Värnamo vs Varberg | Prediction | Superettan | 05/09
Sweden - Superettan
Värnamo and Varberg face each other on Saturday 09.05.2026, at 12:00 (UK Time), in a Superettan 2026 match. The game will take place at Värnamo's home ground, the Finnvedsvallen.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Värnamo and Varberg, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Värnamo vs Varberg
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.55
Confidence
77%
Last updated: 05-09-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Varberg win or draw
Our evaluations have shown there is not much separating Värnamo and Varberg overall. But given the extra betting edge that comes with the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to win the bet, we recommend taking Varberg to win or draw in this match.
With odds of 1.37, there is a good deal of value on Varberg to pull off a potential upset away from home against Värnamo, who have not been in the best form of late.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
Based on our analysis, Värnamo vs Varberg looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.
The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.
Värnamo preview
Värnamo heads into the match with the following record in the Superettan: in 21 matches, Värnamo secured 6 victories, 4 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.05 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Värnamo's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.
Värnamo has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 25 goals, of which 25 were scored in the Superettan, resulting in an average of 1.19 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Kai Meriluoto, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Simon Thern has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Värnamo has conceded 38 goals in the Superettan (an average of 1.81 per game) and 38 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.81 per match in the 2026 campaign.
- 18/10/2026GIF SundsvallVärnamoW0118/10/2026SuperettanGIF Sundsvall
v.s
Värnamo0 - 1W - 11/10/2026VärnamoFalkenbergL1211/10/2026SuperettanVärnamo
v.s
Falkenberg1 - 2L - 19/09/2026OddevoldVärnamoW1219/09/2026SuperettanOddevold
v.s
Värnamo1 - 2W - 15/09/2026VärnamoOstersL1315/09/2026SuperettanVärnamo
v.s
Osters1 - 3L - 09/09/2026United NordicVärnamoW2409/09/2026SuperettanUnited Nordic
v.s
Värnamo2 - 4W
Varberg preview
Varberg comes into the game with 21 matches played so far in the Superettan. They have secured 11 victories, 4 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.76 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses.
Varberg's attack has been highly effective, scoring 38 goals during this period. Of that total, 38 were netted in the Superettan, with an average of 1.81 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.81.
Varberg's offensive system is led by Wilhelm Ärlig, the team's top scorer this season. The swedish forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Albin Winbo. The midfielder has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 27 goals with an average of 1.29 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 27 goals in 21 matches, averaging 1.29 per match.
- 19/10/2026VarbergHelsingborgD0019/10/2026SuperettanVarberg
v.s
Helsingborg0 - 0D - 10/10/2026Östersunds FKVarbergD1110/10/2026SuperettanÖstersunds FK
v.s
Varberg1 - 1D - 19/09/2026VarbergBrageW3219/09/2026SuperettanVarberg
v.s
Brage3 - 2W - 14/09/2026NorrbyVarbergW1214/09/2026SuperettanNorrby
v.s
Varberg1 - 2W - 10/09/2026VarbergNorrköpingL0210/09/2026SuperettanVarberg
v.s
Norrköping0 - 2L
Head to head: Värnamo vs Varberg
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Värnamo
Home
Varberg
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.051.76
- 29%Wins52%
- 33%First to Score52%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.191.81
- Conceded/game1.811.29
- xG1.171.51
- xGA1.491.38
Trends
- 52%Both Score62%
- 19%Clean Sheet24%
- 33%Failed to Score24%
Access all match stats for Värnamo vs Varberg
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Värnamo vs Varberg