Coritiba vs Grêmio

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Coritiba
Coritiba

v.s

26 Oct 2026 18:30

Grêmio
Grêmio

Grêmio are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.71 overall shots and 1.28 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

44%
Coritiba to win
27%
Draw
29%
Grêmio to win

The result market leans toward Coritiba at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Coritiba average 1.33 PPG and Grêmio average 0.33 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Coritiba
1
wins
1
draws
Grêmio
7
wins
44%
BTTS
4/9
100%
OVER 0.5
9/9
78%
OVER 1.5
7/9
44%
OVER 2.5
4/9

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.40

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    44%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    60%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.53

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    7.60

    League 10.45

Based on 309 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Coritiba average 10.74 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Coritiba

Home

LDLLD
VS

Grêmio

Away

LDDDL

Points & Results

  • 1.26
    PPG
    1.00
  • 32%
    Wins
    23%
  • 45%
    First to Score
    29%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.23
    Scored/game
    1.10
  • 1.58
    Conceded/game
    1.42
  • 1.17
    xG
    1.28
  • 1.95
    xGA
    1.70

Trends

  • 52%
    Both Score
    61%
  • 19%
    Clean Sheet
    19%

Coritiba vs Grêmio: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Coritiba vs Grêmio - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 26/10/2026 (Monday) at 22:30.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Coritiba currently sits in position 12th of the Brazil Serie A table. Grêmio occupies position 18th.

Stat Probabilities for Coritiba vs Grêmio

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Coritiba vs Grêmio at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Coritiba and Grêmio point to a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Coritiba vs Grêmio?

According to the latest match odds, Coritiba is the favorite at 2.28 an implied probability of about 43.86%. The full 1X2 market has Coritiba at 2.28, the draw at 3.62, and Grêmio at 3.6.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Coritiba's record so far reads 10W-9D-12L from 31 played a win rate of 32% at 1.26 points per game.

Grêmio stands at 7W-10D-14L from 31 played, winning 23% of their matches at 1 points per game.

In their last five, Coritiba has gone 0W-2D-3L, averaging 0.4 points per game.

Grêmio's last five read 0W-3D-2L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Coritiba has a 33% win rate (5W-5D-5L from 15 played).

On the road, Grêmio has won 0% of their matches (0W-5D-10L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Coritiba vs Grêmio

In attack, Coritiba averages 1.23 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (38 in total), while conceding 1.58 per game (49 in total).

Grêmio averages 1.1 goals scored per game (34 in total) and 1.42 conceded per game (44 in total).

Coritiba's top scorer this season is Pedro Rocha Neves, with 8 goals.

For Grêmio, Carlos Vinícius leads the scoring charts with 11 goals this season.

Coritiba's main creator is Josué Filipe Soares Pesqueira, with 11 assists.

Cristian Pavón tops the Grêmio assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Coritiba vs Grêmio

Coritiba and Grêmio have met 9 times in recent years. The record:

  • Coritiba wins: 1

  • Draws: 1

  • Grêmio wins: 7

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Grêmio

When is Coritiba vs Grêmio?

The match will be played on 26/10/2026 (Monday) at 22:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Grêmio?

Across their last 9 meetings the record is 1-1-7 (Coritiba wins – draws – Grêmio wins).

What was the last match between Coritiba and Grêmio?

The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Grêmio 1 vs 0 Coritiba. Full details: Coritiba vs Grêmio, 26/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Coritiba vs Grêmio?

Coritiba is the favorite at odds of 2.28, an implied probability of about 43.86%. Coritiba is priced at 2.28, the draw at 3.62 and Grêmio at 3.6.

Where can I find a Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction page.

Where can I find Coritiba vs Grêmio stats?

All key statistics for Coritiba vs Grêmio are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Coritiba vs Grêmio?

Live streaming information is available on our Coritiba vs Grêmio stream page.