Necaxa vs Juárez

Mexico - Liga MX

v.s

23 Oct 2026 21:00

Necaxa are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.75 overall shots and 1.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.25 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

52%
Necaxa to win
25%
Draw
23%
Juárez to win
Necaxa
5
wins
5
draws
Juárez
2
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.29

    League 3.00

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    63%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    67%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    5.25

    League 4.18

  • Corners

    Below average

    9.50

    League 10.94

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Juárez average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.94, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Necaxa

Home

LDLLL
VS

Juárez

Away

LDLWL

Points & Results

  • 0.75
    PPG
    0.33
  • 17%
    Wins
    8%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    25%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.25
    Scored/game
    0.67
  • 2.08
    Conceded/game
    2.58
  • 1.59
    xG
    1.05
  • 1.83
    xGA
    1.92

Trends

  • 83%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    8%

Necaxa vs Juárez: Statistics and Analysis - Liga MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Necaxa vs Juárez - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga MX match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 02:00.

The venue is Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga MX season. Necaxa currently sits in position 17th of the Liga MX table. Juárez occupies position 18th.

Stat Probabilities for Necaxa vs Juárez

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Necaxa vs Juárez at 67%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Necaxa and Juárez point to a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Necaxa vs Juárez prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Necaxa vs Juárez?

According to the latest match odds, Necaxa is the favorite at 1.92 an implied probability of about 52.08%. The full 1X2 market has Necaxa at 1.92, the draw at 4.09, and Juárez at 4.3.

Overall performance in the Liga MX

Necaxa's record so far reads 2W-3D-7L from 12 played a win rate of 17% at 0.75 points per game.

Juárez stands at 1W-1D-10L from 12 played, winning 8% of their matches at 0.33 points per game.

In their last five, Necaxa has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.

Juárez's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Necaxa has a 29% win rate (2W-0D-5L from 7 played).

On the road, Juárez has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-6L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Necaxa vs Juárez

In attack, Necaxa averages 1.25 goals scored per game in the Liga MX (15 in total), while conceding 2.08 per game (25 in total).

Juárez averages 0.67 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 2.58 conceded per game (31 in total).

Necaxa's top scorer this season is Diber Cambindo, with 14 goals.

For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán leads the scoring charts with 15 goals this season.

Necaxa's main creator is Agustín Palavecino, with 5 assists.

Puma tops the Juárez assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Necaxa vs Juárez

Necaxa and Juárez have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Necaxa wins: 5

  • Draws: 5

  • Juárez wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Necaxa vs Juárez

When is Necaxa vs Juárez?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 02:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Juárez?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-5-2 (Necaxa wins – draws – Juárez wins).

What was the last match between Necaxa and Juárez?

The two sides last met on 15/02/2026, and the result was Juárez 1 vs 2 Necaxa. Full details: Necaxa vs Juárez, 15/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Necaxa vs Juárez?

Necaxa is the favorite at odds of 1.92, an implied probability of about 52.08%. Necaxa is priced at 1.92, the draw at 4.09 and Juárez at 4.3.

Where can I find a Necaxa vs Juárez prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Necaxa vs Juárez prediction page.

Where can I find Necaxa vs Juárez stats?

All key statistics for Necaxa vs Juárez are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Necaxa vs Juárez?

Live streaming information is available on our Necaxa vs Juárez stream page.