Grêmio vs Atlético-MG prediction

Brazil - Copa do Brasil

v.s

01 Nov 2026 16:30

Over 1.5 Goals

Market: Over 1.5 Goals · @ 1.41

1.41

Last updated: 27-10-2026

Grêmio and Atlético-MG face each other on Sunday 11.01.2026, at 21:30 (UK Time), in a Copa do Brasil 2026 match. The game will take place at Grêmio's home ground, the Arena do Grêmio.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense and Clube Atlético Mineiro, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

Grêmio preview

Grêmio heads into the match with the following record in the Copa do Brasil: in 6 matches, Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense secured 4 victories, 2 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.33 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Imortal's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.

Grêmio has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 76 goals, of which 10 were scored in the Copa do Brasil, resulting in an average of 1.67 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Carlos Vinícius, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Francis Amuzu has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, Grêmio has conceded 2 goals in the Copa do Brasil (an average of 0.33 per game) and 62 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.09 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Atlético-MG preview

Atlético-MG comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the Copa do Brasil. They have secured 3 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.83 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 19 draws, and 16 losses.

Clube Atlético Mineiro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 86 goals during this period. Of that total, 7 were netted in the Copa do Brasil, with an average of 1.17 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.41.

Galo's offensive system is led by Hulk, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Hulk. The forward has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 0.83 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 67 goals in 61 matches, averaging 1.1 per match.

Head to head: Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Grêmio

Home

WWLDD
VS

Atlético-MG

Away

LLLWW

Points & Results

  • 2.33
    PPG
    1.83
  • 67%
    Wins
    50%
  • 67%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.67
    Scored/game
    1.17
  • 0.33
    Conceded/game
    0.83
  • 1.42
    xG
    1.69
  • 1.42
    xGA
    1.23

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 67%
    Clean Sheet
    33%
  • 17%
    Failed to Score
    17%

Access all match stats for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Where to watch Grêmio vs Atlético-MG live?

Check out the live stream of Grêmio vs Atlético-MG below and follow the match in real time.

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Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
13.49%
21 - 2
8.48%
30 - 1
8.15%
42 - 1
8.02%
50 - 0
8.01%
61 - 0
7.64%
70 - 2
6.49%
82 - 0
5.80%
92 - 2
5.55%
101 - 3
3.91%
113 - 1
3.50%
120 - 3
2.99%
Published: 29 Oct 2026
Updated: 29 Oct 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.