Alianza vs La Equidad

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

v.s

25 Oct 2026 17:05

La Equidad are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.58 overall shots and 1.4 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.28 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

40%
Alianza to win
30%
Draw
30%
La Equidad to win

The result market leans toward Alianza at 42%. The points profile supports that read: Alianza average 1 PPG and La Equidad average 0.83 PPG in the comparable split.

Alianza
5
wins
2
draws
La Equidad
5
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.64

    League 2.54

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    52%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    60%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.85

    League 5.93

  • Corners

    Average

    9.04

    League 8.99

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. La Equidad average 9.72 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.99, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Alianza

Home

WDLWL
VS

La Equidad

Away

WDDDL

Points & Results

  • 0.97
    PPG
    1.25
  • 21%
    Wins
    28%
  • 39%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.85
    Scored/game
    1.28
  • 1.61
    Conceded/game
    1.56
  • 1.20
    xG
    1.40
  • 1.38
    xGA
    1.41

Trends

  • 52%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 21%
    Clean Sheet
    19%

Alianza vs La Equidad: Statistics and Analysis - Categoria Primera A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Alianza vs La Equidad - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Categoria Primera A match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 21:05.

The venue is Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

The fixture is part of game week 16th of the Categoria Primera A season. Alianza currently sits in position 17th of the Categoria Primera A table. La Equidad occupies position 12th.

Stat Probabilities for Alianza vs La Equidad

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Alianza vs La Equidad at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Alianza and La Equidad point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Over 4.5 cards: Alianza's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 77% of the time.

Over 4.5 cards: La Equidad's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 77% of the time.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Alianza vs La Equidad prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Alianza vs La Equidad?

According to the latest match odds, Alianza is the favorite at 2.49 an implied probability of about 40.16%. The full 1X2 market has Alianza at 2.49, the draw at 3.44, and La Equidad at 3.26.

Overall performance in the Categoria Primera A

Alianza's record so far reads 7W-11D-15L from 33 played a win rate of 21% at 0.97 points per game.

La Equidad stands at 10W-15D-11L from 36 played, winning 28% of their matches at 1.25 points per game.

In their last five, Alianza has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

La Equidad's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Alianza has a 18% win rate (3W-8D-6L from 17 played).

On the road, La Equidad has won 11% of their matches (2W-9D-7L from 18 played).

Goal statistics for Alianza vs La Equidad

In attack, Alianza averages 0.85 goals scored per game in the Categoria Primera A (28 in total), while conceding 1.61 per game (53 in total).

La Equidad averages 1.28 goals scored per game (46 in total) and 1.56 conceded per game (56 in total).

Alianza's top scorer this season is Felipe Pardo, with 4 goals.

For La Equidad, Fabricio Damián Sanguinetti Fernández leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Alianza's main creator is Jhildrey Alejandro Lasso Aranguren, with 4 assists.

Kevin Parra Atehortúa tops the La Equidad assist chart with 7.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Alianza vs La Equidad

Alianza and La Equidad have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Alianza wins: 5

  • Draws: 2

  • La Equidad wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Alianza vs La Equidad

When is Alianza vs La Equidad?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 21:05.

What is the head-to-head record between Alianza and La Equidad?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-2-5 (Alianza wins – draws – La Equidad wins).

What was the last match between Alianza and La Equidad?

The two sides last met on 13/04/2026, and the result was La Equidad 2 vs 1 Alianza. Full details: Alianza vs La Equidad, 13/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Alianza vs La Equidad?

Alianza is the favorite at odds of 2.49, an implied probability of about 40.16%. Alianza is priced at 2.49, the draw at 3.44 and La Equidad at 3.26.

Where can I find a Alianza vs La Equidad prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Alianza vs La Equidad prediction page.

Where can I find Alianza vs La Equidad stats?

All key statistics for Alianza vs La Equidad are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Alianza vs La Equidad?

Live streaming information is available on our Alianza vs La Equidad stream page.