Marco 09 vs Fafe

Portugal - Liga 3

v.s

25 Oct 2026 07:00

Fafe are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.5 overall shots and 1.47 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.67 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Marco 09 to win
33%
Draw
33%
Fafe to win

The result market leans toward Marco 09 at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Marco 09 average 3 PPG and Fafe average 2 PPG in the comparable split.

Marco 09
1
wins
3
draws
Fafe
0
wins
50%
BTTS
2/4
75%
OVER 0.5
3/4
50%
OVER 1.5
2/4
0%
OVER 2.5
0/4

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.67

    League 2.48

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    67%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 48%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.00

    League 3.50

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.67

    League 9.37

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Fafe average 8 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.37, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    16%
    UNDER
    84%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 84% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Marco 09

Home

LWDWL
VS

Fafe

Away

DLWDW

Points & Results

  • 1.67
    PPG
    1.50
  • 50%
    Wins
    33%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    1.67
  • 0.83
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.14
    xG
    1.47
  • 1.05
    xGA
    1.28

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

Marco 09 vs Fafe: Statistics and Analysis - Liga 3 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Marco 09 vs Fafe - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga 3 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.

The venue is Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses.

The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Liga 3 season. Marco 09 currently sits in position 2nd of the Liga 3 table. Fafe occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Marco 09 vs Fafe

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Marco 09 vs Fafe at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Marco 09 and Fafe point to a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Marco 09 vs Fafe prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Marco 09 vs Fafe?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Marco 09 at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Fafe at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Liga 3

Marco 09's record so far reads 3W-1D-2L from 6 played a win rate of 50% at 1.67 points per game.

Fafe stands at 2W-3D-1L from 6 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.

In their last five, Marco 09 has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Fafe's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Marco 09 has a 100% win rate (3W-0D-0L from 3 played).

On the road, Fafe has won 67% of their matches (2W-0D-1L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Marco 09 vs Fafe

In attack, Marco 09 averages 1 goals scored per game in the Liga 3 (6 in total), while conceding 0.83 per game (5 in total).

Fafe averages 1.67 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 1 conceded per game (6 in total).

Marco 09's top scorer this season is Mauro Azevedo Ribeiro, with 3 goals.

For Fafe, João Pedro Palma Santos leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Marco 09's main creator is Fernando Gabriel Silva Andrade, with 4 assists.

João Vigário tops the Fafe assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Marco 09 vs Fafe

Marco 09 and Fafe have met 4 times in recent years. The record:

  • Marco 09 wins: 1

  • Draws: 3

  • Fafe wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Marco 09 vs Fafe

When is Marco 09 vs Fafe?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Marco 09 and Fafe?

Across their last 4 meetings the record is 1-3-0 (Marco 09 wins – draws – Fafe wins).

What was the last match between Marco 09 and Fafe?

The two sides last met on 18/04/2026, and the result was Marco 09 1 vs 0 Fafe. Full details: Marco 09 vs Fafe, 18/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Marco 09 vs Fafe?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Marco 09 is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Fafe at 1.01.

Where can I find a Marco 09 vs Fafe prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Marco 09 vs Fafe prediction page.

Where can I find Marco 09 vs Fafe stats?

All key statistics for Marco 09 vs Fafe are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Marco 09 vs Fafe?

Live streaming information is available on our Marco 09 vs Fafe stream page.