UTC vs Melgar

Peru - Primera División

UTC
UTC

v.s

23 Oct 2026 14:00

Melgar
Melgar

Melgar are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.24 overall shots and 1.65 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.76 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

16%
UTC to win
24%
Draw
60%
Melgar to win

The result market leans toward Melgar at 64%. The points profile supports that read: UTC average 0.86 PPG and Melgar average 1.43 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
UTC
3
wins
2
draws
Melgar
7
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.90

    League 2.77

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    57%

    League 54%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    64%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.48

    League 5.07

  • Corners

    Average

    9.38

    League 8.82

Based on 261 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. UTC average 9.21 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.82, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

UTC

Home

LLLLL
VS

Melgar

Away

WDDWW

Points & Results

  • 0.69
    PPG
    1.72
  • 14%
    Wins
    48%
  • 24%
    First to Score
    66%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.10
    Scored/game
    1.76
  • 1.79
    Conceded/game
    1.14
  • 1.37
    xG
    1.65
  • 1.58
    xGA
    1.40

Trends

  • 62%
    Both Score
    66%
  • 14%
    Clean Sheet
    28%

UTC vs Melgar: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for UTC vs Melgar - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Primera División match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.

The venue is Estadio Héroes de San Ramón.

The fixture is part of game week 13th of the Primera División season. UTC currently sits in position 18th of the Primera División table. Melgar occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for UTC vs Melgar

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in UTC vs Melgar at 64%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for UTC and Melgar point to a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the UTC vs Melgar prediction page.

Who is the favorite in UTC vs Melgar?

According to the latest match odds, Melgar is the favorite at 1.65 an implied probability of about 60.61%. The full 1X2 market has UTC at 5.99, the draw at 5.263, and Melgar at 1.65.

Overall performance in the Primera División

UTC's record so far reads 4W-8D-17L from 29 played a win rate of 14% at 0.69 points per game.

Melgar stands at 14W-8D-7L from 29 played, winning 48% of their matches at 1.72 points per game.

In their last five, UTC has gone 0W-0D-5L, averaging 0 points per game.

Melgar's last five read 3W-2D-0L, at 2.2 points per game.

At home, UTC has a 14% win rate (2W-6D-6L from 14 played).

On the road, Melgar has won 36% of their matches (5W-5D-4L from 14 played).

Goal statistics for UTC vs Melgar

In attack, UTC averages 1.1 goals scored per game in the Primera División (32 in total), while conceding 1.79 per game (52 in total).

Melgar averages 1.76 goals scored per game (51 in total) and 1.14 conceded per game (33 in total).

UTC's top scorer this season is Marlon Jonathan de Jesús Pabón, with 6 goals.

For Melgar, Bernardo Nicolás Cuesta leads the scoring charts with 14 goals this season.

UTC's main creator is Marcos Lliuya, with 4 assists.

Nicolás Quagliata Platero tops the Melgar assist chart with 12.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: UTC vs Melgar

UTC and Melgar have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • UTC wins: 3

  • Draws: 2

  • Melgar wins: 7

Frequently asked questions about UTC vs Melgar

When is UTC vs Melgar?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.

What is the head-to-head record between UTC and Melgar?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-2-7 (UTC wins – draws – Melgar wins).

What was the last match between UTC and Melgar?

The two sides last met on 03/05/2026, and the result was Melgar 2 vs 0 UTC. Full details: UTC vs Melgar, 03/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in UTC vs Melgar?

Melgar is the favorite at odds of 1.65, an implied probability of about 60.61%. UTC is priced at 5.99, the draw at 5.263 and Melgar at 1.65.

Where can I find a UTC vs Melgar prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the UTC vs Melgar prediction page.

Where can I find UTC vs Melgar stats?

All key statistics for UTC vs Melgar are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch UTC vs Melgar?

Live streaming information is available on our UTC vs Melgar stream page.