FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia - Virsliga

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava

v.s

25 Oct 2026 08:00

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.64 overall shots and 1.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.18 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

32%
FS Jelgava to win
25%
Draw
43%
BFC Daugavpils to win

The result market leans toward BFC Daugavpils at 47%. The points profile supports that read: FS Jelgava average 0.88 PPG and BFC Daugavpils average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
FS Jelgava
0
wins
6
draws
BFC Daugavpils
6
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
67%
OVER 0.5
8/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
25%
OVER 2.5
3/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.51

    League 2.89

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    35%

    League 55%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 55%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.51

    League 4.03

  • Corners

    Average

    8.81

    League 9.56

Based on 165 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. FS Jelgava average 10.81 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.56, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    15%
    UNDER
    85%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

FS Jelgava

Home

LLLDL
VS

BFC Daugavpils

Away

WWDLD

Points & Results

  • 0.97
    PPG
    1.36
  • 24%
    Wins
    36%
  • 48%
    First to Score
    45%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.03
    Scored/game
    1.18
  • 1.70
    Conceded/game
    1.12
  • 1.32
    xG
    1.56
  • 1.75
    xGA
    1.58

Trends

  • 42%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 15%
    Clean Sheet
    27%

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Statistics and Analysis - Virsliga 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Virsliga match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 12:00.

The venue is Zemgales Olimpiskā centra.

The fixture is part of game week 34th of the Virsliga season. FS Jelgava currently sits in position 7th of the Virsliga table. BFC Daugavpils occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils point to a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction page.

Who is the favorite in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

According to the latest match odds, BFC Daugavpils is the favorite at 2.36 an implied probability of about 42.37%. The full 1X2 market has FS Jelgava at 2.94, the draw at 3.67, and BFC Daugavpils at 2.36.

Overall performance in the Virsliga

FS Jelgava's record so far reads 8W-8D-17L from 33 played a win rate of 24% at 0.97 points per game.

BFC Daugavpils stands at 12W-9D-12L from 33 played, winning 36% of their matches at 1.36 points per game.

In their last five, FS Jelgava has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.

BFC Daugavpils's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, FS Jelgava has a 25% win rate (4W-2D-10L from 16 played).

On the road, BFC Daugavpils has won 19% of their matches (3W-7D-6L from 16 played).

Goal statistics for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

In attack, FS Jelgava averages 1.03 goals scored per game in the Virsliga (34 in total), while conceding 1.7 per game (56 in total).

BFC Daugavpils averages 1.18 goals scored per game (39 in total) and 1.12 conceded per game (37 in total).

FS Jelgava's top scorer this season is Filip Hašek, with 8 goals.

For BFC Daugavpils, Rostand Ndjiki leads the scoring charts with 12 goals this season.

FS Jelgava's main creator is Glebs Žaleiko, with 7 assists.

Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'hand tops the BFC Daugavpils assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • FS Jelgava wins: 0

  • Draws: 6

  • BFC Daugavpils wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

When is FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 12:00.

What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 0-6-6 (FS Jelgava wins – draws – BFC Daugavpils wins).

What was the last match between FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils?

The two sides last met on 01/08/2026, and the result was BFC Daugavpils 2 vs 1 FS Jelgava. Full details: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils, 01/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

BFC Daugavpils is the favorite at odds of 2.36, an implied probability of about 42.37%. FS Jelgava is priced at 2.94, the draw at 3.67 and BFC Daugavpils at 2.36.

Where can I find a FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction page.

Where can I find FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils stats?

All key statistics for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

Live streaming information is available on our FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils stream page.