CD Varea vs CD Alfaro
Spain - Tercera Group 16
CD Alfaro are creating the better shooting profile with average 6 overall shots and 0.49 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.57 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward CD Varea at 99%. The points profile supports that read: CD Varea average 2.33 PPG and CD Alfaro average 2.33 PPG in the comparable split.
- 11/02/2024, 16:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro1 - 1CD Varea11/02/2024, 16:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
1 - 1
CD Varea - 24/09/2023, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea0 - 2CD Alfaro24/09/2023, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea
0 - 2
CD Alfaro - 15/05/2022, 16:00Tercera Play offsCD Alfaro1 - 0CD Varea15/05/2022, 16:00Tercera Play offsCD Alfaro
1 - 0
CD Varea - 23/01/2022, 11:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea0 - 3CD Alfaro23/01/2022, 11:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea
0 - 3
CD Alfaro - 12/09/2021, 15:30Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro1 - 1CD Varea12/09/2021, 15:30Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
1 - 1
CD Varea
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well below avg
1.93League 2.90
Over 2.5 Goals
Well below avg
36%League 62%
Both Teams Score
Average
57%League 59%
Corners
Well above avg
15.00League 7.82
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. CD Alfaro average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 7.82, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER92%UNDER8%1.5
2+ gol
OVER57%UNDER43%2.5
3+ gol
OVER35%UNDER65%3.5
4+ gol
OVER7%UNDER93%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 93% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
CD Varea
Home
CD Alfaro
Away
Points & Results
- 1.86PPG2.29
- 43%Wins71%
- 43%First to Score86%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.861.57
- Conceded/game0.431.00
- xG1.550.49
- xGA0.54-0.24
Trends
- 43%Both Score71%
- 57%Clean Sheet29%
Under 2.5 Goals
CD Varea's Last 11 Matches had less than 2.5 Goals
Under 9.5 Corners
CD Varea's Last 6 Matches Ended with Under 9.5 Corners
No Losses
CD Varea hasn't Lost in 7 Matches
Matches Concending Goals
In the Head to Head, CD Varea has Conceded in its last 7 Matches
Over 9.5 Corners
CD Alfaro's Last 3 Matches Ended with Over 9.5 Corners
Wins
CD Alfaro has Won its last 4 Matches
No Losses
CD Alfaro hasn't Lost in 4 Matches
No Losses
In the Head to Head, CD Alfaro hasn't Lost in 7 Matches
Under 2.5 Goals
The last 3 matches between CD Varea and CD Alfaro have ended with less than 2.5 Goals
- 18/10/2026, 14:00Tercera Group 16Calasancio0 - 1WCD Varea18/10/2026, 14:00Tercera Group 16Calasancio
0 - 1
CD VareaW - 11/10/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea1 - 0WAgoncillo11/10/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea
1 - 0
AgoncilloW - 04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16SD Oyonesa1 - 1DCD Varea04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16SD Oyonesa
1 - 1
CD VareaD - 27/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea1 - 0WLa Calzada27/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea
1 - 0
La CalzadaW - 20/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Pradejón1 - 1DCD Varea20/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Pradejón
1 - 1
CD VareaD - 13/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea0 - 0DSan Marcial13/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 16CD Varea
0 - 0
San MarcialD - 06/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16Cenicero1 - 1DCD Varea06/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16Cenicero
1 - 1
CD VareaD
CD Varea scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.86 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro1 - 0WVianés18/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
1 - 0
VianésW - 11/10/2026, 09:30Tercera Group 16Casalarreina0 - 1WCD Alfaro11/10/2026, 09:30Tercera Group 16Casalarreina
0 - 1
CD AlfaroW - 04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro2 - 1WCD Calahorra04/10/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
2 - 1
CD CalahorraW - 27/09/2026, 14:30Tercera Group 16Anguiano1 - 2WCD Alfaro27/09/2026, 14:30Tercera Group 16Anguiano
1 - 2
CD AlfaroW - 20/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro1 - 2LHaro20/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
1 - 2
HaroL - 13/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro2 - 1WYagüe13/09/2026, 15:00Tercera Group 16CD Alfaro
2 - 1
YagüeW - 06/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 16Calasancio2 - 2DCD Alfaro06/09/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 16Calasancio
2 - 2
CD AlfaroD
CD Alfaro scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.57 goals.
CD Alfaro is +83% better in terms of Scored/game
CD Varea is +133% better in terms of Conceded/game
CD Varea is +216% better in terms of xG
CD Alfaro is +-325% better in terms of xGA
CD Alfaro is +67% better in terms of First-Half Form
CD Varea is +100% better in terms of Offsides
CD Alfaro is +60% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
CD Alfaro is +50% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | CD Alfaro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 | Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 4 | La Calzada | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | CD Varea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Pradejón | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | CD Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 12 | |
| 8 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 9 | Anguiano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | |
| 10 | SD Oyonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | |
| 12 | Comillas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 | Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 | |
| 14 | Cenicero | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | Calasancio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 | |
| 16 | Vianés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | River Ebro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 4 | |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
CD Varea vs CD Alfaro: Statistics and Analysis - Tercera Group 16 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for CD Varea vs CD Alfaro - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Tercera Group 16 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.
The venue is Estadio Municipal.
The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Tercera Group 16 season. CD Varea currently sits in position 5th of the Tercera Group 16 table. CD Alfaro occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for CD Varea vs CD Alfaro
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in CD Varea vs CD Alfaro at 57%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for CD Varea and CD Alfaro point to a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the CD Varea vs CD Alfaro prediction page.
Who is the favorite in CD Varea vs CD Alfaro?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has CD Varea at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and CD Alfaro at 1.01.
Overall performance in the Tercera Group 16
CD Varea's record so far reads 3W-4D-0L from 7 played a win rate of 43% at 1.86 points per game.
CD Alfaro stands at 5W-1D-1L from 7 played, winning 71% of their matches at 2.29 points per game.
In their last five, CD Varea has gone 3W-2D-0L, averaging 2.2 points per game.
CD Alfaro's last five read 4W-0D-1L, at 2.4 points per game.
At home, CD Varea has a 67% win rate (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).
On the road, CD Alfaro has won 67% of their matches (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for CD Varea vs CD Alfaro
In attack, CD Varea averages 0.86 goals scored per game in the Tercera Group 16 (6 in total), while conceding 0.43 per game (3 in total).
CD Alfaro averages 1.57 goals scored per game (11 in total) and 1 conceded per game (7 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: CD Varea vs CD Alfaro
CD Varea and CD Alfaro have met 11 times in recent years. The record:
CD Varea wins: 3
Draws: 3
CD Alfaro wins: 5
Frequently asked questions about CD Varea vs CD Alfaro
When is CD Varea vs CD Alfaro?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Varea and CD Alfaro?
Across their last 11 meetings the record is 3-3-5 (CD Varea wins – draws – CD Alfaro wins).
What was the last match between CD Varea and CD Alfaro?
The two sides last met on 11/02/2024, and the result was CD Alfaro 1 vs 1 CD Varea. Full details: CD Varea vs CD Alfaro, 11/02/2024.
Who is the favorite in CD Varea vs CD Alfaro?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. CD Varea is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and CD Alfaro at 1.01.
Where can I find a CD Varea vs CD Alfaro prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the CD Varea vs CD Alfaro prediction page.
Where can I find CD Varea vs CD Alfaro stats?
All key statistics for CD Varea vs CD Alfaro are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch CD Varea vs CD Alfaro?
Live streaming information is available on our CD Varea vs CD Alfaro stream page.