Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán

Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX

Leones Negros
Leones Negros

v.s

01 Nov 2026 13:00

Tepatitlán
Tepatitlán

Leones Negros are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.29 overall shots and 1.71 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.21 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

77%
Leones Negros to win
13%
Draw
10%
Tepatitlán to win
Head-to-Head
Leones Negros
6
wins
5
draws
Tepatitlán
1
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.61

    League 3.28

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    68%

    League 64%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    57%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Average

    6.07

    League 6.14

  • Corners

    Average

    9.43

    League 9.95

Based on 113 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Tepatitlán average 11.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.95, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Leones Negros

Home

WLDWW
VS

Tepatitlán

Away

LLLDW

Points & Results

  • 1.93
    PPG
    0.50
  • 57%
    Wins
    14%
  • 79%
    First to Score
    29%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.21
    Scored/game
    0.71
  • 1.36
    Conceded/game
    2.93
  • 1.71
    xG
    1.25
  • 1.66
    xGA
    2.19

Trends

  • 71%
    Both Score
    43%
  • 21%
    Clean Sheet
    0%

Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán: Statistics and Analysis - Liga de Expansão MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga de Expansão MX match will be played on 01/11/2026 (Sunday) at 18:00.

The venue is Estadio Jalisco.

The fixture is part of game week 15th of the Liga de Expansão MX season. Leones Negros currently sits in position 2nd of the Liga de Expansão MX table. Tepatitlán occupies position 16th.

Stat Probabilities for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Leones Negros and Tepatitlán point to a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Tepatitlán over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 83% chance of Tepatitlán conceding 2 or more goals.

Tepatitlán over 2.5 cards: Tepatitlán has been shown 3 or more cards in 71% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán?

According to the latest match odds, Leones Negros is the favorite at 1.55 an implied probability of about 64.52%. The full 1X2 market has Leones Negros at 1.55, the draw at 9, and Tepatitlán at 9.45.

Overall performance in the Liga de Expansão MX

Leones Negros's record so far reads 8W-3D-3L from 14 played a win rate of 57% at 1.93 points per game.

Tepatitlán stands at 2W-1D-11L from 14 played, winning 14% of their matches at 0.5 points per game.

In their last five, Leones Negros has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Tepatitlán's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Leones Negros has a 33% win rate (2W-2D-2L from 6 played).

On the road, Tepatitlán has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-6L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán

In attack, Leones Negros averages 2.21 goals scored per game in the Liga de Expansão MX (31 in total), while conceding 1.36 per game (19 in total).

Tepatitlán averages 0.71 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 2.93 conceded per game (41 in total).

Leones Negros's top scorer this season is Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, with 9 goals.

For Tepatitlán, Amaury Gabriel Escoto Ruiz leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Leones Negros's main creator is Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, with 5 assists.

Josué Gómez Del Rosal tops the Tepatitlán assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán

Leones Negros and Tepatitlán have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Leones Negros wins: 6

  • Draws: 5

  • Tepatitlán wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán

When is Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán?

The match will be played on 01/11/2026 (Sunday) at 18:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros and Tepatitlán?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-5-1 (Leones Negros wins – draws – Tepatitlán wins).

What was the last match between Leones Negros and Tepatitlán?

The two sides last met on 15/02/2026, and the result was Leones Negros 0 vs 0 Tepatitlán. Full details: Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán, 15/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán?

Leones Negros is the favorite at odds of 1.55, an implied probability of about 64.52%. Leones Negros is priced at 1.55, the draw at 9 and Tepatitlán at 9.45.

Where can I find a Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán prediction page.

Where can I find Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán stats?

All key statistics for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán?

Live streaming information is available on our Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán stream page.