León vs Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
Toluca are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.33 overall shots and 1.97 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.17 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Toluca at 48%. The points profile supports that read: León average 2 PPG and Toluca average 1.83 PPG in the comparable split.
- 26/04/2026, 01:05Liga MXToluca4 - 1León26/04/2026, 01:05Liga MXToluca
4 - 1
León - 05/10/2025, 01:00Liga MXLeón2 - 4Toluca05/10/2025, 01:00Liga MXLeón
2 - 4
Toluca - 09/02/2025, 01:00Liga MXLeón3 - 3Toluca09/02/2025, 01:00Liga MXLeón
3 - 3
Toluca - 02/11/2024, 23:00Liga MXToluca2 - 2León02/11/2024, 23:00Liga MXToluca
2 - 2
León - 03/02/2024, 23:00Liga MXToluca4 - 1León03/02/2024, 23:00Liga MXToluca
4 - 1
León
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
3.21League 3.00
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
55%League 53%
Both Teams Score
Above average
67%League 60%
Cards
Average
4.25League 4.18
Corners
Average
10.75League 10.94
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Toluca average 11.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.94, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%2.5
3+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%3.5
4+ gol
OVER40%UNDER60%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
León
Home
Toluca
Away
Points & Results
- 1.50PPG1.75
- 42%Wins50%
- 67%First to Score75%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.502.17
- Conceded/game1.421.33
- xG1.521.97
- xGA1.591.45
Trends
- 67%Both Score67%
- 25%Clean Sheet33%
- 18/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón3 - 5AméricaL18/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón
3 - 5
AméricaL - 10/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXPuebla1 - 1LeónD10/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXPuebla
1 - 1
LeónD - 28/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón2 - 1JuárezW28/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón
2 - 1
JuárezW - 21/09/2026, 02:10Liga MXQuerétaro1 - 1LeónD21/09/2026, 02:10Liga MXQuerétaro
1 - 1
LeónD - 15/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón2 - 0Atlético San LuisW15/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXLeón
2 - 0
Atlético San LuisW - 11/09/2026, 03:05Liga MXPumas UNAM3 - 1LeónL11/09/2026, 03:05Liga MXPumas UNAM
3 - 1
LeónL - 29/08/2026, 02:00Liga MXAtlante1 - 1LeónD29/08/2026, 02:00Liga MXAtlante
1 - 1
LeónD
León scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.57 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXToluca1 - 1Atlético San LuisD18/10/2026, 01:00Liga MXToluca
1 - 1
Atlético San LuisD - 10/10/2026, 03:00Liga MXTigres UANL3 - 2TolucaL10/10/2026, 03:00Liga MXTigres UANL
3 - 2
TolucaL - 26/09/2026, 22:50Liga MXCruz Azul3 - 3TolucaD26/09/2026, 22:50Liga MXCruz Azul
3 - 3
TolucaD - 21/09/2026, 00:00Liga MXToluca2 - 3Santos LagunaL21/09/2026, 00:00Liga MXToluca
2 - 3
Santos LagunaL - 16/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXPuebla0 - 1TolucaW16/09/2026, 01:00Liga MXPuebla
0 - 1
TolucaW - 12/09/2026, 23:05Liga MXToluca5 - 2AtlasW12/09/2026, 23:05Liga MXToluca
5 - 2
AtlasW - 31/08/2026, 00:00Liga MXToluca4 - 0JuárezW31/08/2026, 00:00Liga MXToluca
4 - 0
JuárezW
Toluca scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.57 goals.
Toluca is +45% better in terms of Scored/game
Toluca is +7% better in terms of Conceded/game
Toluca is +30% better in terms of xG
Toluca is +10% better in terms of xGA
Toluca is +22% better in terms of First-Half Form
León is +5% better in terms of Offsides
Toluca is +25% better in terms of Corners
León is +54% better in terms of Cards
Toluca is +17% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 24 | |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 21 | |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 20 | |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 20 | |
| 6 | Querétaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 | |
| 7 | León | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 18 | |
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 16 | |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 16 | |
| 11 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 | |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | |
| 14 | Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 13 | |
| 15 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 | |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 | |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | Juárez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 4 |
León vs Toluca: Statistics and Analysis - Liga MX 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for León vs Toluca - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Liga MX match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 00:00.
The venue is Estadio León.
The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga MX season. León currently sits in position 7th of the Liga MX table. Toluca occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for León vs Toluca
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in León vs Toluca at 67%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for León and Toluca point to a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the León vs Toluca prediction page.
Who is the favorite in León vs Toluca?
According to the latest match odds, Toluca is the favorite at 2.17 an implied probability of about 46.08%. The full 1X2 market has León at 3.41, the draw at 4.03, and Toluca at 2.17.
Overall performance in the Liga MX
León's record so far reads 5W-3D-4L from 12 played a win rate of 42% at 1.5 points per game.
Toluca stands at 6W-3D-3L from 12 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.75 points per game.
In their last five, León has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.
Toluca's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.
At home, León has a 67% win rate (4W-0D-2L from 6 played).
On the road, Toluca has won 50% of their matches (3W-2D-1L from 6 played).
Goal statistics for León vs Toluca
In attack, León averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Liga MX (18 in total), while conceding 1.42 per game (17 in total).
Toluca averages 2.17 goals scored per game (26 in total) and 1.33 conceded per game (16 in total).
León's top scorer this season is Ismael Díaz, with 10 goals.
For Toluca, José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior leads the scoring charts with 21 goals this season.
León's main creator is Ismael Díaz, with 6 assists.
Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas tops the Toluca assist chart with 12.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: León vs Toluca
León and Toluca have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
León wins: 2
Draws: 6
Toluca wins: 4
Frequently asked questions about León vs Toluca
When is León vs Toluca?
The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 00:00.
What is the head-to-head record between León and Toluca?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-6-4 (León wins – draws – Toluca wins).
What was the last match between León and Toluca?
The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Toluca 4 vs 1 León. Full details: León vs Toluca, 26/04/2026.
Who is the favorite in León vs Toluca?
Toluca is the favorite at odds of 2.17, an implied probability of about 46.08%. León is priced at 3.41, the draw at 4.03 and Toluca at 2.17.
Where can I find a León vs Toluca prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the León vs Toluca prediction page.
Where can I find León vs Toluca stats?
All key statistics for León vs Toluca are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch León vs Toluca?
Live streaming information is available on our León vs Toluca stream page.