Naval vs Castro
Spain - Tercera Group 3
Naval are creating the better shooting profile with average 5 overall shots and 0.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.14 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Naval at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Naval average 0.33 PPG and Castro average 0.67 PPG in the comparable split.
- 13/04/2025, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro2 - 0Naval13/04/2025, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro
2 - 0
Naval - 01/12/2024, 16:00Tercera Group 3Naval2 - 0Castro01/12/2024, 16:00Tercera Group 3Naval
2 - 0
Castro - 13/04/2024, 17:00Tercera Group 3Naval3 - 1Castro13/04/2024, 17:00Tercera Group 3Naval
3 - 1
Castro - 26/11/2023, 16:00Tercera Group 3Castro1 - 0Naval26/11/2023, 16:00Tercera Group 3Castro
1 - 0
Naval - 16/04/2023, 15:00Tercera Group 3Naval1 - 2Castro16/04/2023, 15:00Tercera Group 3Naval
1 - 2
Castro
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
3.21League 2.68
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
65%League 51%
Both Teams Score
Average
43%League 44%
Corners
Well below avg
6.00League 9.48
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%1.5
2+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%2.5
3+ gol
OVER64%UNDER36%3.5
4+ gol
OVER50%UNDER50%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Naval
Home
Castro
Away
Points & Results
- 0.29PPG1.14
- 0%Wins29%
- 29%First to Score43%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.141.29
- Conceded/game2.571.43
- xG0.561.04
- xGA1.291.50
Trends
- 57%Both Score29%
- 14%Clean Sheet43%
- 18/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Revilla3 - 2LNaval18/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Revilla
3 - 2
NavalL - 10/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Naval2 - 2DSolares10/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Naval
2 - 2
SolaresD - 04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Selaya3 - 2LNaval04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Selaya
3 - 2
NavalL - 26/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Naval0 - 4LCD Laredo26/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Naval
0 - 4
CD LaredoL - 19/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Bezana3 - 2LNaval19/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Bezana
3 - 2
NavalL - 13/09/2026, 15:30Tercera Group 3Naval0 - 3LTorina13/09/2026, 15:30Tercera Group 3Naval
0 - 3
TorinaL - 05/09/2026, 15:30Tercera Group 3Velarde0 - 0DNaval05/09/2026, 15:30Tercera Group 3Velarde
0 - 0
NavalD
Naval scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.14 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Castro3 - 0WEscobedo17/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Castro
3 - 0
EscobedoW - 10/10/2026, 18:15Tercera Group 3Atlético Albericia4 - 2LCastro10/10/2026, 18:15Tercera Group 3Atlético Albericia
4 - 2
CastroL - 04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro0 - 2LCD Tropezón04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro
0 - 2
CD TropezónL - 27/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro0 - 2LAtlético Mineros27/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro
0 - 2
Atlético MinerosL - 19/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Revilla2 - 2DCastro19/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 3Revilla
2 - 2
CastroD - 13/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro2 - 0WSolares13/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Castro
2 - 0
SolaresW - 06/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Selaya0 - 0DCastro06/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 3Selaya
0 - 0
CastroD
Castro scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.29 goals.
Castro is +13% better in terms of Scored/game
Castro is +80% better in terms of Conceded/game
Castro is +86% better in terms of xG
Naval is +16% better in terms of xGA
Naval is +40% better in terms of First-Half Form
Castro is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Castro is +27% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Naval is +47% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Tropezón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 19 | |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 18 | |
| 3 | Bezana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 16 | |
| 4 | Revilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 14 | |
| 5 | Cayón | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 | Vimenor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | Sámano | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 12 | |
| 8 | Torina | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 11 | |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | |
| 10 | Castro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 11 | Selaya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 | |
| 12 | Solares | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 | Atlético Albericia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | |
| 14 | Guarnizo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 | |
| 15 | Barquereño | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | |
| 16 | Escobedo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | |
| 17 | Velarde | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | Naval | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 2 |
Naval vs Castro: Statistics and Analysis - Tercera Group 3 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Naval vs Castro - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Tercera Group 3 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:30.
The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Tercera Group 3 season. Naval currently sits in position 18th of the Tercera Group 3 table. Castro occupies position 10th.
Stat Probabilities for Naval vs Castro
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Naval vs Castro at 43%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Naval and Castro point to a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Naval over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Naval conceding 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Naval vs Castro prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Naval vs Castro?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Naval at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Castro at 1.01.
Overall performance in the Tercera Group 3
Naval's record so far reads 0W-2D-5L from 7 played a win rate of 0% at 0.29 points per game.
Castro stands at 2W-2D-3L from 7 played, winning 29% of their matches at 1.14 points per game.
In their last five, Naval has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.
Castro's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.
At home, Naval has a 0% win rate (0W-1D-2L from 3 played).
On the road, Castro has won 0% of their matches (0W-2D-1L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Naval vs Castro
In attack, Naval averages 1.14 goals scored per game in the Tercera Group 3 (8 in total), while conceding 2.57 per game (18 in total).
Castro averages 1.29 goals scored per game (9 in total) and 1.43 conceded per game (10 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Naval vs Castro
Naval and Castro have met 8 times in recent years. The record:
Naval wins: 4
Draws: 1
Castro wins: 3
Frequently asked questions about Naval vs Castro
When is Naval vs Castro?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Naval and Castro?
Across their last 8 meetings the record is 4-1-3 (Naval wins – draws – Castro wins).
What was the last match between Naval and Castro?
The two sides last met on 13/04/2025, and the result was Castro 2 vs 0 Naval. Full details: Naval vs Castro, 13/04/2025.
Who is the favorite in Naval vs Castro?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Naval is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Castro at 1.01.
Where can I find a Naval vs Castro prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Naval vs Castro prediction page.
Where can I find Naval vs Castro stats?
All key statistics for Naval vs Castro are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Naval vs Castro?
Live streaming information is available on our Naval vs Castro stream page.