Once Caldas vs Alianza

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

v.s

28 Oct 2026 19:00

Once Caldas are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.75 overall shots and 1.67 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.44 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

60%
Once Caldas to win
25%
Draw
15%
Alianza to win

The result market leans toward Once Caldas at 62%. The points profile supports that read: Once Caldas average 1.76 PPG and Alianza average 0.94 PPG in the comparable split.

Once Caldas
2
wins
5
draws
Alianza
5
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
25%
OVER 2.5
3/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.53

    League 2.54

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    44%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    61%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Average

    6.02

    League 5.93

  • Corners

    Average

    9.35

    League 8.99

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Once Caldas average 9.53 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.99, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Once Caldas

Home

DWWDL
VS

Alianza

Away

WDLWL

Points & Results

  • 1.50
    PPG
    0.97
  • 36%
    Wins
    21%
  • 56%
    First to Score
    39%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.44
    Scored/game
    0.85
  • 1.17
    Conceded/game
    1.61
  • 1.67
    xG
    1.20
  • 1.38
    xGA
    1.38

Trends

  • 69%
    Both Score
    52%
  • 19%
    Clean Sheet
    21%

Once Caldas vs Alianza: Statistics and Analysis - Categoria Primera A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Once Caldas vs Alianza - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Categoria Primera A match was played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) and finished Once Caldas 0 - 0 Alianza.

The venue is Estadio Palogrande.

The fixture is part of game week 5th of the Categoria Primera A season. Once Caldas currently sits in position 7th of the Categoria Primera A table. Alianza occupies position 17th.

Stat Probabilities for Once Caldas vs Alianza

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Once Caldas vs Alianza at 61%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Once Caldas and Alianza point to a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Once Caldas vs Alianza prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Once Caldas vs Alianza?

According to the latest match odds, Once Caldas is the favorite at 1.68 an implied probability of about 59.52%. The full 1X2 market has Once Caldas at 1.68, the draw at 4.07, and Alianza at 6.42.

Overall performance in the Categoria Primera A

Once Caldas's record so far reads 13W-15D-8L from 36 played a win rate of 36% at 1.5 points per game.

Alianza stands at 7W-11D-15L from 33 played, winning 21% of their matches at 0.97 points per game.

In their last five, Once Caldas has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Alianza's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Once Caldas has a 53% win rate (9W-3D-5L from 17 played).

On the road, Alianza has won 25% of their matches (4W-3D-9L from 16 played).

Goal statistics for Once Caldas vs Alianza

In attack, Once Caldas averages 1.44 goals scored per game in the Categoria Primera A (52 in total), while conceding 1.17 per game (42 in total).

Alianza averages 0.85 goals scored per game (28 in total) and 1.61 conceded per game (53 in total).

Once Caldas's top scorer this season is Dayro Mauricio Moreno Galindo, with 16 goals.

For Alianza, Felipe Pardo leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season.

Once Caldas's main creator is Juan David Cuesta Santos, with 9 assists.

Jhildrey Alejandro Lasso Aranguren tops the Alianza assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Once Caldas vs Alianza

Once Caldas and Alianza have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Once Caldas wins: 2

  • Draws: 5

  • Alianza wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Once Caldas vs Alianza

When was Once Caldas vs Alianza played?

The match was played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) and finished Once Caldas 0 - 0 Alianza.

What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Alianza?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-5-5 (Once Caldas wins – draws – Alianza wins).

What was the last match between Once Caldas and Alianza?

The two sides last met on 10/09/2026, and the result was Once Caldas 1 vs 0 Alianza. Full details: Once Caldas vs Alianza, 10/09/2026.

Who is the favorite in Once Caldas vs Alianza?

Once Caldas is the favorite at odds of 1.68, an implied probability of about 59.52%. Once Caldas is priced at 1.68, the draw at 4.07 and Alianza at 6.42.

Where can I find Once Caldas vs Alianza stats?

All key statistics for Once Caldas vs Alianza are on this page, updated in real time.