Metz vs Lorient Prediction | Ligue 1 | 10/05
France - Ligue 1
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 2.30
Last updated: 05-05-2026
Metz Form and Insights
Metz hosts Lorient at the Stade Saint-Symphorien for this Ligue 1 fixture. The match will kick off at 20:00 (UK Time) on 10/05/2026.
Their performance in the Ligue 1 so far:
3 Wins
7 Draws
22 Losses
Offensive and defensive statistics:
32 goals scored
1 average goals per match
72 goals conceded
2.25 average goals conceded per match
- 17/10/2026MetzSochauxW3217/10/2026Ligue 2Metz
v.s
Sochaux3 - 2W - 12/10/2026DijonMetzL4212/10/2026Ligue 2Dijon
v.s
Metz4 - 2L - 19/09/2026MetzSaint-ÉtienneD2219/09/2026Ligue 2Metz
v.s
Saint-Étienne2 - 2D - 14/09/2026Red StarMetzL1014/09/2026Ligue 2Red Star
v.s
Metz1 - 0L - 05/09/2026MetzRodezW4105/09/2026Ligue 2Metz
v.s
Rodez4 - 1W
The Hakes Form and Insights
Lorient has played 32 matches in the Ligue 1 so far this season.
Here’s how the team comes into their match with Metz:
10 Wins
12 Draws
10 Losses
Goals scored and conceded:
44 goals scored
1.38 average goals per match
49 goals conceded
1.53 average goals conceded per match
- 18/10/2026LorientMonacoW1018/10/2026Ligue 1Lorient
v.s
Monaco1 - 0W - 10/10/2026LorientParisW1010/10/2026Ligue 1Lorient
v.s
Paris1 - 0W - 19/09/2026Le MansLorientL2119/09/2026Ligue 1Le Mans
v.s
Lorient2 - 1L - 12/09/2026LorientToulouseD2212/09/2026Ligue 1Lorient
v.s
Toulouse2 - 2D - 05/09/2026LensLorientW0105/09/2026Ligue 1Lens
v.s
Lorient0 - 1W
Head-to-Head Statistics
We have seen the match between Metz and Lorient on the match calendar 16 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.
Football Club de Metz win - 4
Lorient win - 13
Draw - 5
Metz
Home
Lorient
Away
Points & Results
- PPG0.501.31
- 9%Wins31%
- 22%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game11.38
- Conceded/game2.251.53
- xG1.121.26
- xGA1.691.40
Trends
- 53%Both Score56%
- 19%Clean Sheet19%
- 41%Failed to Score28%
Access all match stats for Metz vs Lorient
The last match was played on 04/01/2026 in the Ligue 1 and ended in a 1–1 draw.
In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.
[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=438 away_id=448 date_unix=1778439600 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=12]
Players to Watch
APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.
The Maroons Top Players
Gauthier Hein has scored 8 goals so far this season.
Gauthier Hein has given 7 assists this season.
The Hakes Top Players
Pablo Pagis has scored 10 goals so far this season.
Kan Guy Arsu00e8ne Kouassi has given 6 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Metz vs Lorient match.
Metz Cards and Corners
1.72 average cards per match
1.31 average cards when playing at home
9.32 average corners per match
9.12 average corners when playing at home
Lorient Cards and Corners
1.66 average cards per match
1.63 average cards when playing away
8.91 average corners per match
9.13 average corners when playing away
Additional Betting Tips
After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.
Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.
Our prediction is: Lorient win or draw
Our evaluations have shown there is not much separating Metz and Lorient overall. But given the extra betting edge that comes with the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to win the bet, we recommend taking Lorient to win or draw in this match.
With odds of 1.2, there is a good deal of value on Lorient to pull off a potential upset away from home against Metz, who have not been in the best form of late.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
If you're expecting Metz vs Lorient to be a goal fest, think again.
We predict the total to remain under 2.5 goals in this match as neither side figures to have enough attacking firepower to give the opposition's defence much trouble.
Match Details
Match date: 10/05/2026
Kick-off time: 20:00
Competition: Ligue 1
Game week: 33
Stadium: Stade Saint-Symphorien
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
Historical match data
Home and away performance trends
Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 2.30
Last updated: 05-05-2026

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.