Monterrey vs Guadalajara

Mexico - Liga MX

v.s

24 Oct 2026 20:00

Monterrey are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.91 overall shots and 1.81 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.73 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Monterrey to win
33%
Draw
33%
Guadalajara to win

The result market leans toward Monterrey at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Monterrey average 2.17 PPG and Guadalajara average 1.67 PPG in the comparable split.

Monterrey
3
wins
2
draws
Guadalajara
7
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.88

    League 3.00

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    44%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    57%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.66

    League 4.18

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    14.26

    League 10.94

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Guadalajara average 10.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.94, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Monterrey

Home

WDLWD
VS

Guadalajara

Away

DDLDW

Points & Results

  • 1.55
    PPG
    1.67
  • 45%
    Wins
    42%
  • 55%
    First to Score
    58%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.73
    Scored/game
    1.58
  • 1.45
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.81
    xG
    1.83
  • 1.24
    xGA
    1.26

Trends

  • 64%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 27%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

Monterrey vs Guadalajara: Statistics and Analysis - Liga MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Monterrey vs Guadalajara - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga MX match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

The venue is Estadio BBVA Bancomer.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga MX season. Monterrey currently sits in position 8th of the Liga MX table. Guadalajara occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Monterrey vs Guadalajara

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Monterrey vs Guadalajara at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Monterrey and Guadalajara point to a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Monterrey at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Guadalajara at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Liga MX

Monterrey's record so far reads 5W-2D-4L from 11 played a win rate of 45% at 1.55 points per game.

Guadalajara stands at 5W-5D-2L from 12 played, winning 42% of their matches at 1.67 points per game.

In their last five, Monterrey has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Guadalajara's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Monterrey has a 67% win rate (4W-1D-1L from 6 played).

On the road, Guadalajara has won 33% of their matches (2W-4D-0L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Monterrey vs Guadalajara

In attack, Monterrey averages 1.73 goals scored per game in the Liga MX (19 in total), while conceding 1.45 per game (16 in total).

Guadalajara averages 1.58 goals scored per game (19 in total) and 1 conceded per game (12 in total).

Monterrey's top scorer this season is Germán Berterame, with 13 goals.

For Guadalajara, Armando González Alba leads the scoring charts with 24 goals this season.

Monterrey's main creator is Óliver Torres, with 8 assists.

Richard Ledezma tops the Guadalajara assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Guadalajara

Monterrey and Guadalajara have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Monterrey wins: 3

  • Draws: 2

  • Guadalajara wins: 7

Frequently asked questions about Monterrey vs Guadalajara

When is Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Guadalajara?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-2-7 (Monterrey wins – draws – Guadalajara wins).

What was the last match between Monterrey and Guadalajara?

The two sides last met on 22/03/2026, and the result was Monterrey 2 vs 3 Guadalajara. Full details: Monterrey vs Guadalajara, 22/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Monterrey is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Guadalajara at 1.01.

Where can I find a Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction page.

Where can I find Monterrey vs Guadalajara stats?

All key statistics for Monterrey vs Guadalajara are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

Live streaming information is available on our Monterrey vs Guadalajara stream page.