Tepatitlán vs Cancún

Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX

Tepatitlán
Tepatitlán

v.s

23 Oct 2026 21:00

Cancún
Cancún

Cancún are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.46 overall shots and 1.68 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.69 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

23%
Tepatitlán to win
24%
Draw
53%
Cancún to win

The result market leans toward Cancún at 57%. The points profile supports that read: Tepatitlán average 1 PPG and Cancún average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Tepatitlán
3
wins
3
draws
Cancún
6
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.35

    League 3.26

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    62%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 61%

  • Cards

    Average

    6.30

    League 6.14

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.46

    League 10.05

Based on 104 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Cancún average 10.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.05, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Tepatitlán

Home

LLDWL
VS

Cancún

Away

DDWLW

Points & Results

  • 0.54
    PPG
    1.46
  • 15%
    Wins
    38%
  • 31%
    First to Score
    69%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.77
    Scored/game
    1.69
  • 2.85
    Conceded/game
    1.38
  • 1.28
    xG
    1.68
  • 2.23
    xGA
    1.62

Trends

  • 46%
    Both Score
    54%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    38%

Tepatitlán vs Cancún: Statistics and Analysis - Liga de Expansão MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Tepatitlán vs Cancún - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga de Expansão MX match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 02:00.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga de Expansão MX season. Tepatitlán currently sits in position 16th of the Liga de Expansão MX table. Cancún occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for Tepatitlán vs Cancún

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Tepatitlán vs Cancún at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Tepatitlán and Cancún point to a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Tepatitlán vs Cancún prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Tepatitlán vs Cancún?

According to the latest match odds, Cancún is the favorite at 1.852 an implied probability of about 54.00%. The full 1X2 market has Tepatitlán at 4.255, the draw at 4.651, and Cancún at 1.852.

Overall performance in the Liga de Expansão MX

Tepatitlán's record so far reads 2W-1D-10L from 13 played a win rate of 15% at 0.54 points per game.

Cancún stands at 5W-4D-4L from 13 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.46 points per game.

In their last five, Tepatitlán has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Cancún's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Tepatitlán has a 29% win rate (2W-1D-4L from 7 played).

On the road, Cancún has won 17% of their matches (1W-3D-2L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Tepatitlán vs Cancún

In attack, Tepatitlán averages 0.77 goals scored per game in the Liga de Expansão MX (10 in total), while conceding 2.85 per game (37 in total).

Cancún averages 1.69 goals scored per game (22 in total) and 1.38 conceded per game (18 in total).

Tepatitlán's top scorer this season is Amaury Gabriel Escoto Ruiz, with 8 goals.

For Cancún, José Gabriel Rodríguez Novoa leads the scoring charts with 17 goals this season.

Tepatitlán's main creator is Josué Gómez Del Rosal, with 5 assists.

Jorge Roberto Díaz Price tops the Cancún assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Tepatitlán vs Cancún

Tepatitlán and Cancún have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Tepatitlán wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • Cancún wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Tepatitlán vs Cancún

When is Tepatitlán vs Cancún?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 02:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán and Cancún?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-3-6 (Tepatitlán wins – draws – Cancún wins).

What was the last match between Tepatitlán and Cancún?

The two sides last met on 29/03/2026, and the result was Cancún 2 vs 2 Tepatitlán. Full details: Tepatitlán vs Cancún, 29/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Tepatitlán vs Cancún?

Cancún is the favorite at odds of 1.852, an implied probability of about 54.00%. Tepatitlán is priced at 4.255, the draw at 4.651 and Cancún at 1.852.

Where can I find a Tepatitlán vs Cancún prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Tepatitlán vs Cancún prediction page.

Where can I find Tepatitlán vs Cancún stats?

All key statistics for Tepatitlán vs Cancún are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Tepatitlán vs Cancún?

Live streaming information is available on our Tepatitlán vs Cancún stream page.