Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento

Argentina - Primera División

v.s

23 Oct 2026 17:00

Gimnasia La Plata are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.13 overall shots and 1.38 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.26 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

58%
Gimnasia La Plata to win
25%
Draw
17%
Sarmiento to win

The result market leans toward Gimnasia La Plata at 61%. The points profile supports that read: Gimnasia La Plata average 1.71 PPG and Sarmiento average 0.86 PPG in the comparable split.

Gimnasia La Plata
3
wins
6
draws
Sarmiento
2
wins
27%
BTTS
3/11
55%
OVER 0.5
6/11
27%
OVER 1.5
3/11
18%
OVER 2.5
2/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    2.54

    League 2.17

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    50%

    League 38%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    55%

    League 47%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.99

    League 5.07

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.58

    League 8.84

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Sarmiento average 8.86 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.84, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Gimnasia La Plata

Home

WDDDD
VS

Sarmiento

Away

DDWLD

Points & Results

  • 1.65
    PPG
    1.38
  • 48%
    Wins
    41%
  • 65%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.26
    Scored/game
    1.21
  • 1.26
    Conceded/game
    1.34
  • 1.38
    xG
    1.24
  • 1.63
    xGA
    1.76

Trends

  • 55%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 26%
    Clean Sheet
    28%

Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Primera División match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 22:00.

The venue is Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Primera División season. Gimnasia La Plata currently sits in position 8th of the Primera División table. Sarmiento occupies position 16th.

Stat Probabilities for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento?

According to the latest match odds, Gimnasia La Plata is the favorite at 1.68 an implied probability of about 59.52%. The full 1X2 market has Gimnasia La Plata at 1.68, the draw at 4.2, and Sarmiento at 5.77.

Overall performance in the Primera División

Gimnasia La Plata's record so far reads 15W-6D-10L from 31 played a win rate of 48% at 1.65 points per game.

Sarmiento stands at 12W-4D-13L from 29 played, winning 41% of their matches at 1.38 points per game.

In their last five, Gimnasia La Plata has gone 1W-4D-0L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Sarmiento's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Gimnasia La Plata has a 50% win rate (7W-3D-4L from 14 played).

On the road, Sarmiento has won 29% of their matches (4W-0D-10L from 14 played).

Goal statistics for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento

In attack, Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.26 goals scored per game in the Primera División (39 in total), while conceding 1.26 per game (39 in total).

Sarmiento averages 1.21 goals scored per game (35 in total) and 1.34 conceded per game (39 in total).

Gimnasia La Plata's top scorer this season is Luis Marcelo Torres, with 9 goals.

For Sarmiento, Junior Osvaldo Marabel Jara leads the scoring charts with 14 goals this season.

Gimnasia La Plata's main creator is Nacho Fernández, with 5 assists.

Junior Osvaldo Marabel Jara tops the Sarmiento assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento

Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Gimnasia La Plata wins: 3

  • Draws: 6

  • Sarmiento wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento

When is Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 22:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 3-6-2 (Gimnasia La Plata wins – draws – Sarmiento wins).

What was the last match between Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento?

The two sides last met on 13/04/2026, and the result was Sarmiento 1 vs 2 Gimnasia La Plata. Full details: Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento, 13/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento?

Gimnasia La Plata is the favorite at odds of 1.68, an implied probability of about 59.52%. Gimnasia La Plata is priced at 1.68, the draw at 4.2 and Sarmiento at 5.77.

Where can I find a Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento prediction page.

Where can I find Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento stats?

All key statistics for Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento?

Live streaming information is available on our Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento stream page.