Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia - Virsliga

Ogre United

v.s

11 Oct 2026 07:00

BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.58 overall shots and 1.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.13 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

28%
Ogre United to win
24%
Draw
48%
BFC Daugavpils to win

The result market leans toward BFC Daugavpils at 54%. The points profile supports that read: Ogre United average 0.73 PPG and BFC Daugavpils average 0.87 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Ogre United
0
wins
0
draws
BFC Daugavpils
3
wins
67%
BTTS
2/3
100%
OVER 0.5
3/3
100%
OVER 1.5
3/3
100%
OVER 2.5
3/3

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.87

    League 2.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    47%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    67%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    2.73

    League 4.05

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.40

    League 9.52

Based on 154 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Ogre United average 9.87 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.52, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Ogre United

Home

WLDLL
VS

BFC Daugavpils

Away

DLDLD

Points & Results

  • 0.58
    PPG
    1.26
  • 13%
    Wins
    32%
  • 29%
    First to Score
    42%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.97
    Scored/game
    1.13
  • 2.45
    Conceded/game
    1.13
  • 1.20
    xG
    1.56
  • 2.13
    xGA
    1.58

Trends

  • 61%
    Both Score
    52%
  • 6%
    Clean Sheet
    29%

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: Statistics and Analysis - Virsliga 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils — goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Virsliga match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at12:00.

The venue is Salaspils sporta nama stadions.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Virsliga season.

Ogre United currently sits in position 10th of the Virsliga table.

BFC Daugavpils occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

  • Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils at 67%.

  • Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils point to a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils predictionpage.

Who is the favorite in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

According to the latest match odds, BFC Daugavpils is the favorite at 2.01 — an implied probability of about 49.75%. The full 1X2 market has Ogre United at 3.51, the draw at 3.78, and BFC Daugavpils at 2.01.

Overall performance in the Virsliga

Ogre United's record so far reads 4W-6D-21L from 31 played — a win rate of 13% at 0.58 points per game.

BFC Daugavpils stands at 10W-9D-12L from 31 played, winning 32% of their matches at 1.26 points per game.

In their last five, Ogre United has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

BFC Daugavpils's last five read 0W-3D-2L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Ogre United has a 13% win rate (2W-5D-8L from 15 played).

On the road, BFC Daugavpils has won 13% of their matches (2W-7D-6L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils

In attack, Ogre United averages 0.97 goals scored per game in the Virsliga (30 in total), while conceding 2.45 per game (76 in total).

BFC Daugavpils averages 1.13 goals scored per game (35 in total) and 1.13 conceded per game (35 in total).

Ogre United's top scorer this season is Kristers Čudars, with 9 goals.

For BFC Daugavpils, Rostand Ndjiki leads the scoring charts with 11 goals this season.

Ogre United's main creator is Kristers Čudars, with 2 assists.

Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'hand tops the BFC Daugavpils assist chart with 5.

More detail — goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates — is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils have met 3 times in recent years. The record:

  • Ogre United wins: 0

  • Draws: 0

  • BFC Daugavpils wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils

When is Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

The match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 12:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils?

Across their last 3 meetings the record is 0-0-3 (Ogre United wins – draws – BFC Daugavpils wins).

What was the last match between Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils?

The two sides last met on 19/07/2026, and the result was Ogre United 0 vs 4 BFC Daugavpils. Full details: Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils, 19/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

BFC Daugavpils is the favorite at odds of 2.01, an implied probability of about 49.75%. Ogre United is priced at 3.51, the draw at 3.78 and BFC Daugavpils at 2.01.

Where can I find a Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils prediction?

Our full match prediction — main tip, alternative markets and probabilities — is on the Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils prediction page.

Where can I find Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils stats?

All key statistics for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils — goals, corners, cards, form and head-to-head — are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Live streaming information is available on our Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils stream page.