Motagua vs Juticalpa

Honduras - Liga Nacional de Honduras

v.s

25 Oct 2026 17:00

Motagua are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.56 overall shots and 1.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Motagua to win
33%
Draw
33%
Juticalpa to win
Motagua
11
wins
1
draws
Juticalpa
0
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
92%
OVER 2.5
11/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    2.85

    League 2.47

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    65%

    League 47%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 48%

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    13.30

    League 10.32

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Motagua average 12.2 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.32, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Motagua

Home

WWLWD
VS

Juticalpa

Away

LLWLL

Points & Results

  • 1.90
    PPG
    0.60
  • 60%
    Wins
    20%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    30%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    1.00
  • 0.90
    Conceded/game
    2.30
  • 1.56
    xG
    1.01
  • 1.32
    xGA
    1.30

Trends

  • 40%
    Both Score
    60%
  • 40%
    Clean Sheet
    10%

Motagua vs Juticalpa: Statistics and Analysis - Liga Nacional de Honduras 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Motagua vs Juticalpa - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga Nacional de Honduras match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 21:00.

The venue is Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Liga Nacional de Honduras season. Motagua currently sits in position 4th of the Liga Nacional de Honduras table. Juticalpa occupies position 12th.

Stat Probabilities for Motagua vs Juticalpa

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Motagua vs Juticalpa at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Motagua and Juticalpa point to a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Motagua vs Juticalpa?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Motagua at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Juticalpa at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Liga Nacional de Honduras

Motagua's record so far reads 6W-1D-3L from 10 played a win rate of 60% at 1.9 points per game.

Juticalpa stands at 2W-0D-8L from 10 played, winning 20% of their matches at 0.6 points per game.

In their last five, Motagua has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Juticalpa's last five read 1W-0D-4L, at 0.6 points per game.

At home, Motagua has a 80% win rate (4W-0D-1L from 5 played).

On the road, Juticalpa has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-4L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Motagua vs Juticalpa

In attack, Motagua averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Liga Nacional de Honduras (15 in total), while conceding 0.9 per game (9 in total).

Juticalpa averages 1 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 2.3 conceded per game (23 in total).

Motagua's top scorer this season is John Kleber Oliveira da Silva, with 9 goals.

For Juticalpa, Josué Villafranca leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.

Motagua's main creator is Jorge Luis Serrano Francis, with 9 assists.

Junior Alberto Lacayo Rochez tops the Juticalpa assist chart with 2.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Motagua vs Juticalpa

Motagua and Juticalpa have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Motagua wins: 11

  • Draws: 1

  • Juticalpa wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Motagua vs Juticalpa

When is Motagua vs Juticalpa?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 21:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Motagua and Juticalpa?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 11-1-0 (Motagua wins – draws – Juticalpa wins).

What was the last match between Motagua and Juticalpa?

The two sides last met on 02/08/2026, and the result was Juticalpa 0 vs 3 Motagua. Full details: Motagua vs Juticalpa, 02/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Motagua vs Juticalpa?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Motagua is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Juticalpa at 1.01.

Where can I find a Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction page.

Where can I find Motagua vs Juticalpa stats?

All key statistics for Motagua vs Juticalpa are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Live streaming information is available on our Motagua vs Juticalpa stream page.