Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora
Estonia - Meistriliiga
Nõmme Kalju are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.41 overall shots and 1.86 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.69 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Nõmme Kalju at 41%. The points profile supports that read: Nõmme Kalju average 1.5 PPG and Tallinna FC Flora average 1.87 PPG in the comparable split.
- 05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora2 - 1Nõmme Kalju05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
2 - 1
Nõmme Kalju - 10/05/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju0 - 1Tallinna FC Flora10/05/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju
0 - 1
Tallinna FC Flora - 15/03/2026, 12:30MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora0 - 1Nõmme Kalju15/03/2026, 12:30MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
0 - 1
Nõmme Kalju - 28/09/2025, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju3 - 1Tallinna FC Flora28/09/2025, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju
3 - 1
Tallinna FC Flora - 06/07/2025, 18:30MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora1 - 0Nõmme Kalju06/07/2025, 18:30MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
1 - 0
Nõmme Kalju
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
3.17League 3.09
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
68%League 64%
Both Teams Score
Above average
61%League 56%
Cards
Above average
4.71League 4.29
Corners
Well above avg
14.24League 10.45
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Nõmme Kalju average 11.31 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER90%UNDER10%2.5
3+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%3.5
4+ gol
OVER50%UNDER50%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Nõmme Kalju
Home
Tallinna FC Flora
Away
Points & Results
- 1.59PPG1.81
- 47%Wins59%
- 59%First to Score59%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.691.94
- Conceded/game1.031.38
- xG1.861.90
- xGA1.411.48
Trends
- 53%Both Score56%
- 31%Clean Sheet31%
- 17/10/2026, 09:30MeistriliigaNõmme United3 - 0Nõmme KaljuL17/10/2026, 09:30MeistriliigaNõmme United
3 - 0
Nõmme KaljuL - 13/10/2026, 15:00MeistriliigaVaprus2 - 2Nõmme KaljuD13/10/2026, 15:00MeistriliigaVaprus
2 - 2
Nõmme KaljuD - 10/10/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju0 - 1Harju JalgpallikoolL10/10/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju
0 - 1
Harju JalgpallikoolL - 20/09/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaTammeka1 - 3Nõmme KaljuW20/09/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaTammeka
1 - 3
Nõmme KaljuW - 12/09/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju2 - 0JK Narva TransW12/09/2026, 11:30MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju
2 - 0
JK Narva TransW - 08/09/2026, 15:00MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju1 - 2Nõmme UnitedL08/09/2026, 15:00MeistriliigaNõmme Kalju
1 - 2
Nõmme UnitedL - 05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora2 - 1Nõmme KaljuL05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
2 - 1
Nõmme KaljuL
Nõmme Kalju scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.29 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora2 - 0TammekaW18/10/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
2 - 0
TammekaW - 15/10/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora1 - 3Tallinna FC LevadiaL15/10/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
1 - 3
Tallinna FC LevadiaL - 11/10/2026, 13:30MeistriliigaKuressaare2 - 0Tallinna FC FloraL11/10/2026, 13:30MeistriliigaKuressaare
2 - 0
Tallinna FC FloraL - 20/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora3 - 2VaprusW20/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
3 - 2
VaprusW - 12/09/2026, 14:00MeistriliigaNõmme United2 - 3Tallinna FC FloraW12/09/2026, 14:00MeistriliigaNõmme United
2 - 3
Tallinna FC FloraW - 08/09/2026, 14:30MeistriliigaJK Narva Trans2 - 2Tallinna FC FloraD08/09/2026, 14:30MeistriliigaJK Narva Trans
2 - 2
Tallinna FC FloraD - 05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora2 - 1Nõmme KaljuW05/09/2026, 16:00MeistriliigaTallinna FC Flora
2 - 1
Nõmme KaljuW
Tallinna FC Flora scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.86 goals.
Tallinna FC Flora is +15% better in terms of Scored/game
Nõmme Kalju is +34% better in terms of Conceded/game
Tallinna FC Flora is +2% better in terms of xG
Nõmme Kalju is +5% better in terms of xGA
Nõmme Kalju is +19% better in terms of First-Half Form
Tallinna FC Flora is +16% better in terms of Offsides
Nõmme Kalju is +3% better in terms of Corners
Nõmme Kalju is +4% better in terms of Cards
Nõmme Kalju is +7% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 69Maksim Pavlov
Goalkeeper
- 4Alex Boronilštšikov
Defender
- 20Moudou Tambedou
Defender
- 46Roko Vukušić
Defender
- 78Danyl Mashchenko
Defender
- 8Oleksandr Musolitin
Midfielder
- 21Tiago Azevedo Baptista
Midfielder
- 26Rommi Siht
Midfielder
- 10Nikita Ivanov
Midfielder
- 11Mihhail Orlov
Forward
- 27Mattias Männilaan
Forward
- Henri Perk
Goalkeeper
- Johannes Lillemets
Defender
- Aleksandr Nikolajev
Defender
- Ibrahim Jabir
Forward
- Fjodor Jekimov
Defender
- Jens Kaspar Pihkva
Defender
- Enrique Eyang
Forward
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tallinna FC Levadia | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 87 | 22 | +65 | 81 | |
| 2 | Tallinna FC Flora | 32 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 44 | +18 | 58 | |
| 3 | Paide | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 39 | +13 | 57 | |
| 4 | Nõmme Kalju | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 33 | +21 | 51 | |
| 5 | Harju Jalgpallikool | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 47 | |
| 6 | Tammeka | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 47 | |
| 7 | Kuressaare | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 35 | |
| 8 | Vaprus | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 33 | |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 31 | |
| 10 | Trans | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 20 |
Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: Statistics and Analysis - Meistriliiga 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Meistriliiga match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 12:30.
The venue is Hiiu staadion.
The fixture is part of game week 33th of the Meistriliiga season. Nõmme Kalju currently sits in position 4th of the Meistriliiga table. Tallinna FC Flora occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora at 61%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora point to a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
According to the latest match odds, Nõmme Kalju is the favorite at 2.52 an implied probability of about 39.68%. The full 1X2 market has Nõmme Kalju at 2.52, the draw at 3.78, and Tallinna FC Flora at 2.57.
Overall performance in the Meistriliiga
Nõmme Kalju's record so far reads 15W-6D-11L from 32 played a win rate of 47% at 1.59 points per game.
Tallinna FC Flora stands at 19W-1D-12L from 32 played, winning 59% of their matches at 1.81 points per game.
In their last five, Nõmme Kalju has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.
Tallinna FC Flora's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.
At home, Nõmme Kalju has a 44% win rate (7W-3D-6L from 16 played).
On the road, Tallinna FC Flora has won 60% of their matches (9W-1D-5L from 15 played).
Goal statistics for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora
In attack, Nõmme Kalju averages 1.69 goals scored per game in the Meistriliiga (54 in total), while conceding 1.03 per game (33 in total).
Tallinna FC Flora averages 1.94 goals scored per game (62 in total) and 1.38 conceded per game (44 in total).
Nõmme Kalju's top scorer this season is Mattias Männilaan, with 10 goals.
For Tallinna FC Flora, Sander Alamaa leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.
Nõmme Kalju's main creator is Mihhail Orlov, with 8 assists.
Sander Alamaa tops the Tallinna FC Flora assist chart with 10.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Nõmme Kalju wins: 3
Draws: 4
Tallinna FC Flora wins: 5
Frequently asked questions about Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora
When is Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 12:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-4-5 (Nõmme Kalju wins – draws – Tallinna FC Flora wins).
What was the last match between Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora?
The two sides last met on 05/09/2026, and the result was Tallinna FC Flora 2 vs 1 Nõmme Kalju. Full details: Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora, 05/09/2026.
Who is the favorite in Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Nõmme Kalju is the favorite at odds of 2.52, an implied probability of about 39.68%. Nõmme Kalju is priced at 2.52, the draw at 3.78 and Tallinna FC Flora at 2.57.
Where can I find a Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora prediction page.
Where can I find Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora stats?
All key statistics for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Live streaming information is available on our Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora stream page.