Brest vs Nice

France - Ligue 1

v.s

23 Oct 2026 14:45

Brest are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.71 overall shots and 1.77 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.86 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

43%
Brest to win
26%
Draw
31%
Nice to win
Brest
3
wins
3
draws
Nice
6
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.00

    League 3.05

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    67%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 63%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.33

    League 3.59

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.67

    League 9.41

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Nice average 9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    92%
    UNDER
    8%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    78%
    UNDER
    22%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    64%
    UNDER
    36%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    21%
    UNDER
    79%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 92% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Brest

Home

DWLLW
VS

Nice

Away

LWWLD

Points & Results

  • 1.29
    PPG
    1.14
  • 29%
    Wins
    29%
  • 71%
    First to Score
    29%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.86
    Scored/game
    0.86
  • 1.43
    Conceded/game
    1.29
  • 1.77
    xG
    1.38
  • 1.39
    xGA
    1.37

Trends

  • 86%
    Both Score
    57%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    14%

Brest vs Nice: Statistics and Analysis - Ligue 1 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Brest vs Nice - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:45.

The venue is Stade Francis-Le Ble.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Ligue 1 season. Brest currently sits in position 10th of the Ligue 1 table. Nice occupies position 13th.

Stat Probabilities for Brest vs Nice

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Brest vs Nice at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Brest and Nice point to a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Brest vs Nice prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Brest vs Nice?

According to the latest match odds, Brest is the favorite at 2.42 an implied probability of about 41.32%. The full 1X2 market has Brest at 2.42, the draw at 3.66, and Nice at 3.53.

Overall performance in the Ligue 1

Brest's record so far reads 2W-3D-2L from 7 played a win rate of 29% at 1.29 points per game.

Nice stands at 2W-2D-3L from 7 played, winning 29% of their matches at 1.14 points per game.

In their last five, Brest has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Nice's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Brest has a 33% win rate (1W-1D-1L from 3 played).

On the road, Nice has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-3L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Brest vs Nice

In attack, Brest averages 1.86 goals scored per game in the Ligue 1 (13 in total), while conceding 1.43 per game (10 in total).

Nice averages 0.86 goals scored per game (6 in total) and 1.29 conceded per game (9 in total).

Brest's top scorer this season is Romain Del Castillo, with 9 goals.

For Nice, Sofiane Diop leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Brest's main creator is Ludovic Ajorque, with 9 assists.

Jonathan Clauss tops the Nice assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Brest vs Nice

Brest and Nice have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Brest wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • Nice wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Brest vs Nice

When is Brest vs Nice?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:45.

What is the head-to-head record between Brest and Nice?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-3-6 (Brest wins – draws – Nice wins).

What was the last match between Brest and Nice?

The two sides last met on 01/02/2026, and the result was Nice 2 vs 2 Brest. Full details: Brest vs Nice, 01/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Brest vs Nice?

Brest is the favorite at odds of 2.42, an implied probability of about 41.32%. Brest is priced at 2.42, the draw at 3.66 and Nice at 3.53.

Where can I find a Brest vs Nice prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Brest vs Nice prediction page.

Where can I find Brest vs Nice stats?

All key statistics for Brest vs Nice are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Brest vs Nice?

Live streaming information is available on our Brest vs Nice stream page.