Independiente Medellín vs Alianza prediction
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
Over 0.5 Goals
Market: Over 0.5 Goals · @ 1.01
Last updated: 29-10-2026
Independiente Medellín and Alianza face each other on Sunday 11.01.2026, at 23:10 (UK Time), in a Categoria Primera A 2026 match. The game will take place at Independiente Medellín's home ground, the Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between El Equipo del Pueblo S.A. and Alianza Fútbol Club S.A., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Independiente Medellín preview
Independiente Medellín heads into the match with the following record in the Categoria Primera A: in 35 matches, El Equipo del Pueblo S.A. secured 14 victories, 7 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Poderoso de la Montaña's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 21 victories so far.
Independiente Medellín has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 72 goals, of which 49 were scored in the Categoria Primera A, resulting in an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is John Edwin Montaño Preciado, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Leyser Chaverra Rentería has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Independiente Medellín has conceded 48 goals in the Categoria Primera A (an average of 1.37 per game) and 69 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.33 per match in the 2026 campaign.
- 29/10/2026La EquidadIndependiente MedellínL3129/10/2026Categoria Primera ALa Equidad
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Independiente Medellín3 - 1L - 25/10/2026Atlético NacionalIndependiente MedellínL2125/10/2026Categoria Primera AAtlético Nacional
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Independiente Medellín2 - 1L - 18/10/2026Independiente MedellínOnce CaldasL0218/10/2026Categoria Primera AIndependiente Medellín
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Once Caldas0 - 2L - 15/10/2026Atlético NacionalIndependiente MedellínL3215/10/2026Copa ColombiaAtlético Nacional
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Independiente Medellín3 - 2L - 12/10/2026América de CaliIndependiente MedellínW1212/10/2026Categoria Primera AAmérica de Cali
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Independiente Medellín1 - 2W
Alianza preview
Alianza comes into the game with 35 matches played so far in the Categoria Primera A. They have secured 8 victories, 11 draws, and 16 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 12 draws, and 19 losses.
Alianza Fútbol Club S.A.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 34 goals during this period. Of that total, 29 were netted in the Categoria Primera A, with an average of 0.83 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.85.
Los Vallenatos's offensive system is led by Felipe Pardo, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 4 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jhildrey Alejandro Lasso Aranguren. The defender has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 54 goals with an average of 1.54 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 59 goals in 40 matches, averaging 1.48 per match.
- 28/10/2026Once CaldasAlianzaL1028/10/2026Categoria Primera AOnce Caldas
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Alianza1 - 0L - 25/10/2026AlianzaLa EquidadW1025/10/2026Categoria Primera AAlianza
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La Equidad1 - 0W - 20/10/2026Deportivo PastoAlianzaW0120/10/2026Categoria Primera ADeportivo Pasto
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Alianza0 - 1W - 09/10/2026AlianzaÁguilas DoradasD2209/10/2026Categoria Primera AAlianza
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Águilas Doradas2 - 2D - 03/10/2026Deportivo CaliAlianzaL3103/10/2026Categoria Primera ADeportivo Cali
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Alianza3 - 1L
Head to head: Independiente Medellín vs Alianza
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Independiente Medellín
Home
Alianza
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.401
- 40%Wins23%
- 40%First to Score40%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.400.83
- Conceded/game1.371.54
- xG1.551.20
- xGA1.171.40
Trends
- 66%Both Score49%
- 20%Clean Sheet23%
- 17%Failed to Score37%
Access all match stats for Independiente Medellín vs Alianza
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Independiente Medellín vs Alianza
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 13.97% | |
| 2 | 1 - 0 | 9.70% | |
| 3 | 0 - 0 | 9.34% | |
| 4 | 2 - 1 | 8.63% | |
| 5 | 0 - 1 | 8.07% | |
| 6 | 2 - 0 | 7.46% | |
| 7 | 1 - 2 | 7.35% | |
| 8 | 0 - 2 | 5.41% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 4.99% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 3.91% | |
| 11 | 3 - 0 | 3.38% | |
| 12 | 1 - 3 | 2.84% |