Toluca vs Monterrey prediction
Mexico - Liga MX
Double Chance: Toluca or Draw
Market: Double Chance: Toluca or Draw · @ 1.15
Confidence
79%
Last updated: 05-11-2026
Toluca and Monterrey face each other in an official match of the 2026/27 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 01:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. vs Club de Fútbol Monterrey Rayados, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
The Red Devils preview
Toluca comes into the match having played 15 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.6 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 28 wins, 17 draws, and 12 losses.
Toluca's attack has scored 109 goals during this period. Out of this total, 31 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2.07 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.91.
The offence system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 21 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 12 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 21 goals with an average of 1.4 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 64 goals conceded in 57 matches, resulting in an average of 1.12.
- 01/11/2026AméricaTolucaD2201/11/2026Liga MXAmérica
v.s
Toluca2 - 2D - 24/10/2026LeónTolucaD1124/10/2026Liga MXLeón
v.s
Toluca1 - 1D - 22/10/2026TolucaTijuanaD2222/10/2026Liga MXToluca
v.s
Tijuana2 - 2D - 18/10/2026TolucaAtlético San LuisD1118/10/2026Liga MXToluca
v.s
Atlético San Luis1 - 1D - 10/10/2026Tigres UANLTolucaL3210/10/2026Liga MXTigres UANL
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Toluca3 - 2L
The Striped Ones preview
On the other hand, Monterrey comes into the match having played 14 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.5 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 22 wins, 10 draws, and 20 losses.
Monterrey's attack has scored 87 goals during this period. Out of this total, 26 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.86 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.67.
The offence system of Monterrey is led by Germán Berterame as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 13 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Óliver Torres, who has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 21 goals with an average of 1.5 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 79 goals conceded in 52 matches, resulting in an average of 1.52.
- 01/11/2026MonterreyTijuanaD3301/11/2026Liga MXMonterrey
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Tijuana3 - 3D - 25/10/2026MonterreyGuadalajaraL0125/10/2026Liga MXMonterrey
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Guadalajara0 - 1L - 22/10/2026PueblaMonterreyW1422/10/2026Liga MXPuebla
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Monterrey1 - 4W - 19/10/2026MonterreyPachucaW2119/10/2026Liga MXMonterrey
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Pachuca2 - 1W - 11/10/2026AméricaMonterreyD1111/10/2026Liga MXAmérica
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Monterrey1 - 1D
Head to head: Toluca vs Monterrey
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Home
Monterrey
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.601.50
- 40%Wins43%
- 67%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.071.86
- Conceded/game1.401.50
- xG21.80
- xGA1.461.21
Trends
- 73%Both Score64%
- 27%Clean Sheet21%
- 7%Failed to Score21%
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Monterrey
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Toluca vs Monterrey
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 11.79% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 8.71% | |
| 3 | 1 - 2 | 8.02% | |
| 4 | 2 - 2 | 6.52% | |
| 5 | 1 - 0 | 6.08% | |
| 6 | 2 - 0 | 5.82% | |
| 7 | 0 - 1 | 5.52% | |
| 8 | 0 - 0 | 5.47% | |
| 9 | 0 - 2 | 4.94% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 4.72% | |
| 11 | 1 - 3 | 4.01% | |
| 12 | 3 - 2 | 3.53% |