Necaxa vs Puebla | Prediction | Liga MX | 12/09

Mexico - Liga MX

0 - 1

11 Sept 2026 21:00

Necaxa and Puebla face each other on Saturday 09.12.2026, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Necaxa's home ground, the Estadio Victoria (La Casa de los Rayos).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Necaxa S.A. de C.V. and Club Puebla FC, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Necaxa vs Puebla

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.60

1.60

Confidence

66%

Last updated: 07-09-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Necaxa to win

Necaxa to win is our top betting tip for this upcoming match against Puebla. Necaxa's odds in the online betting sites have them heavily favoured at home, where they have been quite strong all season.

And our expert analysts fancy their chances as well given their current form and overall statistics.

Our prediction is: Puebla to win the 1st half

Puebla will head in to face Necaxa with a tough task as the away side. Their recent results and performances have been far from impressive, but in our opinion, they are being a bit too underestimated.

We are tipping Puebla to win the first half because we see decent value in their odds. They still possess enough quality to cause some concern against Necaxa, at least until half-time.

Necaxa preview

Necaxa heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 7 matches, Club Necaxa S.A. de C.V. secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.14 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The Lightning Bolts's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.

Necaxa has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 52 goals, of which 9 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.29 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Diber Cambindo, who has found the back of the net 14 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Agustín Palavecino has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, Necaxa has conceded 12 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.71 per game) and 69 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.68 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Puebla preview

Puebla comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 3 victories, 1 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.67 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 23 losses.

Club Puebla FC's attack has been highly effective, scoring 43 goals during this period. Of that total, 9 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.5 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.08.

The Sweet Potato Growers's offensive system is led by Emiliano Gómez Dutra, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ricardo Marín Sánchez. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 9 goals with an average of 1.5 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 77 goals in 40 matches, averaging 1.93 per match.

Head to head: Necaxa vs Puebla

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Necaxa

Home

DLDLL
VS

Puebla

Away

LWWDL

Points & Results

  • 1.14
    PPG
    1.67
  • 29%
    Wins
    50%
  • 43%
    First to Score
    67%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.29
    Scored/game
    1.50
  • 1.71
    Conceded/game
    1.50
  • 1.65
    xG
    1.49
  • 1.90
    xGA
    1.81

Trends

  • 100%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    17%
  • 0%
    Failed to Score
    17%

Access all match stats for Necaxa vs Puebla

Where to watch Necaxa vs Puebla live?

Check out the live stream of Necaxa vs Puebla below and follow the match in real time.

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
12.62%
21 - 2
8.41%
32 - 1
8.37%
40 - 1
6.71%
51 - 0
6.67%
60 - 0
6.50%
72 - 2
6.14%
80 - 2
5.76%
92 - 0
5.71%
101 - 3
4.11%
113 - 1
4.08%
122 - 3
3.00%
Published: 9 Sept 2026
Updated: 9 Sept 2026