Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo
Uruguay - Primera División
Liverpool de Montevideo are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.39 overall shots and 1.48 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.33 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Nacional at 52%. The points profile supports that read: Nacional average 1.88 PPG and Liverpool de Montevideo average 1.59 PPG in the comparable split.
- 19/04/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo1 - 3Nacional19/04/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
1 - 3
Nacional - 20/09/2025, 21:30Primera DivisiónNacional3 - 1Liverpool de Montevideo20/09/2025, 21:30Primera DivisiónNacional
3 - 1
Liverpool de Montevideo - 26/03/2025, 19:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo2 - 2Nacional26/03/2025, 19:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
2 - 2
Nacional - 26/03/2025, 19:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo2 - 2Nacional26/03/2025, 19:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
2 - 2
Nacional - 08/09/2024, 21:00Primera DivisiónNacional1 - 0Liverpool de Montevideo08/09/2024, 21:00Primera DivisiónNacional
1 - 0
Liverpool de Montevideo
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.52League 2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
Above average
50%League 44%
Both Teams Score
Average
50%League 51%
Cards
Average
5.76League 5.90
Corners
Well above avg
11.55League 8.99
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Nacional average 11 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.99, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ gol
OVER70%UNDER30%2.5
3+ gol
OVER40%UNDER60%3.5
4+ gol
OVER35%UNDER65%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Nacional
Home
Liverpool de Montevideo
Away
Points & Results
- 1.76PPG1.61
- 55%Wins42%
- 52%First to Score52%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.551.33
- Conceded/game1.210.94
- xG1.441.48
- xGA1.071.21
Trends
- 55%Both Score45%
- 33%Clean Sheet45%
- 19/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional3 - 2WDeportivo Maldonado19/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional
3 - 2
Deportivo MaldonadoW - 11/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónCentral Español0 - 1WNacional11/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónCentral Español
0 - 1
NacionalW - 05/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional2 - 0WMontevideo City Torque05/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional
2 - 0
Montevideo City TorqueW - 26/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo0 - 2WNacional26/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo
0 - 2
NacionalW - 20/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional3 - 2WDefensor Sporting20/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional
3 - 2
Defensor SportingW - 12/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 1DNacional12/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 1
NacionalD - 06/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional2 - 2DJuventud de Las Piedras06/09/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional
2 - 2
Juventud de Las PiedrasD
Nacional scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo1 - 0WPeñarol18/10/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
1 - 0
PeñarolW - 09/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado1 - 1DLiverpool de Montevideo09/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
1 - 1
Liverpool de MontevideoD - 03/10/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo3 - 2WProgreso03/10/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
3 - 2
ProgresoW - 27/09/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español1 - 2WLiverpool de Montevideo27/09/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español
1 - 2
Liverpool de MontevideoW - 20/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo0 - 0DRacing de Montevideo20/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
0 - 0
Racing de MontevideoD - 14/09/2026, 22:00Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque3 - 1LLiverpool de Montevideo14/09/2026, 22:00Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
3 - 1
Liverpool de MontevideoL - 06/09/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo1 - 0WBoston River06/09/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
1 - 0
Boston RiverW
Liverpool de Montevideo scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.29 goals.
Nacional is +17% better in terms of Scored/game
Liverpool de Montevideo is +29% better in terms of Conceded/game
Liverpool de Montevideo is +3% better in terms of xG
Nacional is +13% better in terms of xGA
Nacional is +2% better in terms of First-Half Form
Nacional is +5% better in terms of Offsides
Nacional is +11% better in terms of Corners
Liverpool de Montevideo is +9% better in terms of Cards
Liverpool de Montevideo is +4% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
Nacional
Liverpool de Montevideo
- 1Mathías CarleGoalkeeper
- 18Agustín Cayetano ArbeloDefender
- 23Enzo Castillo SosaDefender
- 24Rafael PiloniDefender
- 34Kevin RodríguezDefender
- 3Santiago StrasorierMidfielder
- 5Nicolás GarayaldeMidfielder
- 16Lucas Acosta MorenoMidfielder
- 7Federico MartínezForward
- 9Renzo PertussoForward
- 10Ramiro Matías DegregorioForward
Substitutes
Nacional
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Peñarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Racing de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 4 | Central Español | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | ||
| Group 2 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | ||
| 2 | Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | ||
| 5 | Juventud de Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | ||
Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
The venue is Estadio Gran Parque Central.
The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Primera División season. Nacional currently sits in position 2nd of the Primera División table. Liverpool de Montevideo occupies position 5th.
Stat Probabilities for Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo at 50%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Nacional and Liverpool de Montevideo point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Over 4.5 cards: Nacional's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 82% of the time.
Cards for Nacional's opponents: Nacional's opponents have received 3 or more cards in 76% of their matches.
Over 4.5 cards: Liverpool de Montevideo's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 82% of the time.
Cards for Liverpool de Montevideo's opponents: Liverpool de Montevideo's opponents have received 3 or more cards in 82% of their matches.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo?
According to the latest match odds, Nacional is the favorite at 2.17 an implied probability of about 46.08%. The full 1X2 market has Nacional at 2.17, the draw at 3.67, and Liverpool de Montevideo at 3.94.
Overall performance in the Primera División
Nacional's record so far reads 18W-4D-11L from 33 played a win rate of 55% at 1.76 points per game.
Liverpool de Montevideo stands at 14W-11D-8L from 33 played, winning 42% of their matches at 1.61 points per game.
In their last five, Nacional has gone 5W-0D-0L, averaging 3 points per game.
Liverpool de Montevideo's last five read 3W-2D-0L, at 2.2 points per game.
At home, Nacional has a 59% win rate (10W-2D-5L from 17 played).
On the road, Liverpool de Montevideo has won 41% of their matches (7W-6D-4L from 17 played).
Goal statistics for Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo
In attack, Nacional averages 1.55 goals scored per game in the Primera División (51 in total), while conceding 1.21 per game (40 in total).
Liverpool de Montevideo averages 1.33 goals scored per game (44 in total) and 0.94 conceded per game (31 in total).
Nacional's top scorer this season is Maxi Gómez, with 15 goals.
For Liverpool de Montevideo, Federico Martínez leads the scoring charts with 11 goals this season.
Nacional's main creator is Gastón Martirena, with 3 assists.
Lucas Acosta Moreno tops the Liverpool de Montevideo assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo
Nacional and Liverpool de Montevideo have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Nacional wins: 7
Draws: 4
Liverpool de Montevideo wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Liverpool de Montevideo?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 7-4-1 (Nacional wins – draws – Liverpool de Montevideo wins).
What was the last match between Nacional and Liverpool de Montevideo?
The two sides last met on 19/04/2026, and the result was Liverpool de Montevideo 1 vs 3 Nacional. Full details: Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo, 19/04/2026.
Who is the favorite in Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo?
Nacional is the favorite at odds of 2.17, an implied probability of about 46.08%. Nacional is priced at 2.17, the draw at 3.67 and Liverpool de Montevideo at 3.94.
Where can I find Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo stats?
All key statistics for Nacional vs Liverpool de Montevideo are on this page, updated in real time.