Puebla vs Monterrey

Mexico - Liga MX

v.s

21 Oct 2026 21:00

Monterrey are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.91 overall shots and 1.81 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.73 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

24%
Puebla to win
25%
Draw
51%
Monterrey to win

The result market leans toward Monterrey at 54%. The points profile supports that read: Puebla average 1.2 PPG and Monterrey average 0.8 PPG in the comparable split.

Puebla
1
wins
5
draws
Monterrey
6
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.63

    League 3.00

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    40%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    57%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.24

    League 4.18

  • Corners

    Average

    10.68

    League 10.94

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Puebla average 12.2 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.94, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Puebla

Home

DDLDL
VS

Monterrey

Away

WDLWD

Points & Results

  • 1.33
    PPG
    1.55
  • 33%
    Wins
    45%
  • 42%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    1.73
  • 1.08
    Conceded/game
    1.45
  • 1.39
    xG
    1.81
  • 1.66
    xGA
    1.24

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    64%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    27%

Puebla vs Monterrey: Statistics and Analysis - Liga MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Puebla vs Monterrey - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga MX match will be played on 22/10/2026 (Thursday) at 02:00.

The venue is Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

The fixture is part of game week 13th of the Liga MX season. Puebla currently sits in position 11th of the Liga MX table. Monterrey occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Puebla vs Monterrey

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Puebla vs Monterrey at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Puebla and Monterrey point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Corners against Puebla: opponents have taken 5 or more corners in 92% of Puebla's matches.

Monterrey over 4.5 corners: Monterrey has taken 5 or more corners in 73% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Puebla vs Monterrey prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Puebla vs Monterrey?

According to the latest match odds, Monterrey is the favorite at 1.98 an implied probability of about 50.51%. The full 1X2 market has Puebla at 4.348, the draw at 4.082, and Monterrey at 1.98.

Overall performance in the Liga MX

Puebla's record so far reads 4W-4D-4L from 12 played a win rate of 33% at 1.33 points per game.

Monterrey stands at 5W-2D-4L from 11 played, winning 45% of their matches at 1.55 points per game.

In their last five, Puebla has gone 0W-3D-2L, averaging 0.6 points per game.

Monterrey's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Puebla has a 20% win rate (1W-3D-1L from 5 played).

On the road, Monterrey has won 20% of their matches (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Puebla vs Monterrey

In attack, Puebla averages 1 goals scored per game in the Liga MX (12 in total), while conceding 1.08 per game (13 in total).

Monterrey averages 1.73 goals scored per game (19 in total) and 1.45 conceded per game (16 in total).

Puebla's top scorer this season is Emiliano Gómez Dutra, with 8 goals.

For Monterrey, Germán Berterame leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Puebla's main creator is Ricardo Marín Sánchez, with 5 assists.

Óliver Torres tops the Monterrey assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Puebla vs Monterrey

Puebla and Monterrey have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Puebla wins: 1

  • Draws: 5

  • Monterrey wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Puebla vs Monterrey

When is Puebla vs Monterrey?

The match will be played on 22/10/2026 (Thursday) at 02:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Puebla and Monterrey?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 1-5-6 (Puebla wins – draws – Monterrey wins).

What was the last match between Puebla and Monterrey?

The two sides last met on 22/04/2026, and the result was Monterrey 2 vs 1 Puebla. Full details: Puebla vs Monterrey, 22/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Puebla vs Monterrey?

Monterrey is the favorite at odds of 1.98, an implied probability of about 50.51%. Puebla is priced at 4.348, the draw at 4.082 and Monterrey at 1.98.

Where can I find a Puebla vs Monterrey prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Puebla vs Monterrey prediction page.

Where can I find Puebla vs Monterrey stats?

All key statistics for Puebla vs Monterrey are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Puebla vs Monterrey?

Live streaming information is available on our Puebla vs Monterrey stream page.