Estonia vs Italy
International - World Cup Qualifiers Europe
- 36%Ball Possession64%
- 2Total Shots24
- 1Shots on Target9
- 0Corners8
- 22Fouls9
- 4Yellow Cards3
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well above avg
4.18League 3.32
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
78%League 61%
Both Teams Score
Above average
43%League 36%
Cards
Below average
3.30League 3.59
Corners
Average
9.05League 8.98
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER88%UNDER12%2.5
3+ gol
OVER77%UNDER23%3.5
4+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%
Team Performance
Estonia
Home
Italy
Away
Points & Results
- 0.60PPG2.25
- 20%Wins75%
- 60%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.003.00
- Conceded/game2.601.75
- xG0.922.42
- xGA2.551.18
Trends
- 60%Both Score25%
- 0%Clean Sheet50%
No Wins
Estonia hasn't Won in 3 Matches
Losses
Estonia has Lost its last 3 Matches
Matches Concending Goals
Estonia has Conceded in its last 8 Matches
Wins
Italy has Won its last 3 Matches
No Losses
Italy hasn't Lost in 3 Matches
- 05/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly5 - 0LEstonia05/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly
5 - 0
EstoniaL - 09/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeEstonia0 - 1LNorway09/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeEstonia
0 - 1
NorwayL - 06/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeEstonia1 - 3LIsrael06/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeEstonia
1 - 3
IsraelL - 25/03/2025, 17:00World Cup Qualifiers EuropeMoldova2 - 3WEstonia25/03/2025, 17:00World Cup Qualifiers EuropeMoldova
2 - 3
EstoniaW - 22/03/2025, 19:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeIsrael2 - 1LEstonia22/03/2025, 19:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeIsrael
2 - 1
EstoniaL
Estonia scored in 3/5 recent form matches and averaged 1 goals.
- 08/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeIsrael4 - 5WItaly08/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeIsrael
4 - 5
ItalyW - 05/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly5 - 0WEstonia05/09/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly
5 - 0
EstoniaW - 09/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly2 - 0WMoldova09/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeItaly
2 - 0
MoldovaW - 06/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeNorway3 - 0LItaly06/06/2025, 18:45World Cup Qualifiers EuropeNorway
3 - 0
ItalyL
Italy scored in 3/4 recent form matches and averaged 3 goals.
Italy is +200% better in terms of Scored/game
Italy is +49% better in terms of Conceded/game
Italy is +163% better in terms of xG
Italy is +116% better in terms of xGA
Estonia is +12% better in terms of First-Half Form
Estonia is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Italy is +6% better in terms of Corners
Estonia is +460% better in terms of Cards
Italy is +133% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group A | |||||||||||
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 15 | ||
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | ||
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 | ||
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | ||
| Group B | |||||||||||
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 14 | ||
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | ||
| Group C | |||||||||||
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 2 | ||
| Group D | |||||||||||
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | ||
| Group E | |||||||||||
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 3 | ||
| Group F | |||||||||||
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 13 | ||
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 3 | ||
| Group G | |||||||||||
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | +23 | 20 | ||
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 17 | ||
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | ||
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 5 | ||
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | ||
| Group H | |||||||||||
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 4 | +18 | 19 | ||
| 2 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 17 | ||
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 13 | ||
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | ||
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 39 | -37 | 0 | ||
| Group I | |||||||||||
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 | +32 | 24 | ||
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 18 | ||
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 | ||
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 32 | -27 | 1 | ||
| Group J | |||||||||||
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | +22 | 18 | ||
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 16 | ||
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 | ||
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 31 | -31 | 0 | ||
| Group K | |||||||||||
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | +22 | 24 | ||
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | ||
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | ||
| Group L | |||||||||||
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | +22 | 22 | ||
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 16 | ||
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | ||
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 | ||
Estonia vs Italy: Statistics and Analysis - World Cup Qualifiers Europe 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Estonia vs Italy - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This World Cup Qualifiers Europe match was played on 11/10/2025 (Saturday) and finished Estonia 1 - 3 Italy.
The fixture is part of game week 7th of the World Cup Qualifiers Europe season. Estonia currently sits in position 4th of the World Cup Qualifiers Europe table. Italy occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for Estonia vs Italy
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Estonia vs Italy at 43%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Estonia and Italy point to a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Over 1.5 goals at half-time: combining both sides' numbers, the likelihood of 2 or more first-half goals is 75%.
Italy over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Italy conceding 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Estonia vs Italy prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Estonia vs Italy?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Estonia at , the draw at , and Italy at .
Overall performance in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe
Estonia's record so far reads 1W-0D-4L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 0.6 points per game.
Italy stands at 3W-0D-1L from 4 played, winning 75% of their matches at 2.25 points per game.
In their last five, Estonia has gone 1W-0D-4L, averaging 0.6 points per game.
At home, Estonia has a 0% win rate (0W-0D-2L from 2 played).
On the road, Italy has won 50% of their matches (1W-0D-1L from 2 played).
Goal statistics for Estonia vs Italy
In attack, Estonia averages 1 goals scored per game in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe (5 in total), while conceding 2.6 per game (13 in total).
Italy averages 3 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 1.75 conceded per game (7 in total).
Estonia's top scorer this season is Mattias Käit, with 3 goals.
For Italy, Mateo Retegui leads the scoring charts with 5 goals this season.
Estonia's main creator is Kevor Palumets, with 2 assists.
Mateo Retegui tops the Italy assist chart with 4.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Estonia vs Italy
When was Estonia vs Italy played?
The match was played on 11/10/2025 (Saturday) and finished Estonia 1 - 3 Italy.
What was the last match between Estonia and Italy?
The two sides last met on 05/09/2025, and the result was Italy 5 vs 0 Estonia. Full details: Estonia vs Italy, 05/09/2025.
Who is the favorite in Estonia vs Italy?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Estonia is priced at , the draw at and Italy at .
Where can I find Estonia vs Italy stats?
All key statistics for Estonia vs Italy are on this page, updated in real time.