Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Brazil - Copa do Brasil

v.s

01 Nov 2026 16:30

Atlético-MG are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.57 overall shots and 1.45 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.32 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Grêmio
5
wins
1
draws
Atlético-MG
6
wins
75%
BTTS
9/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
83%
OVER 2.5
10/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.00

    League 2.11

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    42%

    League 35%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    50%

    League 38%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.33

    League 4.25

  • Corners

    Average

    9.84

    League 9.40

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Grêmio average 9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.4, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    66%
    UNDER
    34%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    41%
    UNDER
    59%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    8%
    UNDER
    92%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 92% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Grêmio

Home

WDWDW
VS

Atlético-MG

Away

WDWDL

Points & Results

  • 1.03
    PPG
    1.54
  • 23%
    Wins
    43%
  • 27%
    First to Score
    54%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.07
    Scored/game
    1.32
  • 1.33
    Conceded/game
    1.14
  • 1.26
    xG
    1.45
  • 1.71
    xGA
    1.58

Trends

  • 60%
    Both Score
    46%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    25%

Grêmio vs Atlético-MG: Statistics and Analysis - Copa do Brasil 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Copa do Brasil match will be played on 01/11/2026 (Sunday) at 21:30.

The fixture is part of game week N/A of the Copa do Brasil season. Grêmio currently sits in position 18th of the Copa do Brasil table. Atlético-MG occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Grêmio vs Atlético-MG at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Grêmio and Atlético-MG point to a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Grêmio vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Grêmio vs Atlético-MG?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Grêmio at , the draw at , and Atlético-MG at .

Overall performance in the Copa do Brasil

Grêmio's record so far reads 7W-10D-13L from 30 played a win rate of 23% at 1.03 points per game.

Atlético-MG stands at 12W-7D-9L from 28 played, winning 43% of their matches at 1.54 points per game.

In their last five, Grêmio has gone 0W-3D-2L, averaging 0.6 points per game.

Atlético-MG's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Grêmio has a 53% win rate (8W-4D-3L from 15 played).

On the road, Atlético-MG has won 29% of their matches (4W-2D-8L from 14 played).

Goal statistics for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

In attack, Grêmio averages 1.07 goals scored per game in the Copa do Brasil (26 in total), while conceding 1.33 per game (16 in total).

Atlético-MG averages 1.32 goals scored per game (13 in total) and 1.14 conceded per game (16 in total).

Grêmio's top scorer this season is Carlos Vinícius, with 11 goals.

For Atlético-MG, Hulk leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season.

Grêmio's main creator is Cristian Pavón, with 4 assists.

Hulk tops the Atlético-MG assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Grêmio and Atlético-MG have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Grêmio wins: 5

  • Draws: 1

  • Atlético-MG wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

When is Grêmio vs Atlético-MG?

The match will be played on 01/11/2026 (Sunday) at 21:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Atlético-MG?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-1-6 (Grêmio wins – draws – Atlético-MG wins).

What was the last match between Grêmio and Atlético-MG?

The two sides last met on 16/08/2026, and the result was Atlético-MG 3 vs 0 Grêmio. Full details: Grêmio vs Atlético-MG, 16/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Grêmio vs Atlético-MG?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Grêmio is priced at , the draw at and Atlético-MG at .

Where can I find a Grêmio vs Atlético-MG prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Grêmio vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Where can I find Grêmio vs Atlético-MG stats?

All key statistics for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Grêmio vs Atlético-MG?

Live streaming information is available on our Grêmio vs Atlético-MG stream page.