Grêmio vs Atlético-MG prediction
Brazil - Copa do Brasil
Over 1.5 Goals
Market: Over 1.5 Goals · @ 1.41
Last updated: 27-10-2026
Grêmio and Atlético-MG face each other on Sunday 11.01.2026, at 21:30 (UK Time), in a Copa do Brasil 2026 match. The game will take place at Grêmio's home ground, the Arena do Grêmio.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense and Clube Atlético Mineiro, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Grêmio preview
Grêmio heads into the match with the following record in the Copa do Brasil: in 6 matches, Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense secured 4 victories, 2 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.33 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Imortal's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.
Grêmio has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 76 goals, of which 10 were scored in the Copa do Brasil, resulting in an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Carlos Vinícius, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Francis Amuzu has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Grêmio has conceded 2 goals in the Copa do Brasil (an average of 0.33 per game) and 62 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.09 per match in the 2026 campaign.
- 30/10/2026GrêmioAthletico-PRW2030/10/2026Serie AGrêmio
v.s
Athletico-PR2 - 0W - 26/10/2026CoritibaGrêmioW0126/10/2026Serie ACoritiba
v.s
Grêmio0 - 1W - 18/10/2026GrêmioCruzeiroL2418/10/2026Serie AGrêmio
v.s
Cruzeiro2 - 4L - 11/10/2026GrêmioInternacionalD1111/10/2026Serie AGrêmio
v.s
Internacional1 - 1D - 07/10/2026RemoGrêmioD1107/10/2026Serie ARemo
v.s
Grêmio1 - 1D
Atlético-MG preview
Atlético-MG comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the Copa do Brasil. They have secured 3 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.83 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 19 draws, and 16 losses.
Clube Atlético Mineiro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 86 goals during this period. Of that total, 7 were netted in the Copa do Brasil, with an average of 1.17 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.41.
Galo's offensive system is led by Hulk, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Hulk. The forward has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 0.83 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 67 goals in 61 matches, averaging 1.1 per match.
- 29/10/2026Atlético-MGCruzeiroL0129/10/2026Serie AAtlético-MG
v.s
Cruzeiro0 - 1L - 26/10/2026FlamengoAtlético-MGL3226/10/2026Serie AFlamengo
v.s
Atlético-MG3 - 2L - 21/10/2026Montevideo City TorqueAtlético-MGL2021/10/2026Copa SudamericanaMontevideo City Torque
v.s
Atlético-MG2 - 0L - 17/10/2026Atlético-MGCoritibaW1017/10/2026Serie AAtlético-MG
v.s
Coritiba1 - 0W - 14/10/2026Atlético-MGMontevideo City TorqueW3014/10/2026Copa SudamericanaAtlético-MG
v.s
Montevideo City Torque3 - 0W
Head to head: Grêmio vs Atlético-MG
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Grêmio
Home
Atlético-MG
Away
Points & Results
- PPG2.331.83
- 67%Wins50%
- 67%First to Score33%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.671.17
- Conceded/game0.330.83
- xG1.421.69
- xGA1.421.23
Trends
- 33%Both Score67%
- 67%Clean Sheet33%
- 17%Failed to Score17%
Access all match stats for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG
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Grêmio vs Atlético-MG
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 13.49% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 8.48% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 8.15% | |
| 4 | 2 - 1 | 8.02% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 8.01% | |
| 6 | 1 - 0 | 7.64% | |
| 7 | 0 - 2 | 6.49% | |
| 8 | 2 - 0 | 5.80% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 5.55% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 3.91% | |
| 11 | 3 - 1 | 3.50% | |
| 12 | 0 - 3 | 2.99% |

Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.