Liepāja vs Tukums

Latvia - Virsliga

Liepāja

v.s

24 Oct 2026 06:00

Tukums

Liepāja are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.45 overall shots and 1.54 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.39 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

62%
Liepāja to win
20%
Draw
18%
Tukums to win

The result market leans toward Liepāja at 69%. The points profile supports that read: Liepāja average 1.88 PPG and Tukums average 0.25 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Liepāja
6
wins
2
draws
Tukums
4
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.22

    League 2.89

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    69%

    League 55%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    66%

    League 55%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.62

    League 4.03

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.94

    League 9.56

Based on 165 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Liepāja average 9.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.56, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Liepāja

Home

WLDDD
VS

Tukums

Away

LLDLW

Points & Results

  • 1.39
    PPG
    0.73
  • 39%
    Wins
    15%
  • 39%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.39
    Scored/game
    1.33
  • 1.39
    Conceded/game
    1.97
  • 1.54
    xG
    1.37
  • 1.52
    xGA
    1.78

Trends

  • 55%
    Both Score
    76%
  • 21%
    Clean Sheet
    3%

Liepāja vs Tukums: Statistics and Analysis - Virsliga 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Liepāja vs Tukums - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Virsliga match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 11:00.

The venue is Stadions Daugava.

The fixture is part of game week 34th of the Virsliga season. Liepāja currently sits in position 4th of the Virsliga table. Tukums occupies position 9th.

Stat Probabilities for Liepāja vs Tukums

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Liepāja vs Tukums at 66%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Liepāja and Tukums point to a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Liepāja vs Tukums prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Liepāja vs Tukums?

According to the latest match odds, Liepāja is the favorite at 1.51 an implied probability of about 66.23%. The full 1X2 market has Liepāja at 1.51, the draw at 4.83, and Tukums at 5.76.

Overall performance in the Virsliga

Liepāja's record so far reads 13W-7D-13L from 33 played a win rate of 39% at 1.39 points per game.

Tukums stands at 5W-9D-19L from 33 played, winning 15% of their matches at 0.73 points per game.

In their last five, Liepāja has gone 1W-3D-1L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Tukums's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Liepāja has a 56% win rate (9W-3D-4L from 16 played).

On the road, Tukums has won 0% of their matches (0W-4D-12L from 16 played).

Goal statistics for Liepāja vs Tukums

In attack, Liepāja averages 1.39 goals scored per game in the Virsliga (46 in total), while conceding 1.39 per game (46 in total).

Tukums averages 1.33 goals scored per game (44 in total) and 1.97 conceded per game (65 in total).

Liepāja's top scorer this season is Kyvon Leidsman, with 6 goals.

For Tukums, Joseph Oloko Ede leads the scoring charts with 26 goals this season.

Liepāja's main creator is Danila Patijčuks, with 4 assists.

Bogdans Samoilovs tops the Tukums assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Liepāja vs Tukums

Liepāja and Tukums have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Liepāja wins: 6

  • Draws: 2

  • Tukums wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Liepāja vs Tukums

When is Liepāja vs Tukums?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 11:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Tukums?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-2-4 (Liepāja wins – draws – Tukums wins).

What was the last match between Liepāja and Tukums?

The two sides last met on 02/08/2026, and the result was Tukums 2 vs 1 Liepāja. Full details: Liepāja vs Tukums, 02/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Liepāja vs Tukums?

Liepāja is the favorite at odds of 1.51, an implied probability of about 66.23%. Liepāja is priced at 1.51, the draw at 4.83 and Tukums at 5.76.

Where can I find a Liepāja vs Tukums prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Liepāja vs Tukums prediction page.

Where can I find Liepāja vs Tukums stats?

All key statistics for Liepāja vs Tukums are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Liepāja vs Tukums?

Live streaming information is available on our Liepāja vs Tukums stream page.