Tepatitlán vs Morelia prediction

Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX

v.s

09 Oct 2026 21:00

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.52

1.52

Confidence

73%

Last updated: 05-10-2026

Tepatitlán and Morelia face each other in an official match of the 2026/27 Liga de Expansão MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez on Saturday, 10/10/2026, at 02:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Tepa vs Morelia, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

Alteños preview

Tepatitlán comes into the match having played 10 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 0.6 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 17 wins, 15 draws, and 18 losses.

Tepatitlán's attack has scored 62 goals during this period. Out of this total, 8 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 0.8 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.24.

The offence system of Tepatitlán is led by Amaury Gabriel Escoto Ruiz as the top scorer of the season. The mexican forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Josué Gómez Del Rosal, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 29 goals with an average of 2.9 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 67 goals conceded in 50 matches, resulting in an average of 1.34.

Morelia preview

On the other hand, Morelia comes into the match having played 11 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses.

Morelia's attack has scored 65 goals during this period. Out of this total, 21 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.91 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.44.

The offence system of Morelia is led by Ruben Del Campo as the top scorer of the season. The swiss forward has scored 12 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores, who has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 1.09 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 51 goals conceded in 45 matches, resulting in an average of 1.13.

Head to head: Tepatitlán vs Morelia

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Tepatitlán

Home

WLLLL
VS

Morelia

Away

DLWWW

Points & Results

  • 0.60
    PPG
    2
  • 20%
    Wins
    64%
  • 30%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.80
    Scored/game
    1.91
  • 2.90
    Conceded/game
    1.09
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.81
  • 2.04
    xGA
    1.23

Trends

  • 40%
    Both Score
    64%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    27%
  • 60%
    Failed to Score
    9%

Access all match stats for Tepatitlán vs Morelia

Where to watch Tepatitlán vs Morelia live?

Check out the live stream of Tepatitlán vs Morelia below and follow the match in real time.

Tepatitlán logoVSMorelia logo

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Tepatitlán vs Morelia

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.12%
21 - 2
0.10%
30 - 2
0.09%
40 - 1
0.09%
50 - 0
0.06%
62 - 1
0.06%
71 - 3
0.06%
82 - 2
0.06%
90 - 3
0.05%
101 - 0
0.05%
112 - 0
0.03%
122 - 3
0.03%
Published: 7 Oct 2026Updated: 7 Oct 2026