Bury vs Harrogate Town

England - FA Cup

v.s

17 Oct 2026 07:30

Bury are creating the better shooting profile with average 11 overall shots and 2.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 6.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

27%
Bury to win
24%
Draw
49%
Harrogate Town to win

The result market leans toward Harrogate Town at 54%. The points profile supports that read: Bury average 3 PPG and Harrogate Town average 1.8 PPG in the comparable split.

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.84

    League 3.31

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 64%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    34%

    League 56%

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    4.33

    League 9.32

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    66%
    UNDER
    34%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Bury

Home

WWW
VS

Harrogate Town

Away

Points & Results

  • 3.00
    PPG
    2.08
  • 100%
    Wins
    67%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    67%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 6.50
    Scored/game
    2.33
  • 0.50
    Conceded/game
    1.42
  • 2.59
    xG
    1.75
  • 0.47
    xGA
    1.15

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    75%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    25%

Bury vs Harrogate Town: Statistics and Analysis - FA Cup 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Bury vs Harrogate Town - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This FA Cup match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 12:30.

The venue is Gigg Lane.

The fixture is part of game week N/A of the FA Cup season. Bury currently sits in position 90th of the FA Cup table. Harrogate Town occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Bury vs Harrogate Town

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Bury vs Harrogate Town at 34%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Bury and Harrogate Town point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Bury over 4.5 corners: Bury has taken 5 or more corners in 73% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Bury vs Harrogate Town prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Bury vs Harrogate Town?

According to the latest match odds, Harrogate Town is the favorite at 2.04 an implied probability of about 49.02%. The full 1X2 market has Bury at 3.78, the draw at 4.16, and Harrogate Town at 2.04.

Overall performance in the FA Cup

Bury's record so far reads 2W-0D-0L from 2 played a win rate of 100% at 3 points per game.

Harrogate Town stands at 8W-1D-3L from 12 played, winning 67% of their matches at 2.08 points per game.

Harrogate Town's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Bury has a 100% win rate (2W-0D-0L from 2 played).

On the road, Harrogate Town has won 60% of their matches (3W-0D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Bury vs Harrogate Town

In attack, Bury averages 6.5 goals scored per game in the FA Cup (4 in total), while conceding 0.5 per game (1 in total).

Harrogate Town averages 2.33 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 1.42 conceded per game (8 in total).

For Harrogate Town, Stephen Winston Duke-McKenna leads the scoring charts with 5 goals this season.

Reece Smith tops the Harrogate Town assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Bury vs Harrogate Town

When is Bury vs Harrogate Town?

The match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 12:30.

Who is the favorite in Bury vs Harrogate Town?

Harrogate Town is the favorite at odds of 2.04, an implied probability of about 49.02%. Bury is priced at 3.78, the draw at 4.16 and Harrogate Town at 2.04.

Where can I find a Bury vs Harrogate Town prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Bury vs Harrogate Town prediction page.

Where can I find Bury vs Harrogate Town stats?

All key statistics for Bury vs Harrogate Town are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Bury vs Harrogate Town?

Live streaming information is available on our Bury vs Harrogate Town stream page.