Atlas vs Puebla

Mexico - Liga MX

v.s

25 Oct 2026 19:00

Atlas are creating the better shooting profile with average 4 overall shots and 1.39 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.58 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

54%
Atlas to win
26%
Draw
20%
Puebla to win

The result market leans toward Atlas at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Atlas average 1 PPG and Puebla average 1.43 PPG in the comparable split.

Atlas
6
wins
3
draws
Puebla
3
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.58

    League 2.95

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    34%

    League 52%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    59%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.00

    League 4.10

  • Corners

    Below average

    10.17

    League 11.07

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Atlas average 11 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 11.07, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Atlas

Home

WDWDL
VS

Puebla

Away

DDLDL

Points & Results

  • 1.75
    PPG
    1.33
  • 50%
    Wins
    33%
  • 67%
    First to Score
    42%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.58
    Scored/game
    1.00
  • 1.50
    Conceded/game
    1.08
  • 1.39
    xG
    1.39
  • 1.56
    xGA
    1.66

Trends

  • 67%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    25%

Atlas vs Puebla: Statistics and Analysis - Liga MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Atlas vs Puebla - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga MX match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 23:00.

The venue is Estadio Jalisco.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga MX season. Atlas currently sits in position 5th of the Liga MX table. Puebla occupies position 11th.

Stat Probabilities for Atlas vs Puebla

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Atlas vs Puebla at 59%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Atlas and Puebla point to a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Atlas vs Puebla prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Atlas vs Puebla?

According to the latest match odds, Atlas is the favorite at 1.81 an implied probability of about 55.25%. The full 1X2 market has Atlas at 1.81, the draw at 3.98, and Puebla at 5.12.

Overall performance in the Liga MX

Atlas's record so far reads 6W-3D-3L from 12 played a win rate of 50% at 1.75 points per game.

Puebla stands at 4W-4D-4L from 12 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.33 points per game.

In their last five, Atlas has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Puebla's last five read 0W-3D-2L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Atlas has a 17% win rate (1W-3D-2L from 6 played).

On the road, Puebla has won 43% of their matches (3W-1D-3L from 7 played).

Goal statistics for Atlas vs Puebla

In attack, Atlas averages 1.58 goals scored per game in the Liga MX (19 in total), while conceding 1.5 per game (18 in total).

Puebla averages 1 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 1.08 conceded per game (13 in total).

Atlas's top scorer this season is Uroš Đurđević, with 12 goals.

For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez Dutra leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Atlas's main creator is Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz, with 7 assists.

Ricardo Marín Sánchez tops the Puebla assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Atlas vs Puebla

Atlas and Puebla have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Atlas wins: 6

  • Draws: 3

  • Puebla wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Atlas vs Puebla

When is Atlas vs Puebla?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 23:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Puebla?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-3-3 (Atlas wins – draws – Puebla wins).

What was the last match between Atlas and Puebla?

The two sides last met on 10/01/2026, and the result was Atlas 1 vs 0 Puebla. Full details: Atlas vs Puebla, 10/01/2026.

Who is the favorite in Atlas vs Puebla?

Atlas is the favorite at odds of 1.81, an implied probability of about 55.25%. Atlas is priced at 1.81, the draw at 3.98 and Puebla at 5.12.

Where can I find a Atlas vs Puebla prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Atlas vs Puebla prediction page.

Where can I find Atlas vs Puebla stats?

All key statistics for Atlas vs Puebla are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Atlas vs Puebla?

Live streaming information is available on our Atlas vs Puebla stream page.