Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario

Argentina - Primera C

v.s

17 Oct 2026 15:30

Leones de Rosario are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.7 overall shots and 1.36 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.9 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

26%
Mercedes to win
33%
Draw
41%
Leones de Rosario to win

The result market leans toward Leones de Rosario at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Mercedes average 1.8 PPG and Leones de Rosario average 1.47 PPG in the comparable split.

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    1.74

    League 1.91

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    19%

    League 28%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    33%

    League 36%

  • Corners

    Average

    7.81

    League 8.13

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Leones de Rosario average 9.07 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.13, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    5%
    UNDER
    95%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Mercedes

Home

WDWWD
VS

Leones de Rosario

Away

WWLDD

Points & Results

  • 1.42
    PPG
    1.50
  • 35%
    Wins
    37%
  • 52%
    First to Score
    47%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.97
    Scored/game
    0.90
  • 0.77
    Conceded/game
    0.80
  • 1.09
    xG
    1.36
  • 1.33
    xGA
    1.21

Trends

  • 29%
    Both Score
    37%
  • 48%
    Clean Sheet
    47%

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario: Statistics and Analysis - Primera C 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

The venue is Estadio Liga Mercedes.

The fixture is part of game week N/A of the Primera C season. Mercedes currently sits in position 12th of the Primera C table. Leones de Rosario occupies position 9th.

Stat Probabilities for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Mercedes and Leones de Rosario point to a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

According to the latest match odds, Leones de Rosario is the favorite at 2.42 an implied probability of about 41.32%. The full 1X2 market has Mercedes at 3.57, the draw at 3.14, and Leones de Rosario at 2.42.

Overall performance in the Primera C

Mercedes's record so far reads 11W-11D-9L from 31 played a win rate of 35% at 1.42 points per game.

Leones de Rosario stands at 11W-12D-7L from 30 played, winning 37% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.

In their last five, Mercedes has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Leones de Rosario's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Mercedes has a 33% win rate (5W-8D-3L from 15 played).

On the road, Leones de Rosario has won 33% of their matches (5W-7D-3L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario

In attack, Mercedes averages 0.97 goals scored per game in the Primera C (19 in total), while conceding 0.77 per game (13 in total).

Leones de Rosario averages 0.9 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 0.8 conceded per game (10 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario

Who is the favorite in Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Leones de Rosario is the favorite at odds of 2.42, an implied probability of about 41.32%. Mercedes is priced at 3.57, the draw at 3.14 and Leones de Rosario at 2.42.

Where can I find Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario stats?

All key statistics for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario are on this page, updated in real time.