Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Flamengo
Flamengo

v.s

26 Oct 2026 19:00

Atlético-MG
Atlético-MG

Flamengo are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.65 overall shots and 1.78 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.97 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

69%
Flamengo to win
19%
Draw
12%
Atlético-MG to win

The result market leans toward Flamengo at 72%. The points profile supports that read: Flamengo average 2.4 PPG and Atlético-MG average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Flamengo
8
wins
2
draws
Atlético-MG
2
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.40

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    47%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    37%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.73

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Average

    10.80

    League 10.45

Based on 309 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Atlético-MG average 10.54 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Flamengo

Home

WWDWW
VS

Atlético-MG

Away

WWDWD

Points & Results

  • 2.16
    PPG
    1.61
  • 65%
    Wins
    45%
  • 81%
    First to Score
    52%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.97
    Scored/game
    1.35
  • 0.81
    Conceded/game
    1.13
  • 1.78
    xG
    1.53
  • 1.30
    xGA
    1.60

Trends

  • 48%
    Both Score
    48%
  • 45%
    Clean Sheet
    26%

Flamengo vs Atlético-MG: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 26/10/2026 (Monday) at 23:00.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Flamengo currently sits in position 1st of the Brazil Serie A table. Atlético-MG occupies position 6th.

Stat Probabilities for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Flamengo vs Atlético-MG at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Flamengo and Atlético-MG point to a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Flamengo vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

According to the latest match odds, Flamengo is the favorite at 1.47 an implied probability of about 68.03%. The full 1X2 market has Flamengo at 1.47, the draw at 5.26, and Atlético-MG at 8.29.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Flamengo's record so far reads 20W-7D-4L from 31 played a win rate of 65% at 2.16 points per game.

Atlético-MG stands at 14W-8D-9L from 31 played, winning 45% of their matches at 1.61 points per game.

In their last five, Flamengo has gone 4W-1D-0L, averaging 2.6 points per game.

Atlético-MG's last five read 3W-2D-0L, at 2.2 points per game.

At home, Flamengo has a 73% win rate (11W-3D-1L from 15 played).

On the road, Atlético-MG has won 27% of their matches (4W-3D-8L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

In attack, Flamengo averages 1.97 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (61 in total), while conceding 0.81 per game (25 in total).

Atlético-MG averages 1.35 goals scored per game (42 in total) and 1.13 conceded per game (35 in total).

Flamengo's top scorer this season is Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos, with 16 goals.

For Atlético-MG, Hulk leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season.

Flamengo's main creator is Jorge Andrés Carrascal Guardo, with 8 assists.

Hulk tops the Atlético-MG assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Flamengo and Atlético-MG have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Flamengo wins: 8

  • Draws: 2

  • Atlético-MG wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

When is Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

The match will be played on 26/10/2026 (Monday) at 23:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Atlético-MG?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 8-2-2 (Flamengo wins – draws – Atlético-MG wins).

What was the last match between Flamengo and Atlético-MG?

The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Atlético-MG 0 vs 4 Flamengo. Full details: Flamengo vs Atlético-MG, 26/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

Flamengo is the favorite at odds of 1.47, an implied probability of about 68.03%. Flamengo is priced at 1.47, the draw at 5.26 and Atlético-MG at 8.29.

Where can I find a Flamengo vs Atlético-MG prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Flamengo vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Where can I find Flamengo vs Atlético-MG stats?

All key statistics for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

Live streaming information is available on our Flamengo vs Atlético-MG stream page.