Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor

Turkey - 1. Lig

v.s

25 Oct 2026 12:00

Keçiörengücü are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.45 overall shots and 1.6 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.91 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

27%
Keçiörengücü to win
26%
Draw
47%
Bursaspor to win

The result market leans toward Bursaspor at 52%. The points profile supports that read: Keçiörengücü average 1.8 PPG and Bursaspor average 2.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Keçiörengücü
3
wins
0
draws
Bursaspor
3
wins
17%
BTTS
1/6
100%
OVER 0.5
6/6
50%
OVER 1.5
3/6
33%
OVER 2.5
2/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.82

    League 2.70

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    72%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    64%

    League 53%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.47

    League 4.64

  • Corners

    Average

    8.27

    League 8.56

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Bursaspor average 9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.56, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Keçiörengücü

Home

WDWDD
VS

Bursaspor

Away

WWLWD

Points & Results

  • 1.82
    PPG
    2.27
  • 45%
    Wins
    73%
  • 64%
    First to Score
    55%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.91
    Scored/game
    2.00
  • 1.00
    Conceded/game
    0.82
  • 1.60
    xG
    1.64
  • 1.49
    xGA
    0.94

Trends

  • 64%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 36%
    Clean Sheet
    45%

Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor: Statistics and Analysis - 1. Lig 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This 1. Lig match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

The venue is Aktepe Stadı.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the 1. Lig season. Keçiörengücü currently sits in position 4th of the 1. Lig table. Bursaspor occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor at 64%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor point to a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Bursaspor over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Bursaspor a 83% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Cards for Bursaspor's opponents: Bursaspor's opponents have received 3 or more cards in 73% of their matches.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

According to the latest match odds, Bursaspor is the favorite at 2.174 an implied probability of about 46.00%. The full 1X2 market has Keçiörengücü at 3.704, the draw at 3.846, and Bursaspor at 2.174.

Overall performance in the 1. Lig

Keçiörengücü's record so far reads 5W-5D-1L from 11 played a win rate of 45% at 1.82 points per game.

Bursaspor stands at 8W-1D-2L from 11 played, winning 73% of their matches at 2.27 points per game.

In their last five, Keçiörengücü has gone 2W-3D-0L, averaging 1.8 points per game.

Bursaspor's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Keçiörengücü has a 40% win rate (2W-3D-0L from 5 played).

On the road, Bursaspor has won 83% of their matches (5W-0D-1L from 6 played).

Goal statistics for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor

In attack, Keçiörengücü averages 1.91 goals scored per game in the 1. Lig (21 in total), while conceding 1 per game (11 in total).

Bursaspor averages 2 goals scored per game (22 in total) and 0.82 conceded per game (9 in total).

Keçiörengücü's top scorer this season is Mame Biram Diouf, with 17 goals.

For Bursaspor, Kelechi Iheanacho leads the scoring charts with 15 goals this season.

Keçiörengücü's main creator is İbrahim Akdağ, with 9 assists.

Lincoln tops the Bursaspor assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor

Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Keçiörengücü wins: 3

  • Draws: 0

  • Bursaspor wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor

When is Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 3-0-3 (Keçiörengücü wins – draws – Bursaspor wins).

What was the last match between Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor?

The two sides last met on 02/04/2022, and the result was Keçiörengücü 2 vs 1 Bursaspor. Full details: Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor, 02/04/2022.

Who is the favorite in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

Bursaspor is the favorite at odds of 2.174, an implied probability of about 46.00%. Keçiörengücü is priced at 3.704, the draw at 3.846 and Bursaspor at 2.174.

Where can I find a Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor prediction page.

Where can I find Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor stats?

All key statistics for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

Live streaming information is available on our Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor stream page.