Atlético Independiente vs Marathón

Honduras - Liga Nacional de Honduras

Atlético Independiente
Atlético Independiente

v.s

24 Oct 2026 20:30

Marathón
Marathón

Marathón are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.5 overall shots and 1.49 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.6 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Atlético Independiente to win
33%
Draw
33%
Marathón to win

The result market leans toward Atlético Independiente at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Atlético Independiente average 1.6 PPG and Marathón average 1.6 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Atlético Independiente
0
wins
0
draws
Marathón
1
wins
0%
BTTS
0/1
100%
OVER 0.5
1/1
0%
OVER 1.5
0/1
0%
OVER 2.5
0/1

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.35

    League 2.47

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    45%

    League 47%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    55%

    League 48%

  • Corners

    Average

    9.50

    League 10.32

Based on 60 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Marathón average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.32, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Atlético Independiente

Home

LDLWD
VS

Marathón

Away

WDLWW

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    2.10
  • 20%
    Wins
    60%
  • 0%
    First to Score
    70%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.80
    Scored/game
    1.60
  • 1.60
    Conceded/game
    0.70
  • 1.07
    xG
    1.49
  • 1.86
    xGA
    1.30

Trends

  • 60%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 10%
    Clean Sheet
    50%

Atlético Independiente vs Marathón: Statistics and Analysis - Liga Nacional de Honduras 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Atlético Independiente vs Marathón - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga Nacional de Honduras match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:30.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Liga Nacional de Honduras season. Atlético Independiente currently sits in position 10th of the Liga Nacional de Honduras table. Marathón occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Atlético Independiente vs Marathón

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Atlético Independiente vs Marathón at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Atlético Independiente and Marathón point to a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Atlético Independiente vs Marathón prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Independiente vs Marathón?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Atlético Independiente at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Marathón at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Liga Nacional de Honduras

Atlético Independiente's record so far reads 2W-4D-4L from 10 played a win rate of 20% at 1 points per game.

Marathón stands at 6W-3D-1L from 10 played, winning 60% of their matches at 2.1 points per game.

In their last five, Atlético Independiente has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Marathón's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Atlético Independiente has a 40% win rate (2W-2D-1L from 5 played).

On the road, Marathón has won 40% of their matches (2W-2D-1L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Atlético Independiente vs Marathón

In attack, Atlético Independiente averages 0.8 goals scored per game in the Liga Nacional de Honduras (8 in total), while conceding 1.6 per game (16 in total).

Marathón averages 1.6 goals scored per game (16 in total) and 0.7 conceded per game (7 in total).

For Marathón, Nicolás Ariel Messiniti leads the scoring charts with 19 goals this season.

Alexy Vega tops the Marathón assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Independiente vs Marathón

When is Atlético Independiente vs Marathón?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:30.

What was the last match between Atlético Independiente and Marathón?

The two sides last met on 04/08/2026, and the result was Marathón 1 vs 0 Atlético Independiente. Full details: Atlético Independiente vs Marathón, 04/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Independiente vs Marathón?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Atlético Independiente is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Marathón at 1.01.

Where can I find a Atlético Independiente vs Marathón prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Atlético Independiente vs Marathón prediction page.

Where can I find Atlético Independiente vs Marathón stats?

All key statistics for Atlético Independiente vs Marathón are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Atlético Independiente vs Marathón?

Live streaming information is available on our Atlético Independiente vs Marathón stream page.