Tepatitlán vs Morelia prediction
Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX
BTTS - Yes
Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.52
Confidence
73%
Last updated: 05-10-2026
Tepatitlán and Morelia face each other in an official match of the 2026/27 Liga de Expansão MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez on Saturday, 10/10/2026, at 02:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Tepa vs Morelia, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
Alteños preview
Tepatitlán comes into the match having played 10 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 0.6 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 17 wins, 15 draws, and 18 losses.
Tepatitlán's attack has scored 62 goals during this period. Out of this total, 8 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 0.8 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.24.
The offence system of Tepatitlán is led by Amaury Gabriel Escoto Ruiz as the top scorer of the season. The mexican forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Josué Gómez Del Rosal, who has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 29 goals with an average of 2.9 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 67 goals conceded in 50 matches, resulting in an average of 1.34.
- 03 Oct 2026TepatitlánJaiba BravaW3103 Oct 2026Ascenso MXTepatitlán
v.s
Jaiba Brava3 - 1W - 19 Sept 2026TepatitlánMineros de ZacatecasL0119 Sept 2026Ascenso MXTepatitlán
v.s
Mineros de Zacatecas0 - 1L - 12 Sept 2026VenadosTepatitlánL5012 Sept 2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Tepatitlán5 - 0L - 04 Sept 2026TepatitlánDoradosL1404 Sept 2026Ascenso MXTepatitlán
v.s
Dorados1 - 4L - 29 Aug 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlánL6029 Aug 2026Ascenso MXCruz Azul Hidalgo
v.s
Tepatitlán6 - 0L
Morelia preview
On the other hand, Morelia comes into the match having played 11 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses.
Morelia's attack has scored 65 goals during this period. Out of this total, 21 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.91 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.44.
The offence system of Morelia is led by Ruben Del Campo as the top scorer of the season. The swiss forward has scored 12 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 1.09 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 51 goals conceded in 45 matches, resulting in an average of 1.13.
- 04 Oct 2026MoreliaTlaxcalaD1104 Oct 2026Ascenso MXMorelia
v.s
Tlaxcala1 - 1D - 26 Sept 2026VenadosMoreliaL2126 Sept 2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Morelia2 - 1L - 20 Sept 2026MoreliaLeones NegrosW2020 Sept 2026Ascenso MXMorelia
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Leones Negros2 - 0W - 13 Sept 2026Mineros de ZacatecasMoreliaW0113 Sept 2026Ascenso MXMineros de Zacatecas
v.s
Morelia0 - 1W - 06 Sept 2026MoreliaAtlético ZacatepecW4106 Sept 2026Ascenso MXMorelia
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Atlético Zacatepec4 - 1W
Head to head: Tepatitlán vs Morelia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tepatitlán
Home
Morelia
Away
Points & Results
- PPG0.602
- 20%Wins64%
- 30%First to Score55%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.801.91
- Conceded/game2.901.09
- xG1.311.81
- xGA2.041.23
Trends
- 40%Both Score64%
- 0%Clean Sheet27%
- 60%Failed to Score9%
Access all match stats for Tepatitlán vs Morelia
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Tepatitlán vs Morelia
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 0.12% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 0.10% | |
| 3 | 0 - 2 | 0.09% | |
| 4 | 0 - 1 | 0.09% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 0.06% | |
| 6 | 2 - 1 | 0.06% | |
| 7 | 1 - 3 | 0.06% | |
| 8 | 2 - 2 | 0.06% | |
| 9 | 0 - 3 | 0.05% | |
| 10 | 1 - 0 | 0.05% | |
| 11 | 2 - 0 | 0.03% | |
| 12 | 2 - 3 | 0.03% |