Central Español vs Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
Nacional are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.23 overall shots and 1.45 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.52 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Nacional at 69%. The points profile supports that read: Central Español average 1.38 PPG and Nacional average 1.53 PPG in the comparable split.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.57League 2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
Above average
55%League 45%
Both Teams Score
Average
52%League 51%
Cards
Average
5.51League 5.90
Corners
Above average
10.52League 8.97
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Nacional average 9.2 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.97, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER90%UNDER10%1.5
2+ gol
OVER70%UNDER30%2.5
3+ gol
OVER45%UNDER55%3.5
4+ gol
OVER15%UNDER85%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Central Español
Home
Nacional
Away
Points & Results
- 1.23PPG1.68
- 32%Wins52%
- 35%First to Score48%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.031.52
- Conceded/game1.351.23
- xG1.241.45
- xGA1.701.06
Trends
- 48%Both Score55%
- 32%Clean Sheet32%
- 10/03/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado3 - 0Central EspañolL10/03/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
3 - 0
Central EspañolL - 09/27/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español1 - 2Liverpool de MontevideoL09/27/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español
1 - 2
Liverpool de MontevideoL - 09/21/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónCentral Español1 - 4Montevideo City TorqueL09/21/2026, 22:30Primera DivisiónCentral Español
1 - 4
Montevideo City TorqueL - 09/12/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo0 - 0Central EspañolD09/12/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo
0 - 0
Central EspañolD - 09/06/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español1 - 1Defensor SportingD09/06/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español
1 - 1
Defensor SportingD - 08/28/2026, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers3 - 0Central EspañolL08/28/2026, 22:00Primera DivisiónWanderers
3 - 0
Central EspañolL - 08/22/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español0 - 1Juventud de Las PiedrasL08/22/2026, 14:00Primera DivisiónCentral Español
0 - 1
Juventud de Las PiedrasL
Central Español scored in 3/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.43 goals.
- 10/05/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional2 - 0Montevideo City TorqueW10/05/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional
2 - 0
Montevideo City TorqueW - 09/26/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo0 - 2NacionalW09/26/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónCerro Largo
0 - 2
NacionalW - 09/20/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional3 - 2Defensor SportingW09/20/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional
3 - 2
Defensor SportingW - 09/12/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers1 - 1NacionalD09/12/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónWanderers
1 - 1
NacionalD - 09/06/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional2 - 2Juventud de Las PiedrasD09/06/2026, 19:30Primera DivisiónNacional
2 - 2
Juventud de Las PiedrasD - 08/30/2026, 18:30Primera DivisiónPeñarol0 - 1NacionalW08/30/2026, 18:30Primera DivisiónPeñarol
0 - 1
NacionalW - 08/23/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónNacional1 - 0ProgresoW08/23/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónNacional
1 - 0
ProgresoW
Nacional scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.71 goals.
Nacional is +48% better in terms of Scored/game
Nacional is +10% better in terms of Conceded/game
Nacional is +17% better in terms of xG
Nacional is +60% better in terms of xGA
Nacional is +54% better in terms of First-Half Form
Nacional is +2% better in terms of Offsides
Nacional is +11% better in terms of Corners
Central Español is +1% better in terms of Cards
Nacional is +15% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 12Federico Pintado Núñez
Goalkeeper
- 2Ignacio Rodríguez
Defender
- 14Miguel Rueda
Defender
- 17Luciano Fernández Sosa
Defender
- 26Cesar Costa
Defender
- 7Jhon Muñoz
Midfielder
- 16Isaac Méndez Bidegaray
Midfielder
- 21Lucas Pino García
Midfielder
- 24Guillermo Gandolfo Antunes
Midfielder
- 9Raúl Lemos
Forward
- 10Mariano Fernando Aguilera
Forward
- Emiliano Márquez Fernández
Goalkeeper
- Juan Vaz
Defender
- Marcos Montiel
Midfielder
- Julián Pou Rosa
Defender
- Fernando Rosa
Forward
- Santiago Sequeira Leguina
Forward
- Jonathan Dellarossa
Forward
- Andrés Puerto
Defender
- Facundo Hoyo
Forward
- Exequiel Quintana
Forward
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Peñarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Racing de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 4 | Central Español | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | ||
| Group 2 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | ||
| 2 | Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | ||
| 5 | Juventud de Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | ||
Central Español vs Nacional: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Central Español vs Nacional - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Primera División match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 22:30.
The venue is Parque Luis Méndez Piana.
The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Primera División season. Central Español currently sits in position 4th of the Primera División table. Nacional occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for Central Español vs Nacional
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Central Español vs Nacional at 52%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Central Español and Nacional point to a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Central Español vs Nacional prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Central Español vs Nacional?
According to the latest match odds, Nacional is the favorite at 1.67 an implied probability of about 59.88%. The full 1X2 market has Central Español at 6.3, the draw at 4.26, and Nacional at 1.67.
Overall performance in the Primera División
Central Español's record so far reads 10W-8D-13L from 31 played a win rate of 32% at 1.23 points per game.
Nacional stands at 16W-4D-11L from 31 played, winning 52% of their matches at 1.68 points per game.
In their last five, Central Español has gone 0W-2D-3L, averaging 0.4 points per game.
Nacional's last five read 3W-2D-0L, at 2.2 points per game.
At home, Central Español has a 38% win rate (6W-4D-6L from 16 played).
On the road, Nacional has won 47% of their matches (7W-2D-6L from 15 played).
Goal statistics for Central Español vs Nacional
In attack, Central Español averages 1.03 goals scored per game in the Primera División (32 in total), while conceding 1.35 per game (42 in total).
Nacional averages 1.52 goals scored per game (47 in total) and 1.23 conceded per game (38 in total).
Central Español's top scorer this season is Raúl Andrés Tarragona Lemos, with 6 goals.
For Nacional, Maxi Gómez leads the scoring charts with 15 goals this season.
Central Español's main creator is Juan Ignacio Dupont Vaz, with 2 assists.
Gastón Martirena tops the Nacional assist chart with 3.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Central Español vs Nacional
When is Central Español vs Nacional?
The match will be played on 11/10/2026 (Sunday) at 22:30.
What was the last match between Central Español and Nacional?
The two sides last met on 03/04/2026, and the result was Nacional 0 vs 1 Central Español. Full details: Central Español vs Nacional, 03/04/2026.
Who is the favorite in Central Español vs Nacional?
Nacional is the favorite at odds of 1.67, an implied probability of about 59.88%. Central Español is priced at 6.3, the draw at 4.26 and Nacional at 1.67.
Where can I find a Central Español vs Nacional prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Central Español vs Nacional prediction page.
Where can I find Central Español vs Nacional stats?
All key statistics for Central Español vs Nacional are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Central Español vs Nacional?
Live streaming information is available on our Central Español vs Nacional stream page.