba vs Mbeya City - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Ligi kuu Bara match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 01:00.
The fixture is part of game week 9th of the Ligi kuu Bara season. Simba currently sits in position 1st of the Ligi kuu Bara table. Mbeya City occupies position 9th.
Stat Probabilities for Simba vs Mbeya City
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Simba vs Mbeya City at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Simba and Mbeya City point to a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Simba over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Simba a 75% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Simba vs Mbeya City prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Simba vs Mbeya City?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Simba at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Mbeya City at 1.01.
Overall performance in the Ligi kuu Bara
Simba's record so far reads 8W-0D-0L from 8 played a win rate of 100% at 3 points per game.
Mbeya City stands at 3W-1D-4L from 8 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.25 points per game.
In their last five, Simba has gone 5W-0D-0L, averaging 3 points per game.
Mbeya City's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.
At home, Simba has a 100% win rate (4W-0D-0L from 4 played).
On the road, Mbeya City has won 25% of their matches (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).
Goal statistics for Simba vs Mbeya City
In attack, Simba averages 2.38 goals scored per game in the Ligi kuu Bara (19 in total), while conceding 0.5 per game (4 in total).
Mbeya City averages 1 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 1.13 conceded per game (9 in total).
Simba's top scorer this season is Anicet Alain Oura, with 2 goals.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Simba vs Mbeya City
Simba and Mbeya City have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Simba wins: 10
Draws: 1
Mbeya City wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Simba vs Mbeya City
When is Simba vs Mbeya City?
The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 01:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Mbeya City?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 10-1-1 (Simba wins – draws – Mbeya City wins).
What was the last match between Simba and Mbeya City?
The two sides last met on 17/06/2026, and the result was Mbeya City 0 vs 1 Simba. Full details: Simba vs Mbeya City, 17/06/2026.
Who is the favorite in Simba vs Mbeya City?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Simba is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Mbeya City at 1.01.
Where can I find a Simba vs Mbeya City prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Simba vs Mbeya City prediction page.
Where can I find Simba vs Mbeya City stats?
All key statistics for Simba vs Mbeya City are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Simba vs Mbeya City?
Live streaming information is available on our Simba vs Mbeya City stream page.